Weekend Estimates (pg44): Spectre 73 | Peanuts 45 | Martian 9.3 | Goosebumps 6.9 | Spies 6.09 | Important forum announcement in first post.

[Ethan Hunt]

4 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

So if TF and POTC drop below 150 m DOM (extreme example) the studios won't care as long as it crosses a billion WW?

I would think that they would continue to make them, yes.

[grey ghost]

29 minutes ago, a2knet said:

QoS opens to 67.5m and does only 2.5x.

But Skyfall opens higher by 21m.

Skyfall does 3.45x, but Spectre's ow goes down by 15m.

Me not get it.

 

I know Skyfall overperformed but after 3 years of inflation, a 15m drop in ow is surprising.

 

 

 

Skyfall had way more hype than any other recent Bond movie.

 

The hype leve returned to normal levels with Spectre.

 

Plus Spectre seemed like a retread of Skyfall. There wasn't much to make the public especially excited.

[grey ghost]

25 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

I think the big question now is.......are they gonna make a better Bond-sequel next time...when it comes out? Will they learn their mistakes from Spectre or not?

 

Sony's gonna reboot.

 

j/k

[redfirebird2008]

Sunday hold seems optimistic. Probably will end up $72-72.5m actuals. 

[CJohn]

They don't care. They might as well cancel the DOM release if they want to with OS dropping 800-900M alone for everyone of these mega blockbusters. 

[CJohn]

Skyfall opened here on a Friday and sold 97000 tickets between Friday and Sunday. Between Thursday and Saturday, Spectre already cracked the 100000 tickets sold. Crazy opening.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

8 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

Sony's gonna reboot.

 

j/k

 

Which equals to.....either box-office uprise .....or downfall?

 

I dunno. 

[grim22]

42 minutes ago, a2knet said:

QoS opens to 67.5m and does only 2.5x.

But Skyfall opens higher by 21m.

Skyfall does 3.45x, but Spectre's ow goes down by 15m.

Me not get it.

 

I know Skyfall overperformed but after 3 years of inflation, a 15m drop in ow is surprising.

 

 

 

Skyfall's marketing was on point, from the great teasers to the final trailer. The promotion of 50 years of Bond and the Olympics also helped. Not to mention a title song with a great hook which anyone could easily remember unlike Sam Smith's song which never builds to a good chorus. And it was also a solo release as well.

[grey ghost]

7 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

Which equals to.....either box-office uprise .....or downfall?

 

I dunno. 

 

 

I was joking. 

 

After the ASM series, Sony would only reboot as a last resort.

 

I think the direction they go depends on whether Craig stays. If he does they'll keep the tone of the previous four films, if he doesn't they might re-invent the franchise again.

[The Futurist]

What direction would they take for Number 25, seems like Spectre is schizophrenic in that regards ?

 

 

[movieboner]

Near the end of November, there's going to be major competition from Mockinjay 2 and The Good Dinosaur. Both could reduce Spectre's box office performance, so it may gross below or above $200 million. 

[grey ghost]

I get the typical 260 m vibe from Good Dinosaur.

 

Nothing so far indicates it will make it into the Pixar's greatest hits club.

[grey ghost]

I wonder if Mockingjay pt 2 can somehow make it 400 m.

 

Aren't the reviews much better than MJ pt 1?

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, grey ghost said:

I get the typical 260 m vibe from Good Dinosaur.

 

Nothing so far indicates it will make it into the Pixar's greatest hits club.

Yeah that 240-270M range seems like about the right place for it

[Maxmoser3]

Spectre will probably have a nice hold on the dailies then it's second weekend bring in about 33-35 million and then take a hit when Hunger Games comes out(due to IMAX screens) and it should do close to 220 million domestic. Peanuts off to a decent start with 45 million it should do also decent on the dailies,and make about 32-34 million on its second weekend and hold up well and should earn about at least between 165-175 million domestic.

[Maxmoser3]

The Martian is still holding up strong oddly enough I wonder if it can get it's way to 240 million domestic? Probably not but it should at least come close to The Bourne Ultimatum's unadjusted domestic total. Goosebumps will probably earn close to 75 million domestic. Bridge Of Spies will make its way north of 70 million domestic. But as for next weekend's projections I think Spectre and Peanuts will be in a tight race for 1st place. While The 33 will probably earn between 10-12 million, and Love The Coopers will open around 5-7 million.

[Cochofles]

The Intern  only cost 35 million?? Interesting. It's quietly grossed over 70 million dollars domestically. That Hathaway heat?

Edited November 8, 2015 by Cochofles

[Tau Ceti]

5 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

The Martian is still holding up strong oddly enough I wonder if it can get it's way to 240 million domestic? Probably not but it should at least come close to The Bourne Ultimatum's unadjusted domestic total. Goosebumps will probably earn close to 75 million domestic. Bridge Of Spies will make its way north of 70 million domestic. But as for next weekend's projections I think Spectre and Peanuts will be in a tight race for 1st place. While The 33 will probably earn between 10-12 million, and Love The Coopers will open around 5-7 million.

 

Oscar noms tacked $15 - 20 mil on the back end of Gravity's run. The Martian will need the same boost if it's to hit $240 mil. Not impossible.

[Fullbuster]

32 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

I wonder if Mockingjay pt 2 can somehow make it 400 m.

 

Aren't the reviews much better than MJ pt 1?

I don't see it under 400m, that would be shocking!

[Fullbuster]

37 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

I get the typical 260 m vibe from Good Dinosaur.

 

Nothing so far indicates it will make it into the Pixar's greatest hits club.

I feel the opposite, it's a Frozen-like movie : people don't expect much from it but it benefits from a wonderful WOM and outperforms in a fantastic way, it has a huge potential in that area.

Edited November 8, 2015 by Fullbuster