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Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

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Everyone is doing a list, so why not?

 

1. Zootopia

2. Kubo and the Two Strings

3. Hacksaw Ridge

4. Your Name.

5. Doctor Strange

6. The Jungle Book

7. The Edge of Seventeen

8. Finding Dory

9. Captain America: Civil War

10. Deadpool

 

Honorable Mentions: Central Intelligence, Suicide Squad, Fantastic Beasts, Sing Street, and Kung Fu Panda 3.

Haven't watched Moana or Arrival, but both will probably join in once I watched them. I'm confident that Rogue One will join in too, and possibly Sing.

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11 minutes ago, Doctor Rth and his FBeasts said:

Thu looking like

Moana 9.8, FBAWTFT 9.5,DS 2.5,Allied 2.4,Arr 2.2, BS2 1.4, Tro 1.2

 

2 minutes ago, Grand Moff Tele said:

Hmmm, MOANA dropped significantly steeper than FROZEN. It'll be interesting to see how much it rebounds Friday. 

 

Prior Disney Thanksgiving releases (Frozen, Tangled and Good Dinosaur) are shockingly consistent with the Friday, Saturday and Sunday increases and drops, literally every single one is within 2% of each other. Using those numbers with the 9.8M Thursday, Moana weekend looking like

 

Fri: 23.5M (+140%)

Sat: 21.2M (-5.5%)

Sun: 12.8M (-40%)

Weekend: 57.5M/83M

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6 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

 

Prior Disney Thanksgiving releases (Frozen, Tangled and Good Dinosaur) are shockingly consistent with the Friday, Saturday and Sunday increases and drops, literally every single one is within 2% of each other. Using those numbers with the 9.8M Thursday, Moana weekend looking like

 

Fri: 23.5M (+140%)

Sat: 21.2M (-5.5%)

Sun: 12.8M (-40%)

Weekend: 57.5M/83M

 

Extrapolate Beast as well. Will it do 40m over 3 days?

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4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Extrapolate Beast as well. Will it do 40m over 3 days?

 

Looking at the Potter movies, they roughly increase 80% on Friday, drop 7-10% on Saturday and around 45% on Sunday, so we are looking at

 

Fri: 17.2M

Sat: 15.7M

Sun: 8.6M

Weekend: 41.5M/62M

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A little steeper than I expected for Moana, but a fantastic hold for Beasts. 

 

Did a family trip tonight with the inlaws and saw beasts on the local 4 screener - only showing Trolls, Moana and Allied this weekend, bet that's a booking agent that is glad they didn't go with anything different  (or wishes they kept Strange another week.)

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4 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Looking at the Potter movies, they roughly increase 80% on Friday, drop 7-10% on Saturday and around 45% on Sunday, so we are looking at

 

Fri: 17.2M

Sat: 15.7M

Sun: 8.6M

Weekend: 41.5M/62M

 

Yeah very safe to say that 40m is happening barring an unusual Friday. 

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12 hours ago, Gopher said:

Hi everybody!

 

MOANA: Let's break down what can happen over the week - 

 

Thurs- 9.8m (-25% w/o previews, which would be a bit bigger than Good Dinosaur's or Frozen's drop)

Fri- 24m (145%) 

Sat- 22.7m (-5.5%) 

Sun- 13.6m (-40%)

 

 

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