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Tuesday numbers: Cap3 - 13.7M(Gitesh)

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9 minutes ago, moviesRus said:

 

I don't see Apocalypse outgrossing DOFP domestically with such weak buzz and reviews.

After seeing the reviews for Angry Birds/X-Men/Neighbors 2/Alice 2, I'm inclined to revise my May 2016 predicts :lol: 

  1. Captain America - Civil War: $480 million 
  2. X-Men - Apocalypse: $190 million 
  3. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $165 million 
  4. The Angry Birds Movie: $110 million 
  5. Neighbors 2: $90 million 
  6. The Nice Guys: $75 million 
  7. Money Monster: $25 million 
  8. The Darkness: $5 million 

Hopefully June, July and August have some films that finish between $190-299 million DOM. 

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, mahnamahna said:

Angry Birds could break out. And X-Men should still do $220-260 million DOM. I do admit that Neighbors 2 and Alice 2 are wild-cards. 

Way too harsh for Wednesday. 35% drop?

 

Wed - 10.4 

Thurs - 9.8 

Fri - 23

Sat - 35

Sun - 24 

$82 million 2nd weekend ($308 million) 

 

 

9.4 is -31.3% from 13.7

edit: -31.7% from 13.76

Edited by a2knet
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1 minute ago, mahnamahna said:

After seeing the reviews for Angry Birds/X-Men/Neighbors 2/Alice 2, I'm inclined to revise my May 2016 predicts :lol: 

  1. Captain America - Civil War: $480 million 
  2. X-Men - Apocalypse: $190 million 
  3. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $165 million 
  4. The Angry Birds Movie: $110 million 
  5. Neighbors 2: $90 million 
  6. The Nice Guys: $75 million 
  7. Money Monster: $25 million 
  8. The Darkness: $5 million 

Hopefully June, July and August have some films that finish between $190-299 million DOM. 

 

 

 

Too high on The Nice Guys and too low on Angry Birds. Reviews dont matter that much for kids films, and its going to be the only kids film until Finding Dory. (three weeks) Its going to make atleast Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs numbers. 

The Nice Guys will get lost in the summer, they should have given it a fall release date where reviews would have helped it alot. 

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6 minutes ago, cookie said:

Rouge One has a strong chance of passing BvS's total before the year ends even. It has two more days of December than TFA and even if it only does half the gross it could pass BvS by December 31st.

Disney's DOM for 2016 should surpass $2.5 billion. 

 

Finding Dory: $330 million 

Rogue One: $315 million 

Captain America - Civil War: $300 million 

Moana: $245 million 

Doctor Strange: $155 million 

Alice Through the Looking Glass: $140 million 

Pete's Dragon: $100 million 

The BFG: $85 million 

The Jungle Book: $55 million 

The Light Between Oceans: $40 million 

The Queen of Katwe: $15 million 

Zootopia: $10 million 

 

Even with these fairly conservative numbers by 12/31/16, Disney would have $2.9 billion for the year. 

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3 minutes ago, babz06 said:

Too high on The Nice Guys and too low on Angry Birds. Reviews dont matter that much for kids films, and its going to be the only kids film until Finding Dory. (three weeks) Its going to make atleast Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs numbers. 

The Nice Guys will get lost in the summer, they should have given it a fall release date where reviews would have helped it alot. 

Both of his predictions are pretty much correct. Angry Birds isn't doing more than 120M with those reviews and 75M is a good target for Nice Guys.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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10 minutes ago, moviesRus said:

 

CW would have to completely die this weekend for that to happen. lol.

 

He actually listed the additional amount each movie will make for Disney from this point on. Which means he predicted 500M finish for CW.

Edited by Sam
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CW projections based on Tuesday numbers...

 

Wednesday: $11M (-19.8%)

Thursday: $9.98M (-9.59%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $227M

 

Friday: $24.9M (+149%)

Saturday: $38.8M (+56%)

Sunday: $26.4M (-31.9%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $90.1M (-49.7%)

 

PROJECTED TEN-WEEK DOMESTIC: $525M (2.93x)

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1 minute ago, Sam said:

 

He actually listed the additional amount each movie will make for Disney from this point on. Which means he predicted 500M finish for CW.

 

Gotcha lol. $500m is too much though. I guess it now has a better shot since Apocalypse got meh reviews.

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1 minute ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said:

 

Even more laughable since it'll cross that in probably 3 weeks..

You didn't understood. He is saying that Cap3 will do 500M in total lol. 

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12 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

Disney's DOM for 2016 should surpass $2.5 billion. 

 

Finding Dory: $330 million 

Rogue One: $315 million 

Captain America - Civil War: $300 million 

Moana: $245 million 

Doctor Strange: $155 million 

Alice Through the Looking Glass: $140 million 

Pete's Dragon: $100 million 

The BFG: $85 million 

The Jungle Book: $55 million 

The Light Between Oceans: $40 million 

The Queen of Katwe: $15 million 

Zootopia: $10 million 

 

Even with these fairly conservative numbers by 12/31/16, Disney would have $2.9 billion for the year. 

 

OK, I'm confused by these numbers lol

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20 minutes ago, Sam said:

 

Even better for Cap. 

 

A 25-28% drop today would be good. 

 

Iron Man 3 and Ultron dropped 28.1% and 28.3% on Wednesday respectively. Anything below 28% would further increase CW's lead.

Edited by cookie
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Maybe someone should start a Disney 3B DOM club. 

What the above totals show is that while my gut is that Disney would fall just a little short, if they have even one more breakout hit from the ones not expected to be big (Alice, Doctor Strange, Moana, Pete's Dragon or BFG) then getting to 3B would actually be in reach.

 

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