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Star Wars TFA Tuesday Actual: 29.5M !!! (-6%)

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TFA is operating at phenomenally high levels that some are somewhat disappointed with a $149M second weekend and a $29M second Tuesday. ;)

 

Having followed box office for almost 4 decades, I feel this is close to being the most impressive run ever given the general front loading in the current scenario.

 

 

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1 minute ago, jb007 said:

TFA is operating at phenomenally high levels that some are somewhat disappointed with a $149M second weekend and a $29M second Tuesday. ;)

 

Having followed box office for almost 4 decades, I feel this is close to being the most impressive run ever given the general front loading in the current scenario.

 

 

 

It's got a long way to go before it's more impressive than Titanic.

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9 minutes ago, jb007 said:

TFA is operating at phenomenally high levels that some are somewhat disappointed with a $149M second weekend and a $29M second Tuesday. ;)

 

Having followed box office for almost 4 decades, I feel this is close to being the most impressive run ever given the general front loading in the current scenario.

 

 

No doubt, the box office is very impressive. And nobody would be disappointed if it finishes it's run with 900M. But if it finishes with 980M, I would definitely be a bit disappointed.

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3 minutes ago, Fake said:

No doubt, the box office is very impressive. And nobody would be disappointed if it finishes it's run with 900M. But if it finishes with 980M, I would definitely be a bit disappointed.

+1

 

The fact that $1B is a possibility itself is beyond any superlative we can think of.

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Until this movies daily numbers drop below Avatar I still think $1 billion is firmly in its sight. Avatar finished its first run at basically $750 million. A 33% increase from that is $1 billion. Through 19 days, Avatar (+33%) is $333 million. TFA is at $600 million and is still pulling $10 million a day over Avatar at the same time. 

Obviously it's % drops are heavier, that's a given. If this does miss a billion it's going to have to dive pretty hard after it's 3rd weekend. Let's assume today is what @Rth says. I'll be conservative and call tomorrow $27 million and Thursday $20 million. Lets say the weekend will bring another $90 million. We're at $737 million after 17 days. The buffer between TFA and Avatar (+33%) would stand at $269 million. 

 

Now, after this the holidays are over. Let's say it does 40% of this weeks daily totals next week. That's another $42 million. Then the weekend will drop 30% from the previous weekend. That's still a $105 million week. Now we're at essentially $842 million through 24 days (conservatively). The next week lets say it drops another 30% from that weeks dailies. That gives us another $73 million. So through 31 days we would be at $915 million (conservatively!!). 

 

After its 31st day, Avatar did $256 million more. Do people really believe TFA can't come up with $85 million more after it's 31st day?

Edited by VenomXXR
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14 minutes ago, DamienRoc said:

 

It's got a long way to go before it's more impressive than Titanic.

 

Titanic is the most impressive uber-blockbuster of the last 25 years, but for the life of me I think MBFGW is probably the most impressive. It makes no sense and yet it sold more tickets than 50% of the HG, any X-Men film, Guardians of the Galaxy, and 3 of the Potter films. Mindboggling.

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5 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Until this movies daily numbers drop below Avatar I still think $1 billion is firmly in its sight. Avatar finished its first run at basically $750 million. A 33% increase from that is $1 billion. Through 19 days, Avatar (+33%) is $333 million. TFA is at $600 million and is still pulling $10 million a day over Avatar at the same time. 

Obviously it's % drops are heavier, that's a given. If this does miss a billion it's going to have to dive pretty hard after it's 3rd weekend. Let's assume today is what @Rth says. I'll be conservative and call tomorrow $27 million and Thursday $20 million. Lets say the weekend will bring another $90 million. We're at $737 million after 17 days. The buffer between TFA and Avatar (+33%) would stand at $269 million. 

 

Now, after this the holidays are over. Let's say it does 40% of this weeks daily totals next week. That's another $42 million. Then the weekend will drop 30% from the previous weekend. That's still a $105 million week. Now we're at essentially $842 million through 24 days (conservatively). The next week lets say it drops another 30% from that weeks dailies. That gives us another $73 million. So through 31 days we would be at $915 million (conservatively!!). 

 

After its 31st day, Avatar did $256 million more. Do people really believe TFA can't come up with $85 million more after it's 31st day?

 

DAMN BRO!

 

Those math skills!

 

I am impressed! You deserves lauds and accolades! :)

 

That said, your summary is pretty cogent too! It actually makes it seem like 1 billion domestic is attainable!

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11 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Until this movies daily numbers drop below Avatar I still think $1 billion is firmly in its sight. Avatar finished its first run at basically $750 million. A 33% increase from that is $1 billion. Through 19 days, Avatar (+33%) is $333 million. TFA is at $600 million and is still pulling $10 million a day over Avatar at the same time. 

Obviously it's % drops are heavier, that's a given. If this does miss a billion it's going to have to dive pretty hard after it's 3rd weekend. Let's assume today is what @Rth says. I'll be conservative and call tomorrow $27 million and Thursday $20 million. Lets say the weekend will bring another $90 million. We're at $737 million after 17 days. The buffer between TFA and Avatar (+33%) would stand at $269 million. 

 

Now, after this the holidays are over. Let's say it does 40% of this weeks daily totals next week. That's another $42 million. Then the weekend will drop 30% from the previous weekend. That's still a $105 million week. Now we're at essentially $842 million through 24 days (conservatively). The next week lets say it drops another 30% from that weeks dailies. That gives us another $73 million. So through 31 days we would be at $915 million (conservatively!!). 

 

After its 31st day, Avatar did $256 million more. Do people really believe TFA can't come up with $85 million more after it's 31st day?

 

That's assuming 30% drops for Force Awakens, possible, but not guaranteed or conservative. 

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1 minute ago, The Panda Menace said:

 

That's assuming 30% drops for Force Awakens, possible, but not guaranteed or conservative. 

 

Definitely not conservative as those aren't far from Avatar-like drops (avatar was 15-25% drop week-to-week, mainly)

Edited by Daxtreme
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