Jake Gittes Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Jenkins is probably #2 right now (with Lonergan and Scorsese right behind) but I don't think he's gonna be able to beat Chazelle when he has a less technically showy film AND he's a non-veteran who's only now getting introduced to 99% of the industry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 (edited) 32 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: Even though moonlight isn't winning best picture everywhere Jenkins is sweeping those best director wins since he won NY and NBR too. Could see 'first black best director' turn into a narrative and splits with la la Land. And this sounds like exactly the kind of narrative that the Academy will ignore if they like the BP winner enough. There's no big tech achievement pic like Life of Pi or Gravity or Revenant this time around, unless Passengers or Rogue One somehow become huge (which they won't). I guess never count out Marty, but if La La Land wins I can't see it not going to Chazelle. Edited December 4, 2016 by 4815162342 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 6 minutes ago, 4815162342 said: And this sounds like exactly the kind of narrative that the Academy will ignore if they like the BP winner enough. There's no big tech achievement pic like Life of Pi or Gravity or Revenant this time around, unless Passengers or Rogue One somehow become huge (which they won't). I guess never count out Marty, but if La La Land wins I can't see it not going to Chazelle. same Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Oh shit, guys. The WAFCAs are coming up in less than 12 hours! http://www.dcfilmcritics.com/ The 2016 WAFCA Award WINNERS will be announced at 8AM ET on Monday, December 5, 2016. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 On 12/3/2016 at 8:47 AM, 4815162342 said: LAFCA, NYFCO, and BOFCA are all tomorrow right? Haven't seen any announcements about NYFCO or BOFCA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Just now, cannastop said: Haven't seen any announcements about NYFCO or BOFCA. The past couple years they all announced on the same day so I wondered if they were doing the same this year 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 the boston critics are next sunday. maybe something to do with silence has screened in LA/NY but it's screening other places this week. though the film didn't really seem to factor with either group so far beyond that supporting actor runner up shout-out from la. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 2016 Atlanta Film Critics Society Awards Awards BEST FILM - LA LA LAND BEST DIRECTOR - Damien Chazelle, LA LA LAND BEST ACTOR - Casey Affleck, MANCHESTER BY THE SEA BEST ACTRESS - Annette Bening, 20TH CENTURY WOMEN BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Mahershala Ali, MOONLIGHT BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Lily Gladstone, CERTAIN WOMEN BEST ENSEMBLE - Cast of AMERICAN HONEY BEST ANIMATED FILM - KUBO AND THE TWO STRINGS BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM - 13TH BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM - TONI ERDMANN BEST SCREENPLAY - Kenneth Lonergan, MANCHESTER BY THE SEA BEST SCORE - Cliff Martinez, THE NEON DEMON BEST SONG - "Drive It Like You Stole It" from SING STREET BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - Linus Sandgren, LA LA LAND BEST EDITING - Tom Cross, LA LA LAND EMPIRE OF THE SOUTH AWARD (Best Motion Picture Filmed in GA) - HIDDEN FIGURES https://www.atlantafilmcriticssociety.com/home/2016/12/4/2016-atlanta-film-society-awards 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Oh look. Neon Demon won something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 I feel so out of touch this year - Hail! Caesar is the closest I have come (great film) to the Oscar Bait type films and that was just tonight. Trying to stream / netflix as many as I can over the next few weeks but yeah - hard to must any excitement when I am so far behind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 5 hours ago, narniadis said: I feel so out of touch this year - Hail! Caesar is the closest I have come (great film) to the Oscar Bait type films and that was just tonight. Trying to stream / netflix as many as I can over the next few weeks but yeah - hard to must any excitement when I am so far behind. Watch Love & Friendship! Kate Beckinsale is divine in it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 http://www.dcfilmcritics.com/awards/ THE 2016 WAFCA AWARD WINNERS: Best Film: La La LandBest Director: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)Best Actor: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)Best Actress: Natalie Portman (Jackie)Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis (Fences)Best Acting Ensemble: Hell or High WaterBest Youth Performance: Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)Best Voice Performance: Liam Neeson (A Monster Calls)Best Motion Capture Performance: Mark Rylance (The BFG)Best Original Screenplay: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)Best Adapted Screenplay: Eric Heisserer, Based on the Story "Story of Your Life" by Ted Chiang (Arrival)Best Animated Feature: Kubo and the Two StringsBest Documentary: 13thBest Foreign Language Film: ElleBest Production Design: Production Designer: David Wasco; Set Decorator: Sandy Reynolds-Wasco, SDSA (La La Land)Best Cinematography: Linus Sandgren, SFS (La La Land)Best Editing: Tom Cross, ACE (La La Land)Best Original Score: Justin Hurwitz (La La Land)The Joe Barber Award for Best Portrayal of Washington, DC: Jackie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Arrival won Adapted Screenplay! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 The only consistent winner everywhere is Affleck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 2 minutes ago, BirdMan said: The only consistent winner everywhere is Affleck After seeing Manchester by the Sea, they really should just mail it to him right now and get it over with. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 OK these awards mean very little to the industry but lets assume some things. -I did not expect critics to include La La Land so much. It had rave reviews from the start, but since it got tagged as the "Hollywood" popular choice for BP since Venice, I thought at least the big critic groups will snub it in favour of other stuff, more in need of their championing. But since it won awards in NY and LA already, I can see it getting a lot of the smaller critic groups who usually go for more mainstream stuff. -Moonlight pretty much solidified its place as the critic favorite of the season. Still doesn't mean much until we see it included in actual industry awards like the guilds but it already has much bigger critical support than Carol did last year. -The acting awards suggest that the critics might make Huppert happen as Best Actress nominee simalirly to Cotillard or Charlot Rambling a few years ago and that Affleck is their almost unanimous pick. But Affleck, Huppert, Michelle Williams and Naomi Harris could win a billion critic awards and still end up losing at the oscars to Denzel, Portman, Stone or Viola Davis. The only acting category that the critics might have a chance to influence big time is Best Supporting Actor if the Mahershala Ali sweep continues. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 I think critics are certainly helping Affleck as well, he's sweeping for now. Sure, so was, say, Jeremy Renner in 2009, but Affleck has been around for longer, is a previous nominee, his movie is looking to break out in the box office, and his only real competitor has already won twice so unless he's absolutely God-level in Fences I think the voters are more likely to recognize Affleck. Ali in a similar boat in relation to Bridges for now. Huppert's awards will obviously never get her close to an actual Oscar, the only question is how many critical awards will Stone and Portman manage to get between them. Supporting Actress is still likely going to Viola with a possible Naomie Harris upset, no change there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 Yeah, Denzel already having two Oscars (and Fences not looking to be as strong as Manchester) greatly increase Affleck's chances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 so @Cmasterclay was right. kimmel http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/oscars-jimmy-kimmel-host-years-ceremony-952662 stand by what i said earlier about this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted December 5, 2016 Author Share Posted December 5, 2016 Borrrrrrrrrinnnnng. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...