Chas' Box Office Summer Game | We Have a Winner: Congratulations to DamienRoc on a game well Played. Special mention to darkelf as the runner up and Chewy into 3rd (had a fantastic pre-season score!) | Ya all come for the winter game ya here!

[Wrath]

Hopefully I'm lucky on this SotM, because I have a bad feeling about my top 15.

[narniadis]

Either we will have an awesome top 15 or its going to suck donkey dick... I dont think there will be an inbetween... hopefully my ID4 basket will hold up

[baumer]

Yea so Neighbors 2 ain't making top 15. Thats one strike for me.

[That One Girl]

13 minutes ago, Baumer said:

Yea so Neighbors 2 ain't making top 15. Thats one strike for me.

 

I saw it last night and the theater was surprisingly empty for a high-profile comedy on opening night.

[WrathOfHan]

I was the highest in my group for Angry Birds and Jungle Book and it looks like I'll be last for those two. Oh well, at least I'll walk away with a few thousand points.

[MovieMan89]

I'm feeling like we're going to be too high on the vast majority of movies now looking at the averages. I know I'm going to be. Except for Suicide Squad, thinking more than ever that will be the JW of the year and surprise win the summer. Ghostbusters is standing out more as well as a breakout to me as the only real female driven big release of the season. 

[narniadis]

Yeah - we shall see how it goes, but I am not feeling great about my top 15 anymore - the films yes, the grosses - hell no.

[baumer]

14 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

I'm feeling like we're going to be too high on the vast majority of movies now looking at the averages. I know I'm going to be. Except for Suicide Squad, thinking more than ever that will be the JW of the year and surprise win the summer. Ghostbusters is standing out more as well as a breakout to me as the only real female driven big release of the season. 

 

Ghostbusters is going to crash and burn....hard.

[JJ-8]

i'll survive round 1.. but only because there are only 3 players in my group

 

[chasmmi]

SOTM ROUND 3 - Based on Boxoffice.com's early weekend estimates (so a lot can change)

 

Group A	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
JJ99	39.8	33.5	546	89.97
Chewy	51.25	37.86	712	83.23
Thatoneguy	46.57	36	501	79.64
Ed	42.3	37.4	449	79.55
Group B	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
Glassfairy	48.6	41.3	701	81.53
LAGuy				0
Alpha				0
Kalo				0
Empire				0
Group C	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
Darkelf	40.346	40.73	803	88.35
Heyitsmoses	44.7	36.2	628	86.73
Dajk	44.75	37.12	529	81.33
Trreetrunk				0
Firedeep				0
Group D	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
Narniadis	41.62	33.6	761	96.35
24Lost	42.353	28.019	863	86.72
Movieman89	43.775	34.65	575	86.71
Greyghost	43.61	39	477	78.07
Dexter				0
Group E	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
Infernus	43.5	34.5	580	87.32
Exxdee	45.45	38.13	813	86.16
Telemachos	43.415	38.15	571	83.3
Baumer				0
Jayhawk				0
Group F	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
Chasmmi	43.95	35.64	597	86.55
Kayumanggi	42.5	39.75	585	83.1
Cmasterclay	46.64	36.4	512	79.67
Wrathofhan	47	42	530	74.52
Films				0
Group G	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
Simionski	40.722	32.4	852	93.03
JJ8	48.18	45.21	811	76.77
bcf26	46.25	36	428	76.64
Maxmoser				0
MikeHunt				0
Group H	Q1	Q2	Q3	Final Score
JakeGittes	34.069	34.476	681	93.49
Wrath	39.5	39	725	92.71
The Panda	34.25	36.74	752	91.76
Damienroc	45.6	36.9	741	90.33
Blank Panther	44.693	35.32	1309	67.4

 

So That would mean that the provisional results are:

 

Group Winners - JJ99, Glassfairy, Darkelf, Narniadis, Infernus, Chasmmi, Simionski, Jake Gittes,

 

Runner Ups - Wrath, JJ8, Kayumanggi, Exxdee, 24Lost, Heyitsmoses, Chewy

 

Third Places - Thatoneguy, Dajk, Movieman, Telemachos, Cmasterclay, Bcf, Panda,

 

Fight for the two lucky loser spots:

 

1st. Damienroc 90.33

2nd. Ed            79.55

3rd. Greyghost 78.07

4th. Wrathofhan 74.52

5th. Blank Panther 67.4

 

Fun takeaways, Damien Roc would have won 5 of the other 7 groups as it stands, but in group H he was 4th and JJ8 and bcf are the only qualifiers that would not have done so if they had been sent into the lucky loser fight.  

 

[chasmmi]

46 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

i'll survive round 1.. but only because there are only 3 players in my group

 

 

Early indications show that that is the only reason you will do so  

[WrathOfHan]

 

[narniadis]

WOW top score in round 1 - I will take it Congrats to Group H thats a fantastic average of scores.

[glassfairy]

I get to stay by myself in Group B right?

[WrathOfHan]

Estimated answers:

 

1) Will Angry Birds make more than $40m this weekend? No

2) Will Neighbours 2 make more than $40m this weekend? 2000 No

3) Will any film make above $50m this weekend?  No

4) Will at least two new entries open above Civil War? No

5) Will The Nice Guys make more than $15m this weekend? No

6) Will Civil War become the number 1 film of 2016 by the end of Saturday? No

7) Will The Jungle Book overtake BvS's domestic total by the end of the weekend? 3000 No

 

8) Will Zootopia remain in the top 8? Yes

9) Will Huntsman increase more than 72% on Saturday? No

10) Will Mother's Day drop down to 10th place or lower? Yes

11) Will Money Monster drop more than 53%? 2000 No

12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank?  3000 No

13) Will Barbershop have a better Friday increase than Keanu? Yes

14) Will the three main new entries combine to more than $100m? No

 

15) Will Greek Wedding 2 drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 No

16) Will Jungle Book's weekend gross be within $24m of Civil War's? 3000 Yes

17) Will Sing Street remain in the top 12? No

18) Will The Boss have a PTA above $650? Yes

19) Will Deadpool stay above Kung Fu Panda 3 this weekend? ?

20) Will all three films involve scenes that show the unwitting imbibing of urine? I'm going to say no

 

Bonuses

 

15/20 - 2000

16/20 - 4000

17/20 - 6000

18/20 - 9000

19/20 - 12000

20/20 - 15000

 

Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS

 

1. What will be the gross of the number 1 film of the weekend? 39M

2. What will the top three new entries combined Saturday gross be? $28,490,000

3. How far away from $1B Worldwide will Zootopia be by the end of the weekend? 18.2M

 

 

Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given.  (2000 per film)

 

1. Angry Birds

3. Neighbors

6. Money Monster

9. Huntsman

11. Barbershop

15. The Man Who Knew Infinity

 

Bonuses:

 

3/6 ~ 2000 points

4/6 ~ 5000 points

5/6 ~ 9000 points

6/6 ~ 15000 points 

[WrathOfHan]

My score for the week is 32k without knowing what the answer to question 19 is, sweet.

[Blankments]

Looks like I'm the biggest loser bahaha

[chasmmi]

5 hours ago, narniadis said:

WOW top score in round 1 - I will take it Congrats to Group H thats a fantastic average of scores.

 

* subject to change  

 

But yes group H still loks like they did pretty well didn't they

[chasmmi]

4 hours ago, glassfairy said:

I get to stay by myself in Group B right?

 

Yes, but when drawing round two, the two best losers with get honorary 2nd and 3rd places in your group

[Dementeleus]

Oh thank god, I could've sworn I put NEIGHBORS 2 in my top 15, but I just checked and forgot I dumped it at the last minute. (I still went back too high on it but at least it won't hurt me too much).