Neo Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It's pretty hilarious honestly, franchise fatigue domestically is already starting to set in. But sure guys Marvel & these amazing characters will be making this much FOREVER according to guys like Walt Disney Not really look at TWS/GOTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cory Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 SM2 grossed 92% of SM1 TDKR grossed 84% of TDK AoU would have to gross $570m match the SM decline and $520m to match the TDK decline. Minimum 2.7x legs which I don't see happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 The lines for Independence Day outside of Phantom Menace are the biggest I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Yeah, I'm not feeling it today either. This place is really quite right now. That makes me really scared for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 anyone still thinking 600+m is a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Previews as a % of Friday gross: TA - 30.1% IM3 - 29.3% CA2 - 38.2% AOU - 48.5% CA2 jumped 30% on Saturday, and it's the closest to AOU in terms of opening day dynamics, so perhaps there's a major uptick in demand today (though the sporting events will dull the evening somewhat). How are sellouts looking today around the nation? I don't know how you calculated those numbers but they don't make sense. TA made $18.7m in previews compared to $80.8m for the day. That's 23.1%, not 30.1%. TA2's previews made up 32.7% of the Friday total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyxx Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) I'm cooking up myself some crow at the moment. Edited May 2, 2015 by Eddy Targaryen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyxx Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (wakes up to new estimate number) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Projections for Age Of Ultron based on Marvel films or big April/May openers => Defo >$200M. Could break OW record. This means nothing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I'd have Avatar on the same level of PM. Avengers, Spiderman, and TDK all even, but below Independence day. Shrek 2 right below those 4. Titanic is in a class of it's own. Nemo, ROTK, ROTS, and etc are well below those. I'd say Shrek 2 after TPM actually and ahead of Avatar, TDK etc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 anyone still thinking 600+m is a lock Im with you Kal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I don't know how you calculated those numbers but they don't make sense. TA made $18.7m in previews compared to $80.8m for the day. That's 23.1%, not 30.1%. TA2's previews made up 32.7% of the Friday total. Friday total, not opening day total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I don't know how you calculated those numbers but they don't make sense. TA made $18.7m in previews compared to $80.8m for the day. That's 23.1%, not 30.1%. TA2's previews made up 32.7% of the Friday total. As a percent of the Friday - midnight gross I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Friday total, not opening day total. Ah, kind of a strange thing but interesting I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Yeah, I'm not feeling it today either. This place is really quite right now. That makes me really scared for tonight. Well you already said this was gonna be the case a while ago with the fight and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Ah, kind of a strange thing but interesting I guess. I should have put it as a ratio, % makes it sound more confusing. If we had done it the other way, we still see the same trend though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pensivepenguin Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Yeah, I'm not feeling it today either. This place is really quite right now. That makes me really scared for tonight. 60M Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 While 84M is still the second biggest number ever, it is kinda shocking to wake up to after all the hype last night. I won't gloat and gloat if my 195 comes true, but i will say I hope this weekend has taught us to keep things in perspective. $250M OW??? 650 totals? Didn't someone create an Age of Ultron all time club? We have to predict with more insight and less fanyboyism. Everyone would love to see a big flashy 250M OW, but seriously, going from 207 to 250 in a 3 year span? No matter how much a movie is loved, we know that's not going to happen. And it shouldve always been obvious that this beating TA1 was always going to be a bigggggggggggg stretch. Same with TDK to Rises. People want to keep going on about the shooting (you really should let it go, peoples lives were more important than BO numbers), but without it, Rises still wouldn't have came close to TDK. TDK and TA set impossible bars. You could even say the same about SM1. You have to use more real world logic and metric. And you have to hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. For a lot of you, under 200M was a ZERO percent possibility. You can't do that. You still have to assume it could happen, while hoping for over 200M. None of us are physic, but we all understand anything can go, so lets act like it. And people also have to remember that nothing is official, till its official. You may turn in you exam paper at 6PM, but the professor isn't gonna due anything with it until 12, when its officially due. President Cheeto may win the preliminary votes, but until they do recounts and all precincts are closed, nothing is official, President Llama can still win. I love RTH, Deadline, Variety, etc, but you have to remember theyre all still estimates. Don't mock RTH for being so far off, he never said it was 100%, so we can't keep taking it as so. Once Mojo post the number or Exhibitor send outs the tweet: you can lock and seal it. Oh well. So no one should see this is as disappointing. #2 opening of all time, that's uh...really solid. Problem is you have to put things in perspective, and predict and expect with the real world, not what numbers you want to see. Hopefully this will carry on to BvS, SW7 ($200m OW in December predicts, really? Here we go again), all other Marvels, Hunger Games, Bond, Fast, etc. Big numbers are fun, but having a little more sense would suck out some of the disappointment and pessimism that we seem to see repeated. jandrew it was possible,but if your movie is not quite as gd as the first fall offs happen. you should know by now theaters have increased and rules are made to be broken. if avengers 2 had been mind boggling great. 230 m plus ow definitely. could have happened. i dont think too many people predicted 250m ow by the way.:-P Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VGPOP Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Entertainment Weekly: Disney and Marvel’s Avengers: Age of Ultron barreled its way into North American theaters with an opening day gross of $84.5 million, according to studio reports. ..... Age of Ultron also grabbed $27.6 million in Thursday night preview screenings, bringing its total domestic gross to $112 million before the weekend’s even fully begun. http://www.ew.com/article/2015/05/02/friday-box-office-age-ultron-pulls-second-highest-opening-day-gross-ever 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Entertainment Weekly: Disney and Marvel’s Avengers: Age of Ultron barreled its way into North American theaters with an opening day gross of $84.5 million, according to studio reports. ..... Age of Ultron also grabbed $27.6 million in Thursday night preview screenings, bringing its total domestic gross to $112 million before the weekend’s even fully begun. http://www.ew.com/article/2015/05/02/friday-box-office-age-ultron-pulls-second-highest-opening-day-gross-ever Good job, Entertainment Weekly. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
