ZeeSoh Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 On 5/8/2018 at 9:36 PM, ZeeSoh said: Infinity War (2 days out) Midnight - 25.6 OD - 107 (+20.6%)(133,434 screens) Sat - 76.6 (+25%) Sun - 33.53 (+26%) 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Jurassic World 2 (3 days out) Midnight - 2.53m Yuan OD - 21.47m (+25.33%) (83,144 shows) Sat - 11.08m Sun - 5.60m Jurassic World 2 (2 days out) Midnight - 3.07m Yuan OD - 27.58m (+28.45%) (100,928 shows) Sat - 14.08m Sun - 6.83m The two runs visualized so far 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 Pre-sales seem slow for FK with only 2 days left before release. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 WOM for SK/Taiwan is getting around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said: WOM for SK/Taiwan is getting around. What is that WOM? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 (edited) 51 minutes ago, Sam said: Pre-sales seem slow for FK with only 2 days left before release. There wasn't a rush in the first week, it could have a high PSm for OD then a big bump on Sat. JW's OD was 1/2 of AoU but nearly matched its total. Not a fanboy rush movie, the BO could spread out over 10 days. Kong rolled out slow over 14 days. PS finished at 36m, OD 150m, OW 500m. JW should be at least PS 60m, OD 210m OW 800m unless they don't like the slower pace reported Edited June 12, 2018 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, POTUS said: There wasn't a rush in the first week, it could have a high PSm for OD then a big bump on Sat. JW's OD was 1/2 of AoU but nearly matched its total. Not a fanboy rush movie, the BO could spread out over 10 days. If one thing is clear from every single market it's opened so far in, the Saturday jump will be huge. Don't be surprised at even 100%+ jump, which several markets showed. Admittedly few of them opened on Friday, but still. This is 100% a weekend-heavy movie compared to normal movies Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 42 minutes ago, feasby007 said: If one thing is clear from every single market it's opened so far in, the Saturday jump will be huge. Don't be surprised at even 100%+ jump, which several markets showed. Admittedly few of them opened on Friday, but still. This is 100% a weekend-heavy movie compared to normal movies and Sat Sun Mon is a holiday, 50-75% bump should happen instead of the usual 30-50% for a GA live action. Sun could hold flat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, POTUS said: and Sat Sun Mon is a holiday, 50-75% bump should happen instead of the usual 30-50% for a GA live action. Sun could hold flat Will sat act like a Friday? Or is it even better than that of sat acts like a sat, mon acts like a sun and sun is just a bonus day of goodies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 (edited) Last time DB festival fell on Monday was in 2014. The only somewhat big movie that opened at that time was Overboard 3 on Thursday. Its trajectory was like this Sat: +39.7% Sun: +2.9 Mon: -25.4% Tue: -56.4% Although this movie had a 7.9 rating on Maoyan so its WoM wasnt that high The biggest movie that was playing at the time was X:Men DOFP but it was released a week earlier so its rise on Saturday would have been better than normal. Sat: +76.5% Sun: +23% Mon: -31.3% Tue: -65.4% Edited June 12, 2018 by ZeeSoh 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Last time DB festival fell on Monday was in 2014. The only somewhat big movie that opened at that time was Overboard 3 on Thursday. Its trajectory was like this Sat: +39.7% Sun: +2.9 Mon: -25.4% Tue: -56.4% Although this movie had a 7.9 rating on Maoyan so its WoM wasnt that high The biggest movie that was playing at the time was X:Men DOFP but it was released a week earlier so its rise on Saturday would have been better than normal. Sat: +76.5% Sun: +23% Mon: -31.3% Tue: -65.4% So something like +60% +15% -30% -70% could happen for FK. Big sat and sun due to weekend movie, average drop for DB Monday, then big drop on Tuesday to match all other countries that JWFK I said a massively weekend movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 6 minutes ago, feasby007 said: So something like +60% +15% -30% -70% could happen for FK. Big sat and sun due to weekend movie, average drop for DB Monday, then big drop on Tuesday to match all other countries that JWFK I said a massively weekend movie. I think it may stay flat or have a small increase on Sun (5% or so) but the other days looks good to me. Maybe a smaller Tuesday drop perhaps if ratings are good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 50%-plus increase on Sat looks unlikely considering summer holidays is coming for some students, even if the WOM is incredible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 (edited) On 5/9/2018 at 9:41 PM, ZeeSoh said: Infinity War (1 day out) Midnight - 30.36 OD - 128.44 (+20%)(154,484 shows) Sat - 94 (+22.7%) Sun - 40.72 (+21.4%). 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Jurassic World 2 (2 days out) Midnight - 3.07m Yuan OD - 27.58m (+28.45%) (100,928 shows) Sat - 14.08m Sun - 6.83m Jurassic World 2 (1 day out) Midnight - 4.45m Yuan OD - 36.63m (+32.82%) (126,638 shows) Sat - 18.55m Sun - 8.90m Edited June 13, 2018 by ZeeSoh 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 Man...IW Saturday was insane. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 13, 2018 Author Share Posted June 13, 2018 Maoyan prediction Friday 261.2m Saturday 313.4m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 7 minutes ago, Olive said: Maoyan prediction Friday 261.2m Saturday 313.4m that puts the 4-day around 1100 at least, even more so given the 20% increase on Saturday is pretty measly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 So will the 3 day be over $100m? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmperorForever Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 2 hours ago, Olive said: Maoyan prediction Friday 261.2m Saturday 313.4m A 20% increase Friday to Saturday, interesting prediction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 (edited) very much looking forward to the maoyan rating. hope it can double the 4-day ow. doubling the 3-day ow is itself tough for big openers if word of mouth is not good. 1000m ($156.3) 4-day and 1.919x multiplier gives 1919m ($300.0 total using today's ER). Edited June 13, 2018 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 2 hours ago, Krissykins said: So will the 3 day be over $100m? Without a doubt IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
