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Tuesday Numbers | 6.25 M SUICIDE SQUAD

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7 minutes ago, cannastop said:

I'm still hoping under MOS numbers because I want to win at the casino.

 

The feels like a stretch. it wont need to do much after this weekend and there is labor day weekend ahead. Lack of competition would ensure it gets close(biggest to not gross 300) if not beat 300m.

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MON 5.00

TUE 6.25

WED 4.31 (-31%)

THU 3.74 (-13%) [19.3 Mon-Thu]

FRI 6.1 (+63%)

SAT 8.4 (+38%)

SUN 6.0 (-28%) [20.5 3rd Weekend (-55%)]

262.45 cume

 

EDIT: Extrapolating further 300 looks tough to miss.

 

If the following Mon-Sun is down 53%, it will do 18.55 more, for 262.45 + 18.55 = 281 cume

The following Mon-Mon (Mon-Sun + Labor Day) should add at least ~10.25 (-45%) more over 8 days for 291.25 cume.

65% drop (Tue-Sun) : 291.25 + 3.6 = 294.85 [using Tue-Sun cause Mon is part of previous 8 day week. So the drop here is harsh]

50% drop (Mon-Sun) : 294.85 +1.8 = 296.65

50% drop (Mon-Sun) : 296.65 + 0.9 = 297.55

50% drop (Mon-Sun) : 297.55 + 0.45 = 298

 

After dollar bump will reach 300. Realistically I fell it will get to 300 before the dollar bump.

300/304/308 low/mid/high case. 307.5 will give it 2.3x.

Edited by a2knet
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Wow. Nailed both days. Not hard I guess since it's kinda predictable on the weekdays.

 

I think a 21 mill weekend is coming. 262 by Sunday.

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First of all, I think lack of competition helps, but it's just not as noticeable because it's really an avoidance of competition. The numbers could be worse with competition after all. 

 

Secondly, there's plenty of competition. JB, STB, and LO are all still in theaters and compete for the target demo. SP and even PD are competition. War Dogs, Kubo, or even BH could take the weekend so hardly zero competition. And Mechanic and Don't Breathe will also target the same demo, and Don't Breathe has been getting quite a bit of trailer views. As for late legs, September is filled with worthy films.

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Down 55% from last Tuesday. A similar drop over the weekend would put it at $19m to $20m, which is right around what I think it'll do.

 

Friday bumps over the third weekend of August  for this type of movie is generally 80%+ but the loss of IMAX and PLF screens will prevent SS from jumping that much I think.

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Perfectly expected number for SS. Should be right in line with most other Tuesday increases. Still expecting a 55%+ drop this weekend for a sub-$20M third weekend take. Competition isn't great but just as with SP and PD this past weekend there's a collection of films that could pick away at its audience, especially War Dogs and, even though it'll flop, Ben-Hur. I doubt Kubo will but, hell, it's another well received option with buzz behind it. So as much as $50M+ is possible between the three new openers. Essentially, there might not be one BIG alternative to SS but there are A LOT of compelling options for moviegoers to choose from as SS continues to fade somewhat quickly.

Edited by JohnnyGossamer
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32 minutes ago, UrosepsisFace said:

Secondly, there's plenty of competition. JB, STB, and LO are all still in theaters and compete for the target demo. SP and even PD are competition. War Dogs, Kubo, or even BH could take the weekend so hardly zero competition. And Mechanic and Don't Breathe will also target the same demo, and Don't Breathe has been getting quite a bit of trailer views. As for late legs, September is filled with worthy films.

 

You bring in too much logic to a thread in which it's more fun to simply say that "crappy SS will only squeak by 300 million thanks to the lack of competition" as opposed to admitting that, you know, audiences actually like the film.

But nah...that would be crazy.

We all know that the word of mouth for Suicide Squad  is...

 

 

Edited by Cochofles
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