AhmiiZafii Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 3 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Re non-holiday thing. 6 years ago, Dhoom:3 released in India and everyone was like the buzz is huge and all but since its releasing on non-holiday, it won't be able to cross the opening day record. I was in same group of people, more so because I don't like Aamir Khan and Chennai Express held the opening records. But by the time Monday before release came, I was fucking sure of OD record. That film created OD record on a Non-Holiday in India and then OW record and eventually record grosser of all time. What I am saying, when there is demand and film is good, you don't really need Holiday. It's not that you gonna face capacity problem, as all Endgame needs is 40% occupancy and it will hit ¥550-575mn on 220k shows. For ¥450mn, it only needs 30%. A:IW day wise occupancy Previews: 51% Friday: 40% Saturday: 48% Sunday: 32% Dhoom 3 wasn't good tho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 (edited) 4 minutes ago, AhmiiZafii said: Dhoom 3 wasn't good tho Agreed, just enough for general audience and ofcourse Christmas and New Year helped legs after weekend. Edited April 20, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 My Prediction/Projection for Avengers: Endgame Age of Ultron Infinity War Endgame Monday ¥30 Tuesday ¥186 ¥160 Wednesday ¥125 -32.73% ¥460 Thursday ¥92 -26.69% ¥60 ¥276 -40.00% Friday ¥126 37.57% ¥387 ¥331 20.00% Saturday ¥238 89.05% ¥494 27.43% ¥414 25.00% Sunday ¥170 -28.71% ¥332 -32.75% ¥207 -50.00% Monday ¥45 -73.38% ¥109 -67.08% ¥93 -55.00% Tuesday ¥40 -12.00% ¥81 -25.83% ¥88 -5.00% Wednesday ¥49 23.76% ¥65 -19.79% ¥146 65.00% Thursday ¥29 -41.61% ¥52 -19.57% ¥102 -30.00% Friday ¥40 40.29% ¥72 37.50% ¥107 5.00% Saturday ¥77 90.57% ¥142 97.99% ¥145 35.00% Sunday ¥57 -26.24% ¥133 -6.88% ¥87 -40.00% Monday ¥16 -72.52% ¥32 -76.10% ¥26 -70.00% Tuesday ¥16 4.62% ¥25 -20.36% ¥22 -15.00% Wednesday ¥11 -30.90% ¥21 -15.80% ¥19 -15.00% Thursday ¥8 -26.80% ¥19 -12.28% ¥16 -15.00% 2 Weeks ¥1,355 ¥2,023 ¥2,700 Rest ¥109 ¥367 ¥225 Total ¥1,464 ¥2,390 ¥2,925 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 20, 2019 Author Share Posted April 20, 2019 (edited) 3 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: My Prediction/Projection for Avengers: Endgame Age of Ultron Infinity War Endgame Monday ¥30 Tuesday ¥186 ¥160 Wednesday ¥125 -32.73% ¥460 Thursday ¥92 -26.69% ¥60 ¥276 -40.00% Friday ¥126 37.57% ¥387 ¥331 20.00% Saturday ¥238 89.05% ¥494 27.43% ¥414 25.00% Sunday ¥170 -28.71% ¥332 -32.75% ¥207 -50.00% Monday ¥45 -73.38% ¥109 -67.08% ¥93 -55.00% Tuesday ¥40 -12.00% ¥81 -25.83% ¥88 -5.00% Wednesday ¥49 23.76% ¥65 -19.79% ¥146 65.00% Thursday ¥29 -41.61% ¥52 -19.57% ¥102 -30.00% Friday ¥40 40.29% ¥72 37.50% ¥107 5.00% Saturday ¥77 90.57% ¥142 97.99% ¥145 35.00% Sunday ¥57 -26.24% ¥133 -6.88% ¥87 -40.00% Monday ¥16 -72.52% ¥32 -76.10% ¥26 -70.00% Tuesday ¥16 4.62% ¥25 -20.36% ¥22 -15.00% Wednesday ¥11 -30.90% ¥21 -15.80% ¥19 -15.00% Thursday ¥8 -26.80% ¥19 -12.28% ¥16 -15.00% 2 Weeks ¥1,355 ¥2,023 ¥2,700 Rest ¥109 ¥367 ¥225 Total ¥1,464 ¥2,390 ¥2,925 Too low for May-day holiday (May 1-4), and May 1 will be highest day of 4, will sat will be lowest. BTW, EG just broke midnights admissions record Edited April 20, 2019 by Olive 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 Is this for real? https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3007011/chinese-cinemas-showing-avengers-endgame-ordered-cap-service If so, I assume it will hurt ATP but help attendance — good or bad net effect in ¥? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, Olive said: Too low for May-day holiday (May 1-4), and May 1 will be highest day of 4, will sat will be lowest. BTW, EG just broke midnights admissions record Damn. 80% higher ATP than FF8. I know it was high but didn't notice in % age. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Olive said: Too low for May-day holiday (May 1-4), and May 1 will be highest day of 4, will sat will be lowest. BTW, EG just broke midnights admissions record I think it will loss a lot of steam by then. If it is higher, as you say, will take your word, I don't see how it do less than ¥3Bn. Besides, you told me 1.5x OW shall be probable case, so I was thinking that may be you will say it is too high. On that note, IMO holiday usually boost a day by 80-100% and using the normal trending, as in Infinity War, May 1st would have been ¥75mn Approx, if not for Holiday. Edited April 20, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 35 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Is this for real? https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3007011/chinese-cinemas-showing-avengers-endgame-ordered-cap-service If so, I assume it will hurt ATP but help attendance — good or bad net effect in ¥? I assume this means people will get refunds or is it not retroactive? If so we could see the total decrease before it increases again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 1 minute ago, TalismanRing said: I assume this means people will get refunds or is it not retroactive? If so we could see the total decrease before it increases again. However we know that Maoyan refuses to reduce numbers. Therefore we'd simply have hours and hours of freezing until adjusted numbers catchup. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 1 minute ago, feasby007 said: However we know that Maoyan refuses to reduce numbers. Therefore we'd simply have hours and hours of freezing until adjusted numbers catchup. So business as usual for this run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 20, 2019 Author Share Posted April 20, 2019 43 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Is this for real? https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3007011/chinese-cinemas-showing-avengers-endgame-ordered-cap-service If so, I assume it will hurt ATP but help attendance — good or bad net effect in ¥? 6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: I assume this means people will get refunds or is it not retroactive? If so we could see the total decrease before it increases again. only very small amount of theaters does that, not a big deal 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 Either Frozen again or today was the weakest day in pre-sales. So weak, ¥250mn is doubtful now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 (edited) 19 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Either Frozen again or today was the weakest day in pre-sales. So weak, ¥250mn is doubtful now. ? 250 for when ? what day ? also really ? bc of one day it changes everything ? ok then hope its not frozen we will find soon enough Edited April 20, 2019 by john2000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, john2000 said: ? 250 for when ? what day ? also really ? bc of one day it changes everything ? ok then hope its not frozen we will find soon enough 250 for OD. And I'm pretty sure it's not frozen because it's been going up, just very slow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Menor said: 250 for OD. And I'm pretty sure it's not frozen because it's been going up, just very slow od that means tuesday right ? even then why this should be a suprise ? you cant expect this movie to sell so well foverever when already had done what iw did in 7 days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 Just now, john2000 said: od that means tuesday right ? even then why this should be a suprise ? you cant expect this movie to sell so well foverever when already had done what iw did in 7 days Wednesday. And I think Charlie had accounted for that in his projections chart, but today will still come in well below what he predicted which is not great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 Just now, Menor said: Wednesday. And I think Charlie had accounted for that in his projections chart, but today will still come in well below what he predicted which is not great. aha , he predicted 460 for wednesday though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 Just now, john2000 said: aha , he predicted 460 for wednesday though 250 is for presales, 460 is for actuals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 (edited) too slow... Edited April 20, 2019 by feasby007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted April 20, 2019 Share Posted April 20, 2019 Just now, Menor said: 250 is for presales, 460 is for actuals so he predicted 250 for presales today ? and it will come around low 200 then ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...