WEEKEND ESTIMATES: 23.48 M THE BOSS | 23.44 M BVS: DOJ | 14.35 M ZOOTOPIA | 5.10 M HARDCORE HENRY

[Bishop54]

4 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

22.5-23m bvs

They must have released that extended cut on Saturday.

[#ED]

Rather large increases all around.

[Ryan Reynolds]

Melissa McCarthy is new Adam Sandler, critic proof, but will wear thin rather soon, if she don't expand, not a fat joke

[Emirazza]

Too bad, we're not gonna have any meltdowns this weekend. 

[Olive]

Good increase for top 3.

[POTUS 2020]

6 minutes ago, Chewy said:

Only ~55% weekend drop, 2x multiplier back on track

Going to get crushed next week. Still under 325m, 1.96x OW

[Bishop54]

4 minutes ago, #ED said:

Rather large increases all around.

What was going on Friday where increases were muted? I expect huge Sunday drops due to The Masters final round. 

[cannastop]

Just now, Bishop54 said:

What was going on Friday where increases were muted? I expect huge Sunday drops due to The Masters final round. 

Maybe for adult films. Family audiences might still be out and about.

[Bishop54]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Maybe for adult films. Family audiences might still be out and about.

I was poking fun at the notion that any sporting event besides the Super Bowl has an effect on the box-office.

[Emirazza]

Wish we could have a little more for Zoo..

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Bishop54 said:

I was poking fun at the notion that any sporting event besides the Super Bowl has an effect on the box-office.

Oh, K.

 

But Jordan Spieth is turning out to a star, isn't he?

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, Emirazza said:

Wish we could have a little more for Zoo..

Given its Friday, the Saturday total was a very good outcome.

[StarSaber]

2 minutes ago, Emirazza said:

Wish we could have a little more for Zoo..

Um, that's a 91% increase. That's great for it! It will finish around 14 million for the weekend. That is down less than 30%. That is great for it! Also, it will very likely enter the list for top 10 6th weekends unadjusted. That is great for it!

[a2k]

6.05 + 10.6 + 6.35 (-40%) = 23m for bvs (-55%)

 

F7's Sat jumped from +35% to +55% after spring break.

BVS's last Sat was +49%. Same increase as F7 gives 77%.

And 10.6 is +75%

 

The bad news is that Friday should have been +135% instead of +122% if it were keeping pace with F7.

F7's Friday went from +129.2% to 185.4% after spring break.

BVS's last Friday was +94% and should have increased to +135% if it had kept pace with F7.

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, StarSaber said:

Um, that's a 91% increase. That's great for it! It will finish around 14 million for the weekend. That is down less than 30%. That is great for it! Also, it will very likely enter the list for top 10 6th weekends unadjusted. That is great for it!

I only wish that its Friday was bigger. :/

[dxmatrixdt]

DERBY UPDATE: Lots of changes from last update.  Expect lots of changes tomorrow.  I tweaked estimates based on latest numbers.  THis is the top 10 i entered to get these results

The Boss - 23.5

Batman - 23.0

Zootopia - 14.64

MBFGW - 6.5

Hardcore Henry - 5.25

Heaven - 4.64

GND2 - 4.4

Allegiant - 3.6

Cloverfield - 2.87

Meet the Blacks - 1.96

 

Rolling Thunder	90.702
WrathofHan	90.397
TalismanRing	89.626
moviecriticguy	89.288
8wombi7	88.496
Simionski	88.145
bapi	88.025
CJohn	87.917
Matrix4You	87.721
Dipper	87.686
Digoron	86.975
boxofficeth	86.901
damienroc	86.794
narniadis	86.512
Bozly	86.311
Water Bottle	86.246
Fanboy	85.912
XeOF4	85.861
darkelf	85.825
jj99	85.663
Bates	85.418

[abra]

4th UPDATE, Sunday 12:30AM: When Universal executives wake up Sunday morning, they’ll likely have something to crow about: Melissa McCarthy’s The Boss appears to have elbowed Warner Bros. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice out of No. 1 after its two weekend hold, with respective industry projections for each title at $24.5M and $23.3M. Even though BvS made more than The Boss on Saturday, $10.6M to $10M, the McCarthy movie had the upper hand on Friday night with an extra $2M over BvS. Kudos to Uni distribution for choosing the right spot on the calendar for this R-rated female targeted comedy. They waited until BvS let out its air, then took advantage of the marketplace which lacks a solid fun draw for females. By the way, that was a similar tactic Warner Bros. took with Tammy, McCarthy’s first title directed by her husband Ben Falcone (FSS $21.6M). During the early part of July 2014, there wasn’t a R-rated flick for women, so Tammy fit the bill.  So much for a three weekend run at No. 1, Bruce and Clark. Similar to CinemaScore, ComScore’s PostTrak also spotted older women in the theater for The Boss with 59% female at 70% over 25.

 

 

http://deadline.com/2016/04/the-boss-batman-v-superman-weekend-box-office-hardcore-henry-1201734744

Edited April 10, 2016 by abra

[wileECoyote]

Tight race between BvS and The Boss but giving edge to Boss right now.  

Good hold for Zoo after muted jump.  14-14.5 weekend or around 25% drop.  

[superduperm]

Come on Zootopia. Really want you to beat Shrek the Third (and possibly Minions).

[Intergalactic Ping Pong]

2 hours ago, Bishop54 said:

I was poking fun at the notion that any sporting event besides the Super Bowl has an effect on the box-office.

 

Last year, apparently 5% of the U.S. population watched the Masters final round, with around 64% of them being in the 30-64 year old demos.

Even the NCAA Championship game from a few days back was only at 6% of U.S. pop. That audience skews a bit younger though.

The NBA Finals averaged 6.7% of the U.S. population.

The World Series last year was on par with the Masters at 5%.

The 2012 Olympics had an average U.S. viewership of 10.3% each day. 

 

Only the Superbowl hit more than 15% of the national audience, at 37%. This is the only sporting event I can think of that could have a significant impact on the box office. Your point is on point. 

Edited April 10, 2016 by Intergalactic Ping Pong