July 1-4 Weekend Estimates | Dory 50.2m, Tarzan 45.6m, Purge 34.8m, BFG 22.2m, IDR 20.2m

[CJohn]

Just now, nilephelan said:

My math really sucks, but here is a best guess....

 

Purge - $14.4m

Tarzan - $14m

Dory - $13.2m

BFG - $7m

Independence Day - $4.7m

Central Intelligence - $3.7m

The Shallows - $3m

 

Lol BFG.

 

That is way more than I expected for Tarzan.

[4815162342]

10 hours ago, CJohn said:

 

WB, do it. Fuck that dude that scored BvS with God Zimmer. Throw him under a bus. 

 

Umm....

 

 

 

no

[xequalsy]

Shame BFG doesn't seem to be doing that well. ~$7m Friday doesn't give me much hope of it going much over $20m 3-day. Don't see that good a multiplier for it either, so it's definitely falling way short of its budget DOM. Maybe overseas will do better? There'll be better brand recognition in the UK at the very least.

 

Awesome Purge number. 

[filmlover]

Consider me rather impressed by that Tarzan number. Yeah, WB's still gonna loose a ton on it, but it could've been so much worse. Who knows, it might even end up making more than Independence Day 2 (which is looking to barely pass $100M at this point, serves it right).

[James]

14 minutes ago, nilephelan said:

My math really sucks, but here is a best guess....

 

Purge - $14.4m

Tarzan - $14m

Dory - $13.2m

BFG - $7m

Independence Day - $4.7m

Central Intelligence - $3.7m

The Shallows - $3m

 

Wow. That is fantastic for Purge and great for Tarzan! Also great for CI. And wow at The BFG. What a bomb...

[That One Girl]

STOP CALLING THE BFG A FLOP, IT'S DISHEARTENING

[a2k]

14.4 = 3.60 + 10.80 for PURGE

14.0 = 2.55 + 11.45 for TARZAN

7.0 = 0.775 + 6.225 for BFG

DORY takes true Friday with 13.2m

 

Roughly,

#1 DORY 44m/55m (385m)

#2 TARZAN 37.5m/44.5m

#3 PURGE 32.5m/38m

#4 BFG 23m/30m

Edited July 2, 2016 by a2knet

[James]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

14.4 = 3.60 + 10.80 for PURGE

14.0 = 2.55 + 11.45 for TARZAN

7.0 = 0.775 + 6.225 for BFG

DORY takes true Friday with 13.2m

 

Roughly,

#1 DORY 43.5m/52.5m

#2 TARZAN 37m/43.5m

#3 PURGE 32.5m/38m

#4 BFG 23.5m/30m

BFG is not hitting 30m... I think 25m for Fri-Mon is more likely. Maybe Less.

Edited July 2, 2016 by James

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, James said:

BFG is not hitting 30m... I think 25m for Fri-Mon is more likely. Maybe Less.

 

Am thinking,

7 (0.775 + 6.225) + 8 + 8 + 7 = 30

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2011-07-04&p=.htm (July 4th on Monday)

Edited July 2, 2016 by a2knet

[mahnamahna]

26 minutes ago, nilephelan said:

My math really sucks, but here is a best guess....

 

Purge - $14.4m

Tarzan - $14m

Dory - $13.2m

BFG - $7m

Independence Day - $4.7m

Central Intelligence - $3.7m

The Shallows - $3m

 

Purge 3 - $34 million/$39.5 million

Tarzan - $37.5 million/$44.5 million

Dory - $44 million/$53 million

BFG - $21 million/$25 million

IDR - $15.5 million/$19 million

CI - $11.5 million/$14 million

Shallows - $9 million/$10.5 million

FSOJ - $4.5 million/$5.25 million 

Conjuring 2 - $3.5 million/$4 million

NYSM2 - $3 million/$3.5 million 

 

Much better than 2015 and 2014. 

 

Edited July 2, 2016 by mahnamahna

[Fullbuster]

More than 40m for Dory this weekend? Wow   500m is increasingly a safe bet!

 

Poor BFG, Master Spielberg doesn't deserve this........

[filmlover]

And as everyone could've expected, Swiss Army Man flopped hard in expansion. Sub-$2K PTA over the 4-day frame.

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

And as everyone could've expected, Swiss Army Man flopped hard in expansion. Sub-$2K PTA over the 4-day frame.

 

[That One Girl]

Bad weekend, BFG and Swiss Army Man flop, Tarzan overperforms, and fuck that stupid fish

[James]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Am thinking,

7 (0.775 + 6.225) + 8 + 8 + 7 = 30

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2011-07-04&p=.htm (July 4th on Monday)

I see. But then, why such a weak Monday for Tarzan. Following this pattern, even Dark of the Moon, which opened much higher, had only a 7.5% drop. Assuming a 10m un (and that is rather low) Fri-Mon should come over 46m. Or at least 45.

[The Panda]

Tarzan and Purge could make the top 15 for the summer if those numbers are right.  Lol, that's a curveball right there.

[zackzack]

41 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Gap between TDK and DORY

1st weekend : 23.3m (158.4m vs 135.1m)

2nd weekend : 27.5m (313.8m vs 286.3m)

3rd weekend : 19.5m (393.8m vs ~374.3m; using 44m 3-day for DORY)

After Monday the gap will reduce to 14m (400m vs 386m)

 

I at least see DORY doing 515m. 100m clear of TS3.

 

So, no more $600M ? 

[Blaze Heatnix]

Does anybody know how much Warcraft is gonna drop this weekend?

 

I need to have a good laugh this morning.

[James]

On RT audience score is up to 73% for Tarzan from 69% yesterday.  BFG is the same as yesterday (69%). 

[a2k]

15 minutes ago, James said:

I see. But then, why such a weak Monday for Tarzan. Following this pattern, even Dark of the Moon, which opened much higher, had only a 7.5% drop. Assuming a 10m un (and that is rather low) Fri-Mon should come over 46m. Or at least 45.

 

Yeah my Tarzan's a bit low. Should do 45m with 14m Friday.