keysersoze123 Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 its increase in yuan was less than yesterday. I guess its expected as weekend PS is weak. So it had 30% increase today and will increase just 25% tomorrow. I will let @POTUS project it based on this but I am not seeing more than 120m in PS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 13 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: its increase in yuan was less than yesterday. I guess its expected as weekend PS is weak. So it had 30% increase today and will increase just 25% tomorrow. I will let @POTUS project it based on this but I am not seeing more than 120m in PS. Yup, It's going up 25% today. If it tracks CA3 it will come in at 110m. We've seen 100% gains in the last day or two lately that would take it to 140-150m. Then there is the 3+ OD multi possibility. I won't rule out FF8s OD just yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, POTUS said: Yup, It's going up 25% today. If it tracks CA3 it will come in at 110m. We've seen 100% gains in the last day or two lately that would take it to 140-150m. Then there is the 3+ OD multi possibility. I won't rule out FF8s OD just yet. 100% increase last day will need 70-75m PS. Not sure that is possible for a such a big movie. Fate's last day increase was not that big either(probably close to 50m). Anyway we will know how things are tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 T5 The Fate of the Furious M YUAN SHOWTIMES [13 days+ 2 hours] MN: 0.42m OD: 1.48m Sat: 0.78m [12 days+ 10 hours] MN: 1.04m OD: 3.08m Sat: 1.85m [12 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.79m OD: 5.04m Sat: 2.52m [11 days+ 0 hours] MN: 2.95m OD: 8.24m Sat: 3.54m [10 days+ 0 hours] MN: 0.06m OD: 0.09m Sat: 0.07m 679 2831 1879 MN: 3.85m OD: 10.97m Sat: 4.46m [9 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.41m OD: 2.47m Sat: 1.54m 6578 35134 23631 MN: 4.95m OD: 14.20m Sat: 5.64m [6 days+ 0 hours] MN: 4.63m OD: 13.23m Sat: 7.53m 9884 77126 55438 MN: 9.78m OD: 32.87m Sat: 13.48m [5 days+ 0 hours] MN: 5.64m OD: 17,03m Sat: 9.69m 10167 81413 59106 MN: 11,29m OD: 39,31m Sat: 16.94m [4 days+ 0 hours] MN: 6.81m OD: 21.55m Sat: 12.17m 10329 85487 62548 MN: 13,35m OD: 47,42m Sat: 21.11m 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 Good news is it increase more in yuan on sunday than saturday. The real deal starts tomorrow. Need a big increase(like 50%). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 I'm not sure am i interpret it right but it seems that TF5 pacing much more lower than F8, is it true? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 18, 2017 Share Posted June 18, 2017 ^^^^^^ It started PS late. It will accelerate lot stronger starting tomorrow than Fate did. But I dont see it catch Fate PS. Firedeep thinks its OW will be between 1B-Fate OW. So we have the floor and ceiling for TF5 OW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 At 220PM TF5 is at 24.48m. Its run rate is under 60% of Fate for the Monday before release. It needs to accelerate or it might miss 100m PS !!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: At 220PM TF5 is at 24.48m. Its run rate is under 60% of Fate for the Monday before release. It needs to accelerate or it might miss 100m PS !!! Face it. The Nr 1 franchise in China has been kicked of the throne and won't come near FF8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 (edited) 8 minutes ago, fmpro said: Face it. The Nr 1 franchise in China has been kicked of the throne and won't come near FF8 305PM 24.90m. You never know @POTUSsaid it could increase 100% on wed/thu and have 3x PS to hit Fate OD. For now it definitely looks distant 2nd. Edited June 19, 2017 by keysersoze123 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: 305PM 24.90m. You never know @POTUSsaid it could increase 100% on wed/thu and have 3x PS to hit Fate OD. For now it definitely looks distant 2nd. Yeah it can go either way. A lot of inconsistency lately. WW, Mummy and AC all looked 40-60m OD on Sunday but did 70-120m. The theater capacity and fanbase is there to have a 400m OD. It could have 100m in PS and do 4x or PS goes up 100% late. I agree with @firedeep, anywhere from 1b-1.38b will happen and we may not be able to tighten that up until noon Friday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 3 hours ago, fmpro said: Face it. The Nr 1 franchise in China has been kicked of the throne and won't come near FF8 I'm amazed how FF8 did so well. It didn't have the sentimentality that made 7 a phenomenon and it has to be far from 4 quadrant. I would assume TF5 , among other films, would have a broader audience and dethrone FF. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 OD pre-sale increased 3.65m from 0:00 am to 4:00 pm. 2.15m from recent 5 hours. Fate of the Furious OD pre-sale increased 15m on MON. ¥1,000 million OW? Could be under that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 1 hour ago, POTUS said: Yeah it can go either way. A lot of inconsistency lately. WW, Mummy and AC all looked 40-60m OD on Sunday but did 70-120m. The theater capacity and fanbase is there to have a 400m OD. It could have 100m in PS and do 4x or PS goes up 100% late. I agree with @firedeep, anywhere from 1b-1.38b will happen and we may not be able to tighten that up until noon Friday. All those movies showed strong acceleration on the final week(post weekend/holidays). WW acceleration happening from wednesday, Mummy started on Monday(did not follow Alien PS). This is already post weekend for TF5 and still PS is fairly tepid. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 5PM - 25.60. So its looking at 30-35% increase today unless evening really explodes. I would say 29m finish today and around 40m by tomorrow EOD. 60m by wednesday and 100m PS by thursday midnight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Transformers: The Last Knight [3 days + 6 hours] MN - 7.73m (10,658) FRI - 26.11m (92,388) SAT - 14.52m (68,327) SUN - 7.24m (59,372) Fate of the Furious [3 days + 7 hours] MN - 15.41m (10,040) FRI - 55.03m (91,587) SAT - 24.86m (66,218) SUN - 9.68m (56,634) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 its at 29.61m at 130AM. Probably looking at 41-42m by tomorrow EOD. let us see how things go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 T5 The Fate of the Furious M YUAN SHOWTIMES [13 days+ 2 hours] MN: 0.42m OD: 1.48m Sat: 0.78m [12 days+ 10 hours] MN: 1.04m OD: 3.08m Sat: 1.85m [12 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.79m OD: 5.04m Sat: 2.52m [11 days+ 0 hours] MN: 2.95m OD: 8.24m Sat: 3.54m [10 days+ 0 hours] MN: 0.06m OD: 0.09m Sat: 0.07m 679 2831 1879 MN: 3.85m OD: 10.97m Sat: 4.46m [9 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.41m OD: 2.47m Sat: 1.54m 6578 35134 23631 MN: 4.95m OD: 14.20m Sat: 5.64m [6 days+ 0 hours] MN: 4.63m OD: 13.23m Sat: 7.53m 9884 77126 55438 MN: 9.78m OD: 32.87m Sat: 13.48m [5 days+ 0 hours] MN: 5.64m OD: 17,03m Sat: 9.69m 10167 81413 59106 MN: 11,29m OD: 39,31m Sat: 16.94m [4 days+ 0 hours] MN: 6.81m OD: 21.55m Sat: 12.17m 10329 85487 62548 MN: 13,35m OD: 47,42m Sat: 21.11m [3 days+ 0 hours] MN: 8.40m OD: 29.12m Sat: 16.07m 10763 94721 70452 MN: 17.15m OD: 62.15m Sat: 28.12m 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 Seems to be a lot less frontloading for Transformers compared to Fast8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 (edited) Is something like 135-140m USD OW and 285-300m USD total likely? I have total lack of experience in China bo but that's what it feels like. Have given an OW marginally higher than 2/3rds of F8 and then better legs, just north of 2x. Edited June 20, 2017 by a2knet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
