Tuesday Numbers | 6.25 M SUICIDE SQUAD

[Brainiac5]

5 minutes ago, BluRayHiDef said:

 

I don't think that R-rated comedies should be underestimated; consider what The Boss did to BvS during the latter's 3rd weekend and what Sausage Party did to Suicide Squad this past weekend. 

 

This weekend, we have War Dogs, an R-rated film that's being advertised as a comedy; it could dethrone SS.

He comes the doom and gloom crew

[a2k]

The tracking increased the expectations a lot for SS near the release. Before that 250 dom was not a certainty.

The tracking too had a wide spread of 125-145 and is not always accurate.

IMO despite all the increasing buzz and tracking 250+ was the bar. Crossing CA2's 260m would have been great.

300+ is amazing for SS.

[BluRayHiDef]

3 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

He comes the doom and gloom crew

 

I'm honestly being objective. Believe it or not, I'm actually a fan of the DCEU (despite it's flaws); look at my room as proof.

 

Picture of my room

[Brainiac5]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

The tracking increased the expectations a lot for SS near the release. Before that 250 dom was not a certainty.

The tracking too had a wide spread of 125-145 and is not always accurate.

IMO despite all the increasing buzz and tracking 250+ was the bar. Crossing CA2's 260m would have been great.

300+ is amazing for SS.

Yeah I don't even think Wb was hoping for that.I had SS pegged at 200 domestic and 400 foreign a year ago but damn 300 domestic  is incredible.

[a2k]

I don't think it will happen but predicting that some movie will beat SS this weekend is hardly doom and gloom.

And saying it will be #1 does not mean sunshine and rainbows. As long as it does the expected 19-21, the rank doesn't matter.

IMO sub-19 will be meh and plus-21 will be really good.

Edited August 17, 2016 by a2knet

[Brainiac5]

4 minutes ago, BluRayHiDef said:

 

I'm honestly being objective. Believe it or not, I'm actually a fan of the DCEU (despite it's flaws); look at my room as proof.

 

Picture of my room

I understand but being #1 for 3 weeks really isn't SS goal.The real goal is that 300 domestic after its 133 opening.

[Agafin]

@Brainiac5 

Aren't you the one who kept repeating last week that SS would easily do $350m+ because it had a $45m+ lead over GotG? I thought you would've learned by now not to prematurely go around saying "x is locked".

 

See, SS chances at $300m are very very high, but we can't go around yet claiming that it'll definitely hit that mark because, umm, this is box office we're talking about and well, shit happens. I mean,  just a few weeks ago, Dory was "locked" to hit $500m... until Pets unlocked it. Similarly, there's a non negligeable chance of SS stalling in the $290m to $295m region like MoS. A major breakout from any of this week's releases would be all it takes for that to happen. 

[MinaTakla]

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
-	(4)	Jason Bourne	Universal	$1,887,320	+32%	3,528	$535	$130,328,690	19
-	(6)	The Secret Life of Pets	Universal	$1,632,915	+43%	2,958	$552	$338,939,130	40
-	(-)	Gleason	Open Road	$16,271	+20%	144	$113	$478,561	19
-	(-)	The Purge: Election Year	Universal	$11,015	+1%	116	$95	$79,024,980	47

[MinaTakla]

-28.7% week on week drop for Pets. 

Edited August 17, 2016 by MinaTakla

[Fullbuster]

I hope SS won't pass MOS, MOS was so good

[cannastop]

5 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
-	(4)	Jason Bourne	Universal	$1,887,320	+32%	3,528	$535	$130,328,690	19
-	(6)	The Secret Life of Pets	Universal	$1,632,915	+43%	2,958	$552	$338,939,130	40
-	(-)	Gleason	Open Road	$16,271	+20%	144	$113	$478,561	19
-	(-)	The Purge: Election Year	Universal	$11,015	+1%	116	$95	$79,024,980	47

Should we be surprised at the Pet's jump?

[Brainiac5]

4 minutes ago, Agafin said:

@Brainiac5 

Aren't you the one who kept repeating last week that SS would easily do $350m+ because it had a $45m+ lead over GotG? I thought you would've learned by now not to prematurely go around saying "x is locked".

 

See, SS chances at $300m are very very high, but we can't go around yet claiming that it'll definitely hit that mark because, umm, this is box office we're talking about and well, shit happens. I mean,  just a few weeks ago, Dory was "locked" to hit $500m... until Pets unlocked it. Similarly, there's a non negligeable chance of SS stalling in the $290m to $295m region like MoS. A major breakout from any of this week's releases would be all it takes for that to happen. 

I was basing my predictions on the flims first week performance .When I saw the second week drop then I brought my expectations down.

Me saying the flim had a 40+ mil lead over gotg was my argument for the flim passing 300 domestic is think it when along the lines of

"Even if it falls behind gotg it has a 40+mil lead to compensate to pass the 300 domestic mark"

The difference from being optimistic and doom and gloom is 

Optimistic = base prediction on flim performance. 

Doom and gloom= Can't wait for that second week tumble even does the flim was putting up good numbers.

I can't help it if the first week numbers was so good which made me up my prediction.

No! There will be no stalling at 290.

 

 

 

[a2k]

YOU KNOW HIS SAUSAGE

2016/08/12	4	$3,874,260	+73%	3,528	$1,098	$117,036,605	15
2016/08/13	4	$5,921,860	+53%	3,528	$1,679	$122,958,465	16
2016/08/14	4	$4,050,755	-32%	3,528	$1,148	$127,009,220	17
2016/08/15	4	$1,432,150	-65%	3,528	$406	$128,441,370	18
2016/08/16	-	$1,887,320	+32%	3,528	$535	$130,328,690	19

 

NO PARTY BEYOND

2016/08/05	5	$2,634,319	+25%	3,263	$807	$120,335,683	15
2016/08/06	5	$4,272,247	+62%	3,263	$1,309	$124,607,930	16
2016/08/07	5	$3,129,464	-27%	3,263	$959	$127,737,394	17
2016/08/08	5	$1,204,959	-61%	3,263	$369	$128,942,353	18
2016/08/09	5	$1,526,273	+27%	3,263	$468	$130,468,626	19

[Lordmandeep]

Based on last week I don't think decent weekdays mean weekend drop will be good.

 

It seems the good weekdays are burning off demand and by the third weekend interest in this film will diminish further.

 

However it possibile with no real competition it can get a good drop.

[Gandalf the Off-White]

Does anyone think Kubo could eat into Suicide Squad this weekend? I know Laika animation can draw teens and twenty-somethings. And I know SS has attracted young females, which I feel Kubo could draw in. I could be totally off-base, but I feel like anime or an alternative style of animation is popular among young women. Just speculation...

 

Plus, Ben-Hur is taking up IMAX and similar-type screens, is that right? They might be mostly empty (I've barely heard about the movie!) but that could take away from SS, as well as the older males who might check out War Dogs.

 

No doom and gloom, just thoughts.... Regardless of course, SS is doing well and I can't imagine WB unhappy. Allow me to end on that note.

[a2k]

SLOP

17.5 away from IO (<10 after the coming weekend)

23.1 away from DP

29.1 away from DM2

 

[Blaze Heatnix]

If SS manages to make at least 300 million domestic ( which seems to be perfectly possible now ), this is insanely good and it's quite a win.

 

I mean, this is a movie with characters called Captain Boomerang, Killer Croc, Enchantress, El Diablo, Deadshot.  Yeah, it had Batman and Joker, but Batman and Joker had minimal screentime. So, it wasn't a movie about them, but a movie with them. Yeah, people know Harley, but Suicide Squad could barely be considered a famous group. These characters also came from nowhere in DCU. They never had any kind of set up in previous movies. So, it's impressive, no matter what.

 

Hell, I did learn about them after watching Assault on Akrham. I doubt anybody was expecting Suicide Squad to make 300 million domestic. Even with Batman/Joker being part of the marketing, I wasn't expecting these numbers. I'm surprised just as much as I was with GOTG performance and Deadpool. Huge performances.

[cannastop]

4 minutes ago, Gandalf the Off-White said:

Does anyone think Kubo could eat into Suicide Squad this weekend? I know Laika animation can draw teens and twenty-somethings. And I know SS has attracted young females, which I feel Kubo could draw in. I could be totally off-base, but I feel like anime or an alternative style of animation is popular among young women. Just speculation...

 

Plus, Ben-Hur is taking up IMAX and similar-type screens, is that right? They might be mostly empty (I've barely heard about the movie!) but that could take away from SS, as well as the older males who might check out War Dogs.

 

No doom and gloom, just thoughts.... Regardless of course, SS is doing well and I can't imagine WB unhappy. Allow me to end on that note.

No, Kubo is not going to eat into Suicide Squad. It's just not that big.

[a2k]

Numbers you really are waiting for...

 

-	(13)	Ice Age: Collision Course	20th Century Fox	$421,485	+50%	1,548	$272	$59,429,881	26
-	(-)	Mike and Dave Need Wedding …	20th Century Fox	$22,429	+28%	139	$161	$45,419,036	40
-	(-)	Independence Day: Resurgence	20th Century Fox	$22,313	+14%	156	$143	$102,597,536	54

[Gandalf the Off-White]

4 minutes ago, cannastop said:

No, Kubo is not going to eat into Suicide Squad. It's just not that big.

Fair enough and thanks for the feedback. I'm curious to see how the weekend plays.  I realize it's not pegged for a big OW, but it's theatre count sure is huge.