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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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11 hours ago, xxoo said:

China Box Office Preview: Jurassic World 2 is projected to make $110-120M on 3-day opening, $140M on Dragon Boat 4-day weekend. Maoyan BO system gave a prediction of $140M on 3-day debut. #JurassicJurassic_World_emoji_v3.png #JurassicWorldJurassic_World_emoji_v3.png

Maoyan BO system 3-day number would be glorious. Would lock $275-300 total imo.

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11 minutes ago, Olive said:

Sadly new predictions are way lower

Friday 198M, 

Sat 248M

It should bump much more than 25% since its not a fanboy frontload and a Saturday holiday. IW bumped 27%

 

PS finishing at 59.7m, close what the chart projected for the last 10 days.  However, I have no idea where the PSm will fall, between 2.5 to 4x is anyone's guess. Kong's PS was 36m, OD 150m, 4.16xPS and bumped 30% on Sat. 

 

I'll guess 200m OD 3.35x PS, 300m S 290m Su, 200m Mo

 

  JW2             IW          
PS 1am MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows   MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows
Fri 0.09   0.39     4.8              
Sa 0.14 55.6% 1.01 0.62 159.0% 10.6       0.4     6.5
Su 0.16 14.3% 1.18 0.17 16.8% 15.3       1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0
Mo 0.26 62.5% 1.32 0.14 11.9% 18.0       2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0
Tu 0.31 19.2% 1.57 0.25 18.9% 22.0       3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0
We 0.46 48.4% 1.92 0.35 22.3% 25.6       4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9
Th 0.56 22.6% 2.38 0.46 24.0% 33.4   5.6   8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4
Fr 0.76 33.9% 3.60 1.22 51.1% 40.2   7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6
Sa 0.87 15.2% 4.46 0.87 24.1% 44.3   9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2
Su 0.99 13.8% 5.22 0.76 17.0% 47.0   10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0
Mo 1.09 10.1% 6.03 0.81 15.5% 49.3   11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0
Tu 1.22 11.9% 6.86 0.83 13.8% 53.0   11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7
We 1.3 9.0% 7.8 0.9 13.0% 55.6   12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8
Th 1.4 8.3% 8.8 1.1 13.8% 58.4   15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7
Fr 1.6 10.4% 10.3 1.5 16.7% 61.7   16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9
Sa 1.8 12.6% 12.3 2.0 19.5% 66.5   17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1
Su 2.0 10.1% 14.5 2.2 17.9% 70.5   19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0
Mo 2.2 11.2% 17.2 2.7 18.4% 74.1   20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5
Tu 2.6 17.8% 21.7 4.5 26.4% 83.5   22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8
We 3.1 21.3% 27.8 6.1 27.9% 100.9   25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6
Th 3.8 21.4% 37.0 9.3 33.3% 127.3   30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6
Fr(OD) 13.9 265.8% 59.7 22.7 61.4% 154.9   59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0
OD BO 13.9   149.3   200.0% 156.0   59.5   387.0   112.6% 182.0
Multi         2.50             2.12  
                           
  PS m OD OD m OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ Total $ XR      
JW2 2.50 149 4.00 597 1.90 1134 23 93 176 6.40      
JW2 4.00 239 4.00 955 1.90 1815 37 149 284 6.40      
IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1.90 2415 61 201 380 6.36      

 

 

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On 5/10/2018 at 9:40 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Infinity War (0 days out)

 

Midnight - 59.2 (17992 screens)

OD - 177.16 (+38%)(177,881 screens)

Sat - 122 (+29.8%) (154,176 screens)

Sun - 51.5 (+26.5%) (128,352 screens)

 

On 6/13/2018 at 9:34 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Jurassic World 2 (1 day out)

 

Midnight - 4.45m Yuan

OD - 36.63m (+32.82%) (126,638 shows)

Sat - 18.55m

Sun - 8.90m

 

Jurassic World 2 (0 days out)

 

Midnight - 13.9m (7626 shows)

OD - 60m (+63.8%) (154,870 shows)

Sat - 26.27m (114,970 shows)

Sun - 11.9m (88,910 shows)

 

JW2 started out strong but rapidly lost steam. While it recovered towards the end quite well, it still was not enough to push the PS high enough to get into the top tier with the heavyweights. This means that the dinos have to show some good legs and walkups. Fortunately for it the first one had lots of walkups and good multi so maybe this one might get some too  obviously it wont be as leggy as the first but it should out leg IW at least. 

 

Here is the final chart for the 2 runs

487528_D6-5479-461_A-_A06_B-49_C3_AB3569

 

Here is a chart with some other movies. I removed Journey to the West 2 and added Civil War as its final PS was closer to JW2s

 

DF2045_AF-24_A7-48_C2-97_A7-7_C41678_E7_

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12 minutes ago, xxoo said:

All these are irrelevant as JW did 34 Million insane 

Hardly, it's OD landed right in the middle of @POTUS' best and worst case scenario 149 & 239

 

PS m OD OD m OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ Total $ XR      
JW2 2.50 149 4.00 597 1.90 1134 23 93 176 6.40      
JW2 4.00 239 4.00 955 1.90 1815 37 149 284 6.40      
IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1.90 2415 61 201 380 6.36  
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2 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Hardly, it's OD landed right in the middle of @POTUS' best and worst case scenario 149 & 239

  

PS m OD OD m OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ Total $ XR      
JW2 2.50 149 4.00 597 1.90 1134 23 93 176 6.40      
JW2 4.00 239 4.00  955 1.90 1815 37 149 284 6.40      
IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1.90 2415 61 201 380 6.36  

I dont understand these graphs what do you guys estimate for Saturday ?

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