Tuesday #s: Dory - $8.3M, Tarzan - $6M, Purge - $4.4M, BFG - $3.5M

[a2k]

BO is predicting -35% for 12.2m for BFG and 43m cume after the 2nd weekend.

Holds like those in face of competition and summer weekdays would put it on track for 70m.

Now 70m is still half of it's 140m budget but at least it's not the ~56m (3x multiplier from 18.8m) that we feared 

"Alice2 and BFG combined doing under 150m dom" club would have been something.

[a2k]

25-30% Wed drop would give DORY 5.75-6.15m.

[Nova]

4 hours ago, stripe said:

 

It's 49.5% less than last Tuesday. Dory's Tuesday to Tuesday drop is 44%. To see things in perspective.

 

IDR looks headed to a third weekend of 7-8M

I was referring to its Monday to Tuesday drop. Which when you look at other films Monday to Tuesday drop is downright pathetic. 

[druv10]

3 minutes ago, Nova said:

I was referring to its Monday to Tuesday drop. Which when you look at other films Monday to Tuesday drop is downright pathetic. 

Well to be fair, it had great Sunday and Monday holds. Much better than other movies so it was bound to balance out with weaker hold on Tuesday.

[narniadis]

24 minutes ago, Nova said:

I was referring to its Monday to Tuesday drop. Which when you look at other films Monday to Tuesday drop is downright pathetic. 

It's all about context... IDR is fine for what it is (a flop) 

[EmpireCity]

8 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

Guesses for Wednesday #'s

 

-31.37% - Finding Dory - 5.63 - 395.62

-30.24% - Tarzan - 4.19 - 56.78

-24.23% - Purge 3 - 3.29 - 43.77

-30.00% - The BFG - 2.40 - 28.55

 

 

Dory came in about $800k above and Tarzan/BFG better as well.  Purge pretty spot on.  

[FlashMaster659]

 

[mahnamahna]

13 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Yeah, I think 540 or so looks like what it would be headed for. We will see how Pets hits it though. 

From a $25 million 4th weekend ($427 million 24-day total) 

 

$18.5 million 5th weekend (-28% drop) - $464 million 31-day total

$10 million 6th weekend (-46% drop) - $485 million 38-day total

$7.5 million 7th weekend (-25% drop) - $500 million 45-day total

$5 million 8th weekend (-33% drop) - $510 million 52-day total

$3.5 million 9th weekend (-40% drop) - $516 million 59-day total

$2 million 10th weekend (-42% drop) - $519 million 66-day total

$1.5 million 11th weekend (-25% drop) - $521 million 73-day total

$2.75 million/$3.5 million 12th weekend (+80-ish%/+130-ish% increase) - $526 million 80-day total

$530-535 million DOM 

 

$540 million+ could happen with a $26-28 million 4th weekend and a sub-40% drop against Ice Age 5. But otherwise, just around TDK seems likely. 

3 hours ago, a2knet said:

BO is predicting -35% for 12.2m for BFG and 43m cume after the 2nd weekend.

Holds like those in face of competition and summer weekdays would put it on track for 70m.

Now 70m is still half of it's 140m budget but at least it's not the ~56m (3x multiplier from 18.8m) that we feared 

"Alice2 and BFG combined doing under 150m dom" club would have been something.

 

It has zero competition next weekend (a PG-13 sci-fi comedy and a small-scale thriller), so it could have a 15-25% drop. That would put it on track for $75 million+ DOM since summer weekdays can allow for 45-50% drops week-to-week and still turn into a solid run (if there are some decent holds interspersed). 

 

Double features with Pete's Dragon could get it to $80 million+ DOM by Labor Day. 

 

$80-90 million DOM and $250-350 million WW would be enough for it to eventually turn a small profit.