fmpro Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 17,88 at 6,30pm no pop today. It will be very interesting to see PS/OD ratio 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 gotg2's total seems like the high-end doesn't it? am not good at judging from the pre-sales though. just a guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: Update just for midnight and OD. Only Guardians data was for 2 hours later. Past 2 hours run rate was all over the place. Did 830K from 11-12 and 470K for 12-1PM. Average is 650K. At this rate its looking at 22m PS. I am still expecting it to accelerate to 24m before shows start tomorrow morning. [11 hours]Thor Ragnarok mid: 2.85 OD: 14.46 [11 hours]Doctor Strange Midnight presales 1.70M OD presales 12.5M [11 hours]Fantastic Beasts Midnight presales 1.22m OD presales 14.15M Guardians 2 ( 9 hours to go) midnights - 3.15m OD - 20.25m DS and FB got to 20m in PS and opened to 81m and 74m Thor3 at 19.3m at 20:00. Running at 1.2m p/h. Should get to 25m at 00-01:00. GotG2 PS multi was 3.35 FB was 3.8 DS 4 GS and KM cleared 4.5. Pick your poison. My guess is 100-110m OD 333-366m OW $50-55m $100m +/-10% total. Higher possible if it gets a 9.1+ rating 7 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 With Geostorm setting a new stadart for bad destructionporn last week (almost PS*9) why not a new standart for great CB movies tomorrow with PS*5?? We will know real soon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Midnight PS is at 5.91m and OD PS is at 22.41m. PS watch is over and now the actual roller coaster ride will start tomorrow morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 (edited) 21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Midnight PS is at 5.91m and OD PS is at 22.41m. PS watch is over and now the actual roller coaster ride will start tomorrow morning. So it's lower (22.4m<<25m) than what POTUS extrapolated earlier. Hmm. The OD needs to be 4.5x PS to hit 100m. Is it doable?? Also, what does those two acronyms (GS & KM) stand for?? Edit: Haha. Just realized they must be Geostorm and Kingsman 2. Edited November 2, 2017 by MaxAggressor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 45 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said: So it's lower (22.4m<<25m) than what POTUS extrapolated earlier. Hmm. The OD needs to be 4.5x PS to hit 100m. Is it doable?? Also, what does those two acronyms (GS & KM) stand for?? Edit: Haha. Just realized they must be Geostorm and Kingsman 2. As Olive said PS is lower for movies released in winter. Doctor Strange did > 4x last year. I think this will mimic that. But I am skeptical about it behaving like Geostorm which was an original movie. Marvel movies are very well known over here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 On 11/2/2017 at 4:43 PM, MaxAggressor said: So it's lower (22.4m<<25m) than what POTUS extrapolated earlier. Hmm. The OD needs to be 4.5x PS to hit 100m. Is it doable?? Also, what does those two acronyms (GS & KM) stand for?? Edit: Haha. Just realized they must be Geostorm and Kingsman 2. PS has stopped rolling in. 24.2m final. Could 4x or 5 6 7. Who knows. No rating from midnights yet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, POTUS said: PS has stopped rolling in. 24.2m final. Could 4x or 5 6 7. Who knows. No rating from midnights yet Crossing fingers for PS*4-5 China should eat this kind of movie up bigtime Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, POTUS said: PS has stopped rolling in. 24.2m final. Could 4x or 5 6 7. Who knows. No rating from midnights yet Douban has it at 7.7. Maoyan OD estimate is 83m which to me is too low. To me range is 90-100m. Only thing not in its favor is its a known franchise. so awareness should be there. So its PS ratio will be lot worse than original movies. But its strong reviews should help though China has its own ecosystem. I wonder how its reception in China Social Networks. I hope @Olive Skywalker can provide a perspective there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 2, 2017 Author Share Posted November 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Douban has it at 7.7. Maoyan OD estimate is 83m which to me is too low. To me range is 90-100m. Only thing not in its favor is its a known franchise. so awareness should be there. So its PS ratio will be lot worse than original movies. But its strong reviews should help though China has its own ecosystem. I wonder how its reception in China Social Networks. I hope @Olive Skywalker can provide a perspective there. Crowd reaction from midnight show is very good, better than GOTG2/SMH 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said: Crowd reaction from midnight show is very good, better than GOTG2/SMH I think it will at least have 2x OW. May be even more(like Wondy multi). Next weekend Orient Express looks like bombing big time. So Thor should be dominant and win the weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Thor 3 at 39m at 1300, running at 5m p/h. 99m OD. 335m/$50m OW with a standard 30% bump tomorrow. Could be a 40%+ with the 9.2 rating on Maoyan. Itll get to $100m if can hold -65% next week against weak competition. However, thats been tough lately. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 7, 2017 Author Share Posted November 7, 2017 License for JL has been released, presales will start soon 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 7, 2017 Author Share Posted November 7, 2017 It has begun, 65 midnight showtimes listed already 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 Wow PS for JL exploding out of the gate. If it follows usual trends 200m/$30m OD likely. 660m/$100m OW Good shot at 1300m/$200m total 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 (edited) 23 minutes ago, POTUS said: Wow PS for JL exploding out of the gate. If it follows usual trends 200m/$30m OD likely. 660m/$100m OW Good shot at 1300m/$200m total $200M... that's more than Civil War, maybe this film will make the DCEU bigger in China If JL makes $200M in China, 1Billion ww is locked then Edited November 7, 2017 by raulbalarezo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 Let's not get excited too early. This will have a good start but PS need to grow. Let's see where it is END of Friday. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 Didn't dunkirk also had very good pre sales start? Let's see how it goes in few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted November 7, 2017 Share Posted November 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, damnitgeorge08 said: Didn't dunkirk also had very good pre sales start? Let's see how it goes in few days. Dont know about Dunkirk but BR2049 had higher PS than Geostorm and looking to do 18-20 OW and double that overall. But in the end it couldnt even get to 12 million total. Still early days for JL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
