Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

[The Futurist]

Baumer needs an intervention about Pixar.

[TStechnij]

IO is dropping on Saturday. Even TS3 fell 9.9%.

New to this, so bare with me.

Wouldn't TS3 possibly be more front loaded since it is more of a phenomena? Being a late sequel and all.

I think WOM hasn't even reached its peak for Inside Out.

Edited June 20, 2015 by TStechnij

[BadAtGender]

You're an animation loonie, makes sense.

 

So am I (perhaps moreso than Blanks), but IO isn't my #1 for the year.

[Deep Wang]

Why would anyone care about JOHN WICK these days?

Because it's fucking great, that's why!

[mahnamahna]

There's not enough room in the market. Families don't have infinite amounts of cash to spend. Most have already gone to JW and now IO. Minions will be hurt by IO's WOM juggernaut.

But by mid-July, families will want something new to see

Since August is desolate, Minions and Pixels should hold up well.

I think the market can handle 4-5 big family films over a 3 month period (Avengers, JW, IO, Minions, Pixels)

If families really want to see both, they will. Unlike July 2013, IO and Minions are the only major PG films until late September

Both should comfortably do $300m DOM at this point

[HeyItsMoses]

Avatar is original?

#danceswithsmurfs

[Mattrek]

Oh...right...

(But it should totally be considered derived from Pocahontas)

Oh goodie this dead horse again.

[Jandrew]

Animation Loonies are more fun than Mad Millerites

 

(Willing to bet IO is your #2 of the year so far when you see it)

Tele's #1 od the year: Mad Max: Fury Road. Teles #2 of the year: Mad Max: Fury Road: Bluray Directors Cut Extended Edition Target Steelbook.

[superduperm]

New to this, so bare with me.

Wouldn't TS3 possibly be more front loaded since it is more of a phenomena? Being a late sequel and all.

I think WOM hasn't even reached its peak for Inside Out.

Brave and Wall-E also dropped and they're originals.

I'm thinking IO drops about 5% tomorrow.

[TStechnij]

So am I (perhaps moreso than Blanks), but IO isn't my #1 for the year.

What is? It is definitely in contention for me and I am not neccisarily and animated person.

[#ED]

You bet -- it's not based on any prior published work.

Fake Pocahantas tho...

[redfirebird2008]

New to this, so bare with me.

Wouldn't TS3 possibly be more front loaded since it is more of a phenomena? Being a late sequel and all.

I think WOM hasn't even reached its peak for Inside Out.

 

That's hard to say. TS3 made $4m at midnight and $41m opening day. If this does 36 (about 4 of it from Tuesday/Thursday shows), that means its previews were a bigger percentage of opening day than TS3's preview percentage.

[Jandrew]

Terminator and Magic Mike will be around 60-70 for the 5-day, Minions will be lower and Pixels will struggle. Other then that I agree with everything else.

Minions is blowing past 100 opening and 300 total. We're polar opposites on this so no point in debating. We'll see in 3 weeks whos right.

[Robot308]

Terminator and Magic Mike will be around 60-70 for the 5-day, Minions will be lower and Pixels will struggle. Other then that I agree with everything else.

Nah!!!!

[Fancyarcher]

But its very very veryyyyy identical to Atlantis The Lost Empire.

 

And Pocahontas, and Dances With Wolves, ya-da-da! I think we kinda get that. 

[Chewy]

One 350 movie in 2014 (and we all know it was really a 2015 movie)

 

Four 350 movies in the first half of 2015

[lab276]

DM2 managed to be pretty huge despite MU and IM3 making a whole bunch of money.

[#ED]

What kind of drops are you expecting on Sunday for the big two?

Less than 15%.

[narniadis]

How can you even compare those animated gems from Japan, Ireland, South Korea, France........

.... to the Hollywood animated flicks

Taste... I myself have just really started exploring animation from other countries (triplets of Bellville and Secrets of Kells were both amazing) but anime is not my cup of tea so it makes it hard to really get into Asian animation.

[Dementeleus]

"Derivative" and "adapted from" mean two very different things, and in terms of the film industry "original, not based on prior work" refers to the latter.

Hashtag Thundersmurfs, Dances With Pocahontas all you like, but it ain't based on a book, play, poem, musical, operetta, short story... you name it. So it's original.