Summer Game SOTM 2: Forecasting the forecasts - Deadline is Thursday 12th May at 11:59pm

[chasmmi]

There are a number of films that for many reasons received few to none gross predictions in our collective top 15 domestic charts. This is a minor chance for some of those films to shine.

 

Boxoffice.com do their weekly long range forecasts for all wide movies that currently runs up until the July 1st releases. Below I shall list some of forecasts for films nobody (or at best almost nobody) sees impacting the final top 15:

 

Money Monster: $28m

Nice Guys: $60m

Popstar: $25m

Me before You: $45m

 

Now you see me 2: $65M

Free State of Jones: $43M

The Shallows: $28m

The purge: $42m

 

You may choose as many or as few of the above films as you please. For each film you choose, you must select 1 of the following predictions: HIGHER, LOWER, HALF, DOUBLE.

 

HIGHER: Means you predict the final total by end of game will be higher than BO.com's above forecast

LOWER: Means you predict the final total by end of game will be lower than BO.com's above forecast

 

HALF: Means you predict the final total by end of game will be less than half of the BO.com's above forecast

DOUBLE: Means you predict the final total by end of game will be more than double BO.com's above forecast

 

SCORING

 

For every correct prediction using either HIGHER or LOWER score 4000 points.

For every correct prediction using either HALF or DOUBLE score 10000 points.

 

For every incorrect prediction using either HIGHER or LOWER score minus 6000 points.

For every incorrect prediction using either HALF or DOUBLE score minus 15000 points.

 

This means that technically 80000 points can be won on this question, but it does require BO.com to be very very bad at its job  

 

Deadline is Thursday midnight at 11:59pm on 12th.

 

It is now 7am and I haven't slept yet so if there is something here which is unclear I will deal with it when I am more awake  

[HeyItsMoses]

Money Monster: $28m HIGHER

Nice Guys: $60m HIGHER

Popstar: $25m LOWER

Me before You: $45m HIGHER

 

Now you see me 2: $65M HIGHER

Free State of Jones: $43M LOWER

The Shallows: $28m HIGHER 

The purge: $42m HIGHER 

[That One Guy]

Money Monster: $28m - Higher

Nice Guys: $60m - Higher

Popstar: $25m - Higher

 

Now you see me 2: $65M - Higher

Free State of Jones: $43M - Lower

The purge: $42m - Higher

[WrathOfHan]

Money Monster: $28m Lower

Nice Guys: $60m Higher

Popstar: $25m Lower

Me before You: $45m Higher

 

The Shallows: $28m Higher

The purge: $42m Higher

[baumer]

Money Monster: $28m Higher

Nice Guys: $60m No guess

Popstar: $25m higher

Me before You: $45m no guess

 

Now you see me 2: $65M higher

Free State of Jones: $43M higher

The Shallows: $28m higher

The purge: $42m higher

[Infernus]

What about an On The Spot? You know, like within 5% of the given gross. Well you'll have to slightly adjust the higher and lower categories, but I think this should be an option.

[Jake Gittes]

So what happens if I predict higher and it grosses double, or I predict lower and it grosses less than half? I guess the answer is incorrect in that case?

[Empire]

Money Monster: $28m HIGHER 

Nice Guys: $60m HIGHER 

Popstar: $25m HIGHER 

Me before You: $45m LOWER

Now you see me 2: $65M HIGHER 

Free State of Jones: $43M HALF

The Shallows: $28m HIGHER 

The purge: $42m HIGHER

[chasmmi]

7 hours ago, Infernus said:

What about an On The Spot? You know, like within 5% of the given gross. Well you'll have to slightly adjust the higher and lower categories, but I think this should be an option.

 

Can't change things now  ALso I get my joy from seeing the pain on players' faces when they just miss out on a correct answer

[chasmmi]

7 hours ago, Jake Gittes said:

So what happens if I predict higher and it grosses double, or I predict lower and it grosses less than half? I guess the answer is incorrect in that case?

 

If you predict higher and it does double, you still win for predicting higher. Obviously it is not the case the other way aro

und though

[DAJK]

Money Monster: HIGHER

Purge: HIGHER

Nice Guys: HIGHER

Now You See Me: HIGHER

Me Before You: HIGHER

Popstar: LOWER

Free State of Jones: LOWER

 

[Plain Old Tele]

Money Monster: $28m -- HIGHER

Popstar: $25m -- LOWER

Free State of Jones: $43M -- LOWER

 

[The Panda]

The Shallows: $28m Higher, Double

The purge: $42m Higher

[chasmmi]

25 minutes ago, The Panda said:

The Shallows: $28m Higher, Double

The purge: $42m Higher

 

Just clarifying, this is you predicting Shallows will do at least double $28M yes?

[The Panda]

2 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

 

Just clarifying, this is you predicting Shallows will do at least double $28M yes?

 

Yes

[Wrath]

Sigh. I'm really wishing I'd bailed on Week 0 and edited my pre-season predictions one last time. Oh well. 

 

Edit -

 

Money Monster - Lower

Popstar - Lower

[Blankments]

Money Monster: $28m ABSTAIN

Nice Guys: $60m HIGHER

Popstar: $25m HIGHER

Me before You: $45m HIGHER

 

Now you see me 2: $65M HIGHER

Free State of Jones: $43M ABSTAIN

The Shallows: $28m HIGHER

The purge: $42m DOUBLE

[ElsaRoc]

Money Monster: $28m HIGHER

Nice Guys: $60m

Popstar: $25m

Me before You: $45m

 

Now you see me 2: $65M 

Free State of Jones: $43M LOWER

The Shallows: $28m HIGHER

The purge: $42m HIGHER

[narniadis]

Money Monster: $28m - Higher

Nice Guys: $60m - Abstain

Popstar: $25m - Lower

Me before You: $45m - Higher

 

Now you see me 2: $65M - Abstain

Free State of Jones: $43M - Abstain

The Shallows: $28m - Higher

The purge: $42m 0 - Higher

[Exxdee]

Money Monster: $28m - Lower
Nice Guys: $60m - Lower
Popstar: $25m - Lower
Me before You: $45m - Lower
 
Now you see me 2: $65M - Higher
Free State of Jones: $43M - Lower
The Shallows: $28m - Higher
The Purge: $42m 0 - Higher