mahnamahna Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 (edited) 4 hours ago, pieman said: It's sad that the only movies that have been able to cross $100M this year have been comic book movies or animated movies. It tells you a lot about the state of the film industry. Central Intelligence, ID42, Bourne 5, Ghostbusters, Star Trek 3, Pete's Dragon could all do it. Conjuring 2 and Bad Moms have an outside chance. 2 hours ago, JohnnyGossamer said: So... What kind of second weekend for Dory? I'm thinking about $75M+. But, that might be a bit too high though. From a $13 million Thursday $25 million Friday $33 million Saturday $24 million Sunday $82 million 2nd weekend. $70 million+ second weekend should happen if Tuesday increases or stays relatively flat and Wed/Thurs combine for $25-30 million. $80 million+ weekend might be too bullish, but no family competition should help out a little bit. Edited June 21, 2016 by mahnamahna 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I'm pretty much expecting CI to finish at 90M like Ride Along 2, it's going to lose too many screens for 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 13 minutes ago, grey ghost said: "420"? "Foggy memory"? OK, I slightly exaggerated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 59 minutes ago, Captain H said: Cars 3.... yup, I definitely will skip that one. Oh please no...I mean, Cars 1&2 were fine but that's their only franchise I'm not interested in..Other Pixar movies we know about? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 2 hours ago, Baumer said: No, Monday wasn't inflated at all, the way I read it. If it would have had a normal Sunday, this drop would be about 50%, in line with TS3. So the Monday number isn't inflated and Tuesday should behave normally, imo. No, Monday is really inflated because of game 7 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Monsters U legs is what I'm expecting for FD, not TS3 so around ~$450m, maybe even less. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Secret life of Pets will prevent Dory to hit the big league bo-wise. Beating Civil War should be considered a victory. I am not sure people understand the legs thing aroung these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 1 hour ago, Fullbuster said: Oh please no...I mean, Cars 1&2 were fine but that's their only franchise I'm not interested in..Other Pixar movies we know about? we know about toy story 4 (2018) and the incredibles 2 (2019), both of which I am sure will be solid, maybe even great. There's also Coco which comes out next year, which is inspired by a Mexico holiday about the dead (or something like that.). Two more pixar movies will release in 2020, both could be original films. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 17 minutes ago, mahnamahna said: Central Intelligence, ID42, Bourne 5, Ghostbusters, Star Trek 3, Pete's Dragon could all do it. "Could" being the operative word there. Doesn't change the fact that for half the year the only films that have cleared $100m are animated or comic book films. And nothing else has come even remotely close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 (edited) Estimations for the rest of Dory and CI's runs: Dory: Remainder of the week: 75M (205.1M total) Jun 24: 70M (40M weekdays, 315.1M total) Jul 1: 40M (24M weekdays, 379.1M total) Jul 8: 18M (12M weekdays, 409.1M total) Jul 15: 10M (7M weekdays, 426.1M total) Jul 22: 5M (3.5M weekdays, 434.6M total) Jul 29: 3.5M (2M weekdays, 440.1M total) Aug 5: 2M (1.2M weekdays, 443.3M total) Aug 12: 1.4M (800k weekdays, 445.5M total) Final Total: 450M (3.33x) The lack of appealing family options inbetween Pete's Dragon and Storks should push Dory to 450M (Wild Life isn't doing more than Norm). The ogrelord will still reign supreme. CI: Remainder of the week: 8M (43.5M total) Jun 24: 17.5M (4M weekdays, 65M total) Jul 1: 8.7M (2.3M weekdays, 76M total) Jul 8: 4.2M (1.2M weekdays, 81.4M total) Jul 15: 2M (700k weekdays, 84.1M total) Final Total: 87M (2.45x) Nothing so far that indicates this will have amazing legs. Edited June 21, 2016 by WrathOfHan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 6 minutes ago, NCsoft said: we know about toy story 4 (2018) and the incredibles 2 (2019), both of which I am sure will be solid, maybe even great. There's also Coco which comes out next year, which is inspired by a Mexico holiday about the dead (or something like that.). Two more pixar movies will release in 2020, both could be original films. The Incredibles 2? OMG it was high time!! Toy Story 4 could become the biggest animated movie EVER if they had Marvel/Star Wars toys 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I hope Dory takes the all time biggest animated film crown from Shrek 2. Seems to be within reach unless game 7 really did inflate Monday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superweirdo87 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 http://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart Some holdovers from Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Dory needs a 3.27x multiplier to beat Shrek 2. I think that's a reasonable number, as it doesn't need to come close to TS3's 3.77x. Right now I'd go with around $450-460m. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 (edited) 2 hours ago, narniadis said: Cool man - we like having new "believers" if you will lol Summer behaves much differently from any other time of year - think of the 2 weeks of Christmas break and then stretch that out to 8 weeks of summer (give or take) we have much larger weekdays but far smaller Friday and Saturday increases. A film like Dory will probably increase less than 50% on both Friday and Saturday this coming weekend. NOT saying that 20m isn't impressive its still #10 on the largest freaking mondays ever lol but the playing it off as abnormal is just wishful thinking on some people parts - or in your case due to lack of knowledge. There's the narniadis I remember. Not condescending at all. Gotta say, the way you consistently poo-pooed Zootopia's run was probably accurate. It's just that Zootopia actually was an outlier. It remains to be seen how Finding Dory performs. Edited June 21, 2016 by cannastop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Don't want to be that guy BUT... FD may beat Shrek 2 unadjusted but we all know it will finish lightyears behind in the attendence figures. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said: Don't want to be that guy BUT... FD may beat Shrek 2 unadjusted but we all know it will finish lightyears behind in the attendence figures. Was any of you around a BO forum of this kind when Shrek 2 was doing its run? How was it like to experience that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 2 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: Don't want to be that guy BUT... FD may beat Shrek 2 unadjusted but we all know it will finish lightyears behind in the attendence figures. Well, sure. We might never again see a year that has 1.5 billion tickets sold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ttr Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 The Incredibles 2? OMG it was high time!! Toy Story 4 could become the biggest animated movie EVER if they had Marvel/Star Wars toys That's an interesting idea. Darth Vader or Iron Man? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 36 minutes ago, grey ghost said: I hope Dory takes the all time biggest animated film crown from Shrek 2. Seems to be within reach unless game 7 really did inflate Monday. I want that too, Pixar needs the top spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
