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July 1-4 Weekend Estimates | Dory 50.2m, Tarzan 45.6m, Purge 34.8m, BFG 22.2m, IDR 20.2m

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21 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:


Deadline newest's update say Purge has estimated four-day of $37.2M

they changed all numbers 20 minutes after the release I posted. They love to monkey around

how did they come with 8.5m for Tarzan?

Edited by No Prisoners
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1).Finding Dory (DIS), 4,305 theaters / $23.4M Fri. (-57%)/ 3-day cume: $47.2M (-35%)/4-day: $57.9M/Total cume:$388.2/Wk 3

2). The Legend of Tarzan (WB), 4,068 theaters / $13.2M Fri. (includes $2.55M previews) / 3-day cume: $35.9M/4-day: $42.6M/Wk 1

3). The Purge: Election Day (UNI), 2,796 theaters / $13.4M Fri. (includes $3.64M previews) / 3-day cume: $32.2M/4-day: $37.2M/Wk 1

4). The BFG (DIS), 3,357 theaters / $7.2M Fri. (includes $775K previews) / 3-day cume: $20.5M/4-day: $24.8M/Wk 1

5). Independence Day: Resurgence (FOX), 4,091 theaters (+23) / $4.8M Fri. (-71%) /3-day cume: $15.8M/4-day: $19M (-54%)/Total:$75.2M/ Wk 2

6). Central Intelligence (WB/NL/UNI), 3,166 theaters (-342) / $3.6M Fri. (-36%) / 3-day cume: $11.8M (-35%)/4-day: $14.3M/Total: $93.7M/ Wk 3

 

 

9).  Conjuring 2 (WB/NL), 2,008 theaters (-1,025) / $1.1M Fri. (-55%) / 3-day cume: $3.7M (-52%)/4-day: $4.3M/Total cume:$95.7M/Wk 4

10). Now You See Me 2 (LG), 1,788 theaters (-957)/ $906K Fri. (-47%) / 3-day cume: $3.2M (-43%)/ 4-day: $3.8M/Total cume:$59.6M/Wk 4

11.) X-Men: Apocalypse (FOX), 630 theaters (-1,049) / $280K Fri. (-62%) / 3-day cume: $1M (-59%) /4-day: $1.3M/Total cume: $153.8M/Wk 6

12.) Swiss Army Men (A24), 636 theaters (+633) / $314K Fri. (+550%) /3-day cume: $987K (+836%)/4-day: $1.2M/Total: $1.35M/Wk 2

Notables:

Neon Demon (BGREEN/AMZN), 185 theaters (-598) / $45K Fri. (-81%) / 3-day cume: $153K (-74%)/4-day: $181K/Total:$1.1M/Wk 2

 

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3 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

they changed all numbers 20 minutes after the release I posted. They love to monkey around

how did they come with 8.5m for Tarzan?

It's apparently a $13.2M Friday for Tarzan 

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1).Finding Dory (DIS), 4,305 theaters / $23.4M Fri. (-57%)/ 3-day cume: $47.2M (-35%)/4-day: $57.9M/Total cume:$388.2/Wk 3



2). The Legend of Tarzan (WB), 4,068 theaters / $13.2M Fri. (includes $2.55M previews) / 3-day cume: $35.9M/4-day: $42.6M/Wk 1

3). The Purge: Election Day (UNI), 2,796 theaters / $13.4M Fri. (includes $3.64M previews) / 3-day cume: $32.2M/4-day: $37.2M/Wk 1

4). The BFG (DIS), 3,357 theaters / $7.2M Fri. (includes $775K previews) / 3-day cume: $20.5M/4-day: $24.8M/Wk 1



So we FINALLY get Friday numbers from Deadline... lmao

Edited by Mojoguy
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2 minutes ago, MrPink said:

Deadline drunk with that 23 mil number for Dory

On the bright side it looks like Free State of Jones overtook the Conjuring 2....but Deadline could be drunk about that too. 

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8 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

What the fuck are they smoking again. I take it that's supposed to be 13.4m for Dory. 

 

1).Finding Dory (DIS), 4,305 theaters / $23.4M Fri. (-57%)/ 3-day cume: $47.2M (-35%)/4-day: $57.9M/Total cume:$388.2/Wk 3

2). The Legend of Tarzan (WB), 4,068 theaters / $13.2M Fri. (includes $2.65M previews) / 3-day cume: $35.9M/4-day: $42.6M/Wk 1

3). The Purge: Election Day (UNI), 2,796 theaters / $13.4M Fri. (includes $3.65M previews) / 3-day cume: $32.2M/4-day: $37.2M/Wk 1

4). The BFG (DIS), 3,357 theaters / $7.2M Fri. (includes previews) / 3-day cume: $20.5M/4-day: $24.8M/Wk 1

holy shit they are all over the place. The monkeys are out of control

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4 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

1).Finding Dory (DIS), 4,305 theaters / $23.4M Fri. (-57%)/ 3-day cume: $47.2M (-35%)/4-day: $57.9M/Total cume:$388.2/Wk 3

3). The Purge: Election Day (UNI), 2,796 theaters / $13.4M Fri. (includes $3.64M previews) / 3-day cume: $32.2M/4-day: $37.2M/Wk 1

4). The BFG (DIS), 3,357 theaters / $7.2M Fri. (includes $775K previews) / 3-day cume: $20.5M/4-day: $24.8M/Wk 1

 

 

If those numbers hold, I will be pretty darn happy over at the Casino. :lol:

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You know society is nihilist as fuck when people think The Purge is meh.

 

Just the fact that a mainstream movie like this is possible says alot about how modern civilization takes everything in stride.

 

I guess after the counter culture of the 60's, the disillusionment of the 80's, and 9-11 it's hard to shock people any more.

 

 

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That's painly bad for BFG, with this opening anything over 75m DOM is out of the question. Not sure if OS can save this.

 

Very good for Purge and decent for Tarzan. This one can be saved if OS does 300m+ or so.

 

Dory's number is...pure Deadline. There's like 2000 people on this forum who could do a better job extrapolating numbers and that stuff

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Quite pleased with Tarzan's # to be honest. Could have gone a lot worse. Purge was always going to print cash for Universal, it was just about how much cash.

 

BFG though :sadno: 

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7).The Shallows (SONY), 2,962 theaters (0) / $2.9M Fri. (-58%)/ 3-day: $9.2M (-36%)/Total:$10.8M/Total: $37.1M/Wk 2

8).Free State of Jones (STX), 2,781 theaters  (-34)/ $1.38M Fri. (-48%) / 3-day cume: $4M(-47%)/4-day: $4.95M/Total: $16M/Wk 2

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After months of bad buzz and terrible tracking, that Friday number for Tarzan is looking pretty good to me. Amazing how these things can change your perception of a movie.

 

I don't expect it to hold, though. I'm thinking when actuals come around, it will probably be closer to $11-12M Friday and slightly miss $40M 4-day.

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Dory, Central Intelligence and The Shallows with the best holds from last weekend. All three dropped between 35-36% *according to Deadline.*

 

*Have to include the according to Deadline because I didn't bother to do the math myself so it's Deadline math. Take it as you will. 

Edited by Nova
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