Weekend Actuals (Page 96): Dory 73M | IDR 41M | CI 18.2M | Shallows 16.8M | Conjuring 7.7M | Jones 7.6M

[Ethan Hunt]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Bourne 5 will do MI5 numbers and Star Trek will see a giant drop from Into Darkness. None of them will be a good performer.

You act like 190M would be some kind of pitiful number for Bourne

[TalismanRing]

BO.com  w/e estimates.  That ID4 estimate looks at least $3m too high.  And it looks like JB got the Zootopia, Dory Drive Ins.

 

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Finding Dory	$77,000,000	-43%	4,305	0	$17,886	$290,317,902	2	Disney
2	Independence Day: Resurgence	$45,000,000	—	4,068	—	$11,062	$45,000,000	1	Fox
3	Central Intelligence	$18,200,000	-49%	3,508	0	$5,188	$69,132,458	2	Warner Bros. / New Line
4	The Shallows	$17,000,000	—	2,962	—	$5,739	$17,000,000	1	Sony / Columbia
5	Free State of Jones	$7,500,000	—	2,815	—	$2,664	$7,500,000	1	STX Entertainment
6	The Conjuring 2	$7,200,000	-52%	3,033	-323	$2,374	$86,401,434	3	Warner Bros. / New Line
7	Now You See Me 2	$5,600,000	-40%	2,745	-487	$2,040	$5,600,000	3	Lionsgate / Summit
8	X-Men: Apocalypse	$2,600,000	-51%	1,679	-953	$1,549	$151,251,991	5	Fox
9	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows	$2,400,000	-54%	1,947	-1139	$1,233	$77,117,555	4	Paramount
10	Warcraft	$2,100,000	-71%	1,952	-1454	$1,076	$43,856,470	3	Universal
11	Me Before You	$2,000,000	-49%	1,538	-1107	$1,300	$51,302,751	4	Warner Bros. / New Line

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Alice Through the Looking Glass	$2,300,000	-46%	495	-1385	$4,646	$74,726,863	5	Disney
2	Captain America: Civil War	$1,400,000	-40%	753	-681	$1,859	$403,888,730	8	Disney
3	The Jungle Book (2016)	$1,250,000	-16%	478	-475	$2,615	$358,033,791	11	Disney
4	The Angry Birds Movie	$470,000	-72%	443	-1578	$1,061	$104,949,793	6	Sony / Columbia
5	Zootopia	$295,000	-69%	233	-72	$1,266	$340,384,142	17	Disney

Edited June 25, 2016 by TalismanRing

[filmlover]

CJohn is just salty that Roland Emmerich's career has officially been rendered irrelevant.

[John Marston]

I first thought this means Top Gun 2 is canned but then that one will bring back Tom Cruise at least so maybe not 

[kswiston]

$45M seems wishful thinking for ID4 Resurgence after the $12.8M Friday. It would need to increase at least 20% today and have a good Sunday hold. 

[trifle]

10 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I see Star Trek and Jason Bourne landing in that $150-200M range that seems to be eluding everything this year. Ghostbusters will also likely end up there too.

 

XA will cross $150 M this weekend.  It is at $149.3 M DOM right now.

[Jawa]

Wow. 20 years of inflation and it still couldn't beat ID4's opening.

[La Binoche]

My favorite Roland Emmerich movie is Stargate. 

 

[grim22]

6 months of the year done and there will be no movies between 160M and 330M. Crazy. Apocalypse will just about get past 150M.

 

Pets may end between those figures in the next month but I don't see any other July openers managing it.

[kswiston]

If Secret Life of Pets over performs (or severely underperforms) we could end up with no film in the $200-299M range until Suicide Squad. Its really been a year of feast or famine.

[Ethan Hunt]

Just now, grim22 said:

 

 

Pets may end between those figures in the next week but I don't see any other July openers managing it.

Bourne?

[grim22]

Just now, Ethan Hunt said:

Bourne?

 

Don't see it hitting 160M, might do 150 but I don't see it being a huge event. The views dropped off big for the last trailer and the social media metrics are not promising. 

 

If it ends up being really really good, it might break out but Universal need to start stepping it up now.

[John Marston]

Just now, grim22 said:

 

Don't see it hitting 160M, might do 150 but I don't see it being a huge event. The views dropped off big for the last trailer and the social media metrics are not promising. 

 

If it ends up being really really good, it might break out but Universal need to start stepping it up now.

 

 

Bourne appeals to the audience that got MI5  to 195m last year. With Damon returning I can see 200m

[DAR]

I could see Bourne playing with a little older crowd especially men in their 50's

Edited June 25, 2016 by DAR

[department store basement]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

Bourne appeals to the audience that got MI5  to 195m last year. With Damon returning I can see 200m

 

There were also only 4 years between Ethan Hunt installments, while there has been 9 years between Jason Bourne installments. It has a steeper climb.

[John Marston]

Just now, department store basement said:

 

There were also only 4 years between Ethan Hunt installments, while there has been 9 years between Jason Bourne installments. It has a steeper climb.

 

 

I think this will help since the character has been away for so long 

[department store basement]

2 minutes ago, DAR said:

I could see Bourne playing with a little older crowd especially men in their 50's

 

That's really the best argument for Bourne doing well - older audiences are the main theatergoing audience today and it looks both good and right up their wheelhouse.

 

How long will it take before all films aimed at the 18-35 audience go straight to Netflix since that demo doesn't go to theaters anymore?

[filmlover]

Yeah, Jason Bourne will play mostly to an older audience so I wouldn't expect it to post record social media numbers or something. Star Trek will also likely skew older as well.

[DAR]

30 minutes ago, filmlover said:

CJohn is just salty that Roland Emmerich's career has officially been rendered irrelevant.

And that Portugal is going to be bounced out of the Euros

[WrathOfHan]

Bourne and Trek will skew older and Ghostbusters will get a good share of older audiences. Just remember that 75% of STID's audience was over 25.