Weekend 3/13-15 Official Estimates: Cinderella 70.1m, RAN 11m

[CJohn]

What? How do you know? You do realize Maleficent had CRAZY WOM to reach that multi, right, especially with all the competition. 

What competition? HTTYD2 ?

[K1stpierre]

LOL at that 70-95 range.

TELE We're dancing our way to the top! Just watch us dance to mid 80's.

 

 

 

And instead of dust, picture that as DOUGH BABY.

[K1stpierre]

What competition? HTTYD2 ?

Ugh. Let's not bring up that dissapointment......

[Jonwo]

$75-80m for Cinderella would be impressive, would guarantee a $200m+ final domestic total which would be the fourth one to do so in the Disney live action remakes. 

[Kalo]

What? How do you know? You do realize Maleficent had CRAZY WOM to reach that multi, right, especially with all the competition. 

Yes I realize that some people had to like that movie for it to hold so well. Angelina Jolie was really the main reason it did so well though and it didn't have the critics on it's side. this does.

[James]

What competition? HTTYD2 ?

You are kiddin right? First it was 'Fault' and 'Edge', then HTTYD2 and Jump Street, then TF4 and so on. Maybe they are not all direct competition, but they are competition and they are way more than what Cinderella is gonna have.  

[K1stpierre]

If this opens in the mid 80's, we could see a DOM total closer to the 300M DOM side. Maleficent got a 3.5X, I think this could get that or close to it.

[DAJK]

If this opens to 80, I could see a 270DOM total. It would have to hit 90OW until I could see 300 being in play.

[K1stpierre]

If this opens to 80, I could see a 270DOM total. It would have to hit 90OW until I could see 300 being in play.

 

Anything can happen, even 90M

[Dementeleus]

TELE We're dancing our way to the top! Just watch us dance to mid 80's.

 

 

 

And instead of dust, picture that as DOUGH BABY.

 

Isn't it a bit early to get into the Jameson?

[Blankments]

WOM is going to be interesting. I'm not exactly sure if kids are going to love the movie; even though parents and people over the age of 15 should like it a lot.

[K1stpierre]

Isn't it a bit early to get into the Jameson?

Why of course! Duh! You don't drink this early in the morning.

That's why I'm clearly drinking mamosas.

Edited March 13, 2015 by K1stpierre

[Blankments]

You are kiddin right? First it was 'Fault' and 'Edge', then HTTYD2 and Jump Street, then TF4 and so on. Maybe they are not all direct competition, but they are competition and they are way more than what Cinderella is gonna have.  

This is surreal; I remember making a post like this to explain why I thought Maleficent was gonna bomb.

 

Still need chopsticks....

[DAJK]

Anything can happen, even 90M

I hope so! I want the box office to rebound in a big way after last weekend... :/ Edited March 13, 2015 by DAJK

[K1stpierre]

I've been looking at Oz. it made 24M fri, Sat 33M, Sun dropped back to 21M.

I think Fri for this will be lower, let's say 21M, but I think Sat and Sunday will be the key difference maker (obviously cause that's when kids and parent will go). I think we could see Sat being higher with 34M, and the biggest being a lighter Sunday drop, I'm thinking maybe 30M.

21+34+30=85M.

[edroger3]

At the moment on Movieticket.com Cinderella had 74% ticket sold vs Run all night 3% (Insurgent, Furious 7 and Marigold Hotel 2%).

 

At the show I saw yesterday afternoon (in Italy), there were mostly families with children under 10 years old, who seemed more interested (at least basing on their reactions) in Frozen that in Cinderella. After some time many of those were bored and  this was annoying for the adults who were seeing the movie.

[K1stpierre]

Forbes has this pegged at a 70-75M OW, and a WW total of at least 700M, possibly 800+M if WOM is great.

 

http://www.forbes.com/sites/markhughes/2015/03/13/review-cinderella-is-belle-of-the-box-office-frozen-fever-is-hot/

[DAJK]

I think this will have a higher Friday than Oz, but a smaller Sat jump.

26 + 32 + 23 = 81

With a 3.5 multiplier, that gets just over 280M total.

Edited March 13, 2015 by DAJK

[K1stpierre]

I think this will have a higher Friday than Oz, but a smaller Sat jump.

26 + 32 + 23 = 81

With a 3.5 multiplier, that gets just over 280M total.

Me likey.

[Avatree]

I think this will have a higher Friday than Oz, but a smaller Sat jump.

26 + 32 + 23 = 81

With a 3.5 multiplier, that gets just over 280M total.

3.5x is quite a generous assumption.