pepsa Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 16 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Hmm. Wonder if we’re going below 400 DOM+China? You might as well ask if we are going below 400m DOM, cause china won't help. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 SOLO on for a record breaking run in China, where it has now accumulated more than ¥1,000,000 in presales for Opening Day, and ¥2,000,000 in total presales! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nevermore Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, feasby007 said: SOLO on for a record breaking run in China, where it has now accumulated more than ¥1,000,000 in presales for Opening Day, and ¥2,000,000 in total presales! So that's like really bad right? How's the opening weekend looking like based on this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, nevermore said: So that's like really bad right? How's the opening weekend looking like based on this? 6 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 2 hours ago, nevermore said: So that's like really bad right? How's the opening weekend looking like based on this? On course for huge $10m OW I say. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 44 minutes ago, firedeep said: On course for huge $10m OW I say. That’s like 60,000,000,000,000,000 nanoyen! Could finish with almost double that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 Ranger Solo (3 days out) Midnights - 0.17m yuan OD - 1.08m (23638 screens) Sat - 0.44m Sun - 0.36m These numbers are just embarrassing 3 days out. Solo added about 10k screens today and had an increase of 68.75% which means it again did not double. If it doubles every day from here on out and has typical OW multipliers then it would get to 16m usd OW and then TLJ legs from there gets it to 24m usd total. I doubt it will double over the next 3 days and I doubt it will have typical OW multipliers so these numbers will most likely drop further I dont even have comparisions at same point in time as I usually track only SH movies and they all are way above thee numbers but I will try and find some others in this thread. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 Excluding when China was still an immature market, has there ever been such a huge disparity in performance between Domestic and China with regards to major tentpoles? Solo's China gross has a chance of going under 5% of Domestic, which seems worse than any major Hollywood blockbuster released there in recent years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Ranger Solo (3 days out) Midnights - 0.17m yuan OD - 1.08m (23638 screens) Sat - 0.44m Sun - 0.36m These numbers are just embarrassing 3 days out. Solo added about 10k screens today and had an increase of 68.75% which means it again did not double. If it doubles every day from here on out and has typical OW multipliers then it would get to 16m usd OW and then TLJ legs from there gets it to 24m usd total. I doubt it will double over the next 3 days and I doubt it will have typical OW multipliers so these numbers will most likely drop further I dont even have comparisions at same point in time as I usually track only SH movies and they all are way above thee numbers but I will try and find some others in this thread. Thanks for all the work you put in! Same for Potus. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 19 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Ranger Solo (3 days out) Midnights - 0.17m yuan OD - 1.08m (23638 screens) Sat - 0.44m Sun - 0.36m These numbers are just embarrassing 3 days out. Solo added about 10k screens today and had an increase of 68.75% which means it again did not double. If it doubles every day from here on out and has typical OW multipliers then it would get to 16m usd OW and then TLJ legs from there gets it to 24m usd total. I doubt it will double over the next 3 days and I doubt it will have typical OW multipliers so these numbers will most likely drop further I dont even have comparisions at same point in time as I usually track only SH movies and they all are way above thee numbers but I will try and find some others in this thread. On 1/1/2018 at 9:30 PM, fmpro said: SW8 did not show the monday power that JL and Thor3 did 4,07 mill with 3 days to go. Lets see what happens tomorrow but i doubt 100 mill yuan OD is impossible atp On 4/9/2018 at 9:24 PM, ZeeSoh said: 3 days out Rampage - 2.97 (+39.4%) (46k screens) Annihilation - 2.22 (+16.2%) (21k screens) I couldnt find any close comparisions but TLJ was at 4.07m 3 days out which is 276% more than Solo at same point in time. Dont know what the screen count was but TLJ opened to around 28m usd. Same proportions would mean Solo opens to 10m usd Another comparision which was somewhat close is Annihilation. It had similar screen count at same point in time but more than double the PS. However Annihilation had that many screens many days in advance which helped it to have a bigger ps 3 days out. Solo on the other just today got to 23k screens and this is apparent in the fact that Solo's PS jumps have been much bigger than Annihilations and will continue to be bigger. But Annihilation ended up with 5.5m yuan in PS and had an OW of about 6m usd. Solo, if it doubles everyday from here on out, is looking at a final PS not much higher than that of Annihilation. It will get to just 8.64. All in all signs are pointing to a 10m usd OW and about 15-16m usd total. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 (edited) 28 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: I couldnt find any close comparisions but TLJ was at 4.07m 3 days out which is 276% more than Solo at same point in time. Dont know what the screen count was but TLJ opened to around 28m usd. Same proportions would mean Solo opens to 10m usd Another comparision which was somewhat close is Annihilation. It had similar screen count at same point in time but more than double the PS. However Annihilation had that many screens many days in advance which helped it to have a bigger ps 3 days out. Solo on the other just today got to 23k screens and this is apparent in the fact that Solo's PS jumps have been much bigger than Annihilations and will continue to be bigger. But Annihilation ended up with 5.5m yuan in PS and had an OW of about 6m usd. Solo, if it doubles everyday from here on out, is looking at a final PS not much higher than that of Annihilation. It will get to just 8.64. All in all signs are pointing to a 10m usd OW and about 15-16m usd total. China will do less for solo than Thailand did for IW? SW needs to have some legs so SW9 can increase. Edited May 21, 2018 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 (edited) 9 hours ago, KP1025 said: Excluding when China was still an immature market, has there ever been such a huge disparity in performance between Domestic and China with regards to major tentpoles? Solo's China gross has a chance of going under 5% of Domestic, which seems worse than any major Hollywood blockbuster released there in recent years. The closest I can think of is Power Rangers (which ironically also has a Ranger in the title) which did less than $5m in China v.s. 85m DOM, which still had a proportion of 5%+.... that is, if Power Rangers count as a tentpole.... Edited May 22, 2018 by firedeep 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 (edited) 15 hours ago, KP1025 said: Excluding when China was still an immature market, has there ever been such a huge disparity in performance between Domestic and China with regards to major tentpoles? Solo's China gross has a chance of going under 5% of Domestic, which seems worse than any major Hollywood blockbuster released there in recent years. it goes the other way too in china. Not 5% but RE6 domestic was just 16% of CBO. XXX3 was 25% Solo not doubling and it has almost half of its expected shows listed at 27k Looks like $20m OW is out the window and $10m looking tough unless there are unexpected huge bumps on the last 2 days. Its an odd rollout, a small surprise can still happen but $15m OW is the max right now Edited May 22, 2018 by POTUS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 22, 2018 Author Share Posted May 22, 2018 Doraemon on June 1st. Solo's doomsday. 1 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 These Solo projections... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andreas Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 How is IW looking today? How much will it gross from Mon to Thu in USD? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, Andreas said: How is IW looking today? How much will it gross from Mon to Thu in USD? over $4m today, $17m M-Th 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 (edited) Solo PS will not double again today. It has risen only 36% so far to 1.47m Yuan at 7:30pm. 10m usd OW looking in trouble right now Edited May 22, 2018 by ZeeSoh 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Using typical multipliers and an assumed doubling of PS everyday, Solo’s OW projections started at 20m usd. Then I revised them down to 18.8. Then 16, and now they are looking at about 12 😂 1 1 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 i wonder what Grace Randolph thinks Solo China will do 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...