Jump to content

Asyulus

Official Weekend Estimates |MI5 - 56M; Vacation - 14.9M; Ant-Man - 12.6M; Minions - 12.2M; Pixels - 10.4M; Trainwreck - 9.7M| Pg58

Recommended Posts

$14-14.5 million 3 day is good for Vacation considering how bad its Wed/Thurs was.

Might leg its way to $75-80m with how little competition there is this August.

More like 60 mill IMO

Link to comment
Share on other sites



More like 60 mill IMO

 

60m is nearly 3x the 5-day. I don't think it can do that as an r-rated comedy and it's reception. If you do 3x the weekend + wed + thu = 45 + 6 = 51m.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



60m is nearly 3x the 5-day. I don't think it can do that as an r-rated comedy and it's reception. If you do 3x the weekend + wed + thu = 45 + 6 = 51m.

Aug could be leggy. But 50-55 is possible..

I was just pointing out that 75-80 is nearly impossible with those reviews and zero WOM

Link to comment
Share on other sites



I don't think MI5's OD is anywhere bad at all. $20M OD is pretty good. Which makes it the biggest OD in the franchise.

It's higher than MI3's $16M OD.

 

Forgetting adjusted numbers, the first two opened mid week and the last one opened limited then expanded during the Christmas holidays.  Apples to oranges.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





Some location counts, changes,...

 

 

Vacation (2015)    $13,900,000    --    3,411    --    $4,075    $20,222,334    1    
Ant-Man    $12,400,000    -50%    3,322    -546    $3,733    $131,928,919    3    
Minions    $12,000,000    -48%    3,575    -491    $3,357    $287,191,275    4
Pixels    $10,300,000    -57%    3,723    0    $2,767    $45,511,497    2    
Trainwreck    $9,500,000    -45%    2,960    -211    $3,209    $79,509,400    3    
Southpaw    $7,500,000    -55%    2,772    0    $2,706    $31,557,485    2    
Inside Out (2015)    $4,400,000    -41%    1,904    -813    $2,311    $329,476,892    7    
Jurassic World    $3,600,000    -50%    1,912    -733    $1,883    $631,299,630    8
    
Magic Mike XXL    $610,000    -68%    565    -875    $1,080    $64,725,790    5    
Ted 2    $450,000    -54%    505    -191    $891    $80,493,570    6    
The Gallows    $318,000    -73%    363    -839    $876    $22,168,445    4

Link to comment
Share on other sites



More like 60 mill IMO

There's zero comedy competition (other than Trainwreck's remaining $25-35 million) until October 9th. 

 

And it had a really big Friday increase, which shows WOM among GA will be better than critics. 

 

$75-80 million might be a bit much, but with how little competition there is, it's certainly wouldn't be a shock. Especially if F4 opens sub-$40 million, Compton sub-$30 million and UNCLE sub-$20 million. 

 

I'd say $60 million at the very least with how barren August 2015 is. But $50-55 million is probably most likely 

 

60m is nearly 3x the 5-day. I don't think it can do that as an r-rated comedy and it's reception. If you do 3x the weekend + wed + thu = 45 + 6 = 51m.

$51 million would be kinda bad considering how empty August looks.

 

F4: $90-110 million DOM

Compton: $70-90 million DOM

UNCLE/Ricki: $40-60 million DOM 

 

MI5 could very well be the only film that makes more than $100 million DOM this month if F4 opens sub-$40 million  :mellow:

 

I'm hoping for $60 million+ just to brighten the outlook for the rest of 2015. 

 

Shit weekend. These numbers make me puke. What happened to Trainwreck?!

Vacation. 

 

Both are R-rated comedies. It only makes sense it would drop 40%+ this weekend. It'll have 15-30% drops until Labor Day, so it should still cross $100 million DOM and then some. 

Edited by mahnamahna
Link to comment
Share on other sites











There's zero comedy competition (other than Trainwreck's remaining $25-35 million) until October 9th. 

 

And it had a really big Friday increase, which shows WOM among GA will be better than critics. 

 

$75-80 million might be a bit much, but with how little competition there is, it's certainly wouldn't be a shock. Especially if F4 opens sub-$40 million, Compton sub-$30 million and UNCLE sub-$20 million. 

 

I'd say $60 million at the very least with how barren August 2015 is. 

 

Vacation is getting similar reception to WTM in terms of critics - maybe a little worse.

 

But with how big its Friday increase is, I don't see how $60 million+ would be a stretch. 

 

Let's Be Cops got about a 3x and had similar reception, but it had a more crowded marketplace (Expendables 3, GotG, TMNT) 

 

Vacation. 

 

Both are R-rated comedies. It only makes sense it would drop 40%+ this weekend. It'll have 15-30% drops until Labor Day, so it should still cross $100 million DOM and then some.

As i sad. 60 mill could maybe happen. Thats with good legs. 50 mill would be standart..

But it will most likely drop 50% next weekend to a 7 mill weekend

Link to comment
Share on other sites



As i sad. 60 mill could maybe happen. Thats with good legs. 50 mill would be standart..

But it will most likely drop 50% next weekend to a 7 mill weekend

50% is a bit much considering how relatively barren next weekend looks

 

F4 at $35-40 million.

MI5 at $25-30 million. 

Shaun/Ricki at $8-10 million. 

Gift at $4-5 million. 

 

It already burnt off some demand already. I'd say a 35-40% drop, but 50% would be pretty dismal. $40-45 million with that kind of drop  :(

Edited by mahnamahna
Link to comment
Share on other sites



50% is a bit much considering how relatively barren next weekend looks

 

F4 at $35-40 million.

MI5 at $25-30 million. 

Shaun/Ricki at $8-10 million. 

Gift at $4-5 million. 

 

It already burnt off some demand already. I'd say a 35-40% drop, but 50% would be pretty dismal. $40-45 million with that kind of drop  :(

Even movies this weekend drops 45-55%. FF4 should do around the same as MI5

50% drop should happen

Link to comment
Share on other sites





  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.