BadAtGender Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 7 minutes ago, Gokai Red said: As far as mega blockbusters go (where the previous installment grossed 400m adjusted or more) DOM-wise, there are only a handful of occasions where the sequel outgrossed the previous one. Here's all the ones that I could find, listed in reverse chronological order from the release of the sequel: TLWJP to JW (429.7 to 680.6) Uhh... 7 minutes ago, Gokai Red said: Arguments could be made against TFA, JW, TS3, and TPM belonging on the list considering the gap between installments, and against CF considering how close the two are; CF could very well be below THG in attendance. You could also argue against JW because JP3 happened between it and TLW. I know people don't LIKE it, but still. It did happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, eXtacy said: So you maths wizards where is this realistic heading. Will it topple the billion Flip a coin. I think it will. However it depends on how well it holds on the next few weekends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Hmmm... @Rth has gone green with envy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bonenash Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 3 minutes ago, Darth AndyLL said: Hmmm... @Rth has gone green with envy... Yeah !!! God has awaken!!! has been a long long run I think the SW box office is the reason why^^ he loves post here and he is very generous with his numbers nearly every days it's a lot of work and i assume he is working on other stuff so we are luck to have him. Long live to the king:p Hail to the king^^ Groovy^^ Come get some!! Thanks @RTH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gokai Red Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 9 minutes ago, DamienRoc said: Uhh... You could also argue against JW because JP3 happened between it and TLW. I know people don't LIKE it, but still. It did happen. You are right. I misread the list. I would remove that entry from the list, however, I can't seem to edit my previous post right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, Gokai Red said: You are right. I misread the list. I would remove that entry from the list, however, I can't seem to edit my previous post right now... try it with different background themes (down left corner of the website), there seems to be a bug since the software provider updated I can not edit whilst using BOT Chameleon, but it helps with other details, so I change back and ... ah, and in case you have or get problems to change pages: hit refresh they work on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 14 minutes ago, Darth AndyLL said: Hmmm... @Rth has gone green with envy... I've seen that too... to support via numbers in that way too I have now that strange image in my mind where all logged in members are written in one color or another... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nickitaly Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 So... TFAs run is basically over. Time to move on to the next big thing people. Episode 8 OW predictions anyone? Can it crack 250M? Can we open a thread for the Ep8 OW predictions now? [emoji38] I know it's 16-17 months away (if it doesn't get delayed), but lets face it, nobody cares about anything else until then. BvS and Civil War just aren't going to do it for me I'm afraid. TFA run over? What??? Another 200-250 mln on the table... Inviato dal mio GT-I9300 utilizzando Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 It's funny in all of the comparisons of TFA to the biggest hits ever, which is fair, because it's where it is landing, sometimes it's easy to lose sight of how stupidly ridiculous the numbers look when you think about them compared to your average film. I mean movies that everyone who watches movies talked about this last year, like Kingsman and Mad Max, barely made more than TFA did in just its first DAY. And after OW, the gross was already in the top 100 of all time. Just crazy stuff like that is mind-boggling. The Hateful Eight will struggle to come anywhere close to what TFA made in just one day. Heck, poor Fantastic Four's final box office total didn't match just the previews for Star Wars. Ouch. I remember when I first saw Titanic hit $600M at the end of its run and just thought about how much money that was historically. A big blockbuster, BIG, was half of that total. In 1998 making $300 million was, I'm pretty sure, still good for the bottom of the Top 10 of all time. And now TFA will be comparable in the sense that at $950M, half of that gross -- $475M -- would be an astonishing total for almost any film released. The numbers just... amaze. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Champagne is on ice, Cuban cigar is ready. Figuring on Tuesday / Wednesday at this point, depending on actuals and Monday performance. Either way, can't believe it's so close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 On 07/12/2015 at 2:49 PM, Jessie said: 50m midnights 70m fri 82m Sat 61m Sun 263m OW 40m mon 38m tue 37m wed 24m thu 51m fri 53m sat 36m sun 140 m 2nd weekend 28m mon 27m tue 27m wed 18m thu 37m fri 37m sat 23m sun 97m 3rd weekend 739m total final total - 950m ish ......................... surely fucking not total was pretty much bang on after its 3rd weekend. Looking like a 950m finish guys and gals. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 20 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: It's funny in all of the comparisons of TFA to the biggest hits ever, which is fair, because it's where it is landing, sometimes it's easy to lose sight of how stupidly ridiculous the numbers look when you think about them compared to your average film. I mean movies that everyone who watches movies talked about this last year, like Kingsman and Mad Max, barely made more than TFA did in just its first DAY. And after OW, the gross was already in the top 100 of all time. Just crazy stuff like that is mind-boggling. The Hateful Eight will struggle to come anywhere close to what TFA made in just one day. Heck, poor Fantastic Four's final box office total didn't match just the previews for Star Wars. Ouch. I remember when I first saw Titanic hit $600M at the end of its run and just thought about how much money that was historically. A big blockbuster, BIG, was half of that total. In 1998 making $300 million was, I'm pretty sure, still good for the bottom of the Top 10 of all time. And now TFA will be comparable in the sense that at $950M, half of that gross -- $475M -- would be an astonishing total for almost any film released. The numbers just... amaze. disagree, most average movie goers didn't care all that much for Mad Max. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, Jessie said: total was pretty much bang on after its 3rd weekend. Looking like a 950m finish guys and gals. How... do you make a prediction like that lol. Those numbers are incredible! Nailed the Monday perfectly, for instance, second weekend was almost right on. That's some impressive stuff. Wow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Great to see TFA going over 90M on its third weekend. let's guess from this point (conservative way) 6.5M (-70%) 7.5M (+18%) 5.7M (-25%) 5.5M (-3%) 12.5M 19.5M 12M (44M 4th weekend / 810 - 815M DOM cume) 4M 5M 4M 4M 9M 15M 12M 7M (43M MLK weekend / around 875M) IMHO, 125M after this point is doable. And if it finally manages to get a BP nomination, legs will be even better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 1 hour ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: Here's the AVATAR fans when the announcement is made That The FORCE AWAKENS has defeated AVATAR: And here's the STAR WARS fans in the Cockpit Celebrating The Win: Worldwide gross has the bigger bragging rights 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 I looked at the weekly drops if it follows RotK. I am hesitant to say that $1B is locked especially having not seen the movie yet (last 3 times I tried it was sold out trying again Tuesday), but based on numbers alone and the past patterns I see no reason for this to drop harsher than RotK at least until oscar season. Underlined are actuals Spoiler $390,856,054 $261,109,529 $103,399,373* $53,250,677 $41,588,779 $25,909,809 $19,639,635 $15,672,429 $17,271,017 $10,587,133 $9,316,677 $11,403,613 $8,313,234 $5,312,156 $2,826,067 $1,579,772 $1,308,051 $898,631 $747,661 $607,848 $426,710 $364,837 $291,504 $114,270 $982,795,468 final. The third week will be better than this formula shows, but weaker oscar weeks should counter act that (unless it crashes and only makes $13m for the next weeks weekdays), this projection also puts it at $876m on Jan, 28. We could be looking at $900m before the start of February. Same model with 3rd week estimated based on $90m 3rd weekend, $21m Sunday and ROTK's daily drops gives $1.013B Spoiler $390,856,054 $261,109,529 $113,073,287 $58,232,743 $45,479,772 $28,333,898 $21,477,095 $17,138,722 $18,886,871 $11,577,652 $10,188,334 $12,470,521 $9,091,009 $5,809,155 $3,090,470 $1,727,573 $1,430,430 $982,706 $817,611 $664,718 $466,632 $398,970 $318,777 $124,961 $1,013,747,491 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueLeader Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 You know if this movie gets some big Oscar nomination it would REALLY help its box office going forward. Sadly, that seems like a long shot. It really should get some though. It is a LOT better than most of the other films out there up for Oscar consideration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, Jessie said: total was pretty much bang on after its 3rd weekend. Looking like a 950m finish guys and gals. Holy shit nice predictions Edited January 4, 2016 by IronJimbo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Harris Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 So will Jim Cameron send out a public congratulatory note to Star Wars this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 23 minutes ago, John Harris said: So will Jim Cameron send out a public congratulatory note to Star Wars this week? Hahahhaahhahaa. No. He is Canadian and hates hollywood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
