Precursors 2016! Winners and Nominations

[Cmasterclay]

It's my favorite time of movie year! We have this topic every year, so let's get it started. Today, we have NBR dropping. We get New York, LA, and DC Critics this week, along with BFCA. First post updated as awards come in. Last night was the Gotham Awards, the kickoff to awards season for indie films. 

 

Gotham Awards

Best Feature
Moonlight
Best Documentary
O.J.: Made in America
Best Actress
Isabelle Huppert in Elle (Sony Pictures Classics)
Best Actor
Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios)

Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director Award
Trey Edward Shults for Krisha (A24)

Best Screenplay
Moonlight, Story by Tarell Alvin McCraney; Screenplay by Barry Jenkins (A24)

Breakthrough Actor
Anya Taylor-Joy in The Witch (A24)

 

NBR

 

Best Film:  Manchester by the Sea

Best Director:  Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Best Actor:  Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Best Actress: Amy Adams, Arrival

Best Supporting Actor: Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water

Best Supporting Actress:  Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Best Original Screenplay:  Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Best Adapted Screenplay:  Jay Cocks and Martin Scorsese, Silence

Best Animated Feature:  Kubo and the Two Strings
Breakthrough Performance (Male): Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea

Breakthrough Performance (Female): Royalty Hightower, The Fits

Best Directorial Debut:  Trey Edward Shults, Krisha

Best Foreign Language Film:  The Salesman

Best Documentary:  O.J.: Made in America

Best Ensemble:  Hidden Figures

Spotlight Award: Creative Collaboration of Peter Berg and Mark Wahlberg

NBR Freedom of Expression Award:  Cameraperson

Top Films

• Arrival
• Hacksaw Ridge
• Hail, Caesar!
• Hell or High Water
• Hidden Figures
• La La Land
• Moonlight
• Patriot’s Day
• Silence
• Sully

Top 5 Foreign Language Films

• Elle
• The Handmaiden
• Julieta
• Land of Mine
• Neruda

Top 5 Documentaries

• De Palma
• The Eagle Huntress
• Gleason
• Life, Animated
• Miss Sharon Jones!

Top 10 Independent Films

• 20^th Century Women
• Captain Fantastic
• Creative Control
• Eye in the Sky
• The Fits
• Green Room
• Hello, My Name is Doris
• Krisha
• Morris from America
• Sing Street

Critic's Choice

 

Best Picture
“Arrival”
“Fences”
“Hacksaw Ridge”
“Hell or High Water”
“La La Land”
“Lion”
“Loving”
“Manchester by the Sea”
“Moonlight”
“Sully”

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
Mel Gibson (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea”)
David Mackenzie (“Hell or High Water”)
Denis Villeneuve (“Arrival”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)

Best Actor
Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Joel Edgerton (“Loving”)
Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”)
Tom Hanks (“Sully”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)

Best Actress
Amy Adams (“Arrival”)
Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”)
Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”)
Ruth Negga (“Loving”)
Natalie Portman (“Jackie”)
Emma Stone (“La La Land”)

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”)
Ben Foster (“Hell or High Water”)
Lucas Hedges (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Dev Patel (“Lion”)
Michael Shannon (“Nocturnal Animals”)

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis (“Fences”)
Greta Gerwig (“20th Century Women”)
Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”)
Nicole Kidman (“Lion
Janelle Monáe  (“Hidden Figures”)
Michelle Williams (“Manchester by the Sea”)

Best Young Actor/Actress
Lucas Hedges (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Alex R. Hibbert (“Moonlight”)
Lewis MacDougall (“A Monster Calls”)
Madina Nalwanga (“Queen of Katwe”)
Sunny Pawar – Lion”)
Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Luke Davies (“Lion”)
Tom Ford (“Nocturnal Animals”)
Eric Heisserer (“Arrival”)
Todd Komarnicki (“Sully”)
Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi (“Hidden Figures”)
August Wilson (“Fences”)

Best Original Screenplay
Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
Yorgos Lanthimos/Efthimis Filippou (“The Lobster”)
Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea “)
Jeff Nichols (“Loving”)
Taylor Sheridan (“Hell or High Water”)

Best Cinematography
“Arrival” (Bradford Young)
“Jackie” (Stéphane Fontaine)
“La La Land” (Linus Sandgren)
“Moonlight” (James Laxton)
“Nocturnal Animals” (Seamus McGarvey)

Best Costume Design
“Allied” (Joanna Johnston)
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (Colleen Atwood)
“Florence Foster Jenkins” (Consolata Boyle)
“Jackie” (Madeline Fontaine)
“La La Land” (Mary Zophres)
“Love & Friendship” (Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh)

Best Editing
“Arrival” (Joe Walker)
“Hacksaw Ridge” (John Gilbert)
“La La Land” (Tom Cross)
“Moonlight” (Nat Sanders, Joi McMillon)
“Sully” (Blu Murray)

Best Hair & Makeup
“Doctor Strange”
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them”
“Hacksaw Ridge”
“Jackie”
“Star Trek Beyond”

Best Production Design
“Arrival” (Patrice Vermette; Paul Hotte, André Valade)
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (Stuart Craig; James Hambidge, Anna Pinnock)
“Jackie” (Jean Rabasse; Véronique Melery)
“La La Land” (David Wasco; Sandy Reynolds-Wasco)
“Live By Night” (Jess Gonchor; Nancy Haigh)

Best Score
“Arrival” (Jóhann Jóhannsson)
“Jackie” (Mica Levi)
“La La Land” (Justin Hurwitz)
“Moonlight” (Nicholas Britell)
“Lion” (Dustin O’Halloran, Hauschka)

Best Song
“Audition (The Fools Who Dream) from “La La Land”
“City of Stars” from “La La Land”
“How Far I’ll Go” from “Moana”
“Can’t Stop the Feeling!” from “Trolls”
“The Rules Don’t Apply” from “Rules Don’t Apply”
“Drive It Like You Stole It” from “Sing Street”

Best Visual Effects
“Arrival”
“Doctor Strange”
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them”
“The Jungle Book”
“A Monster Calls”

Best Animated Feature
“Finding Dory”
“Kubo and the Two Strings”
“Moana”
“The Red Turtle”
“Trolls”
“Zootopia”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Elle”
“The Handmaiden”
“Julieta”
“Neruda”
“The Salesman”
“Toni Erdmann”

Best Acting Ensemble
“Fences”
“Hell or High Water”
“Hidden Figures”
“Manchester by the Sea”
“Moonlight”
“20th Century Women”

Best Action Movie
“Captain America: Civil War”
“Deadpool”
“Doctor Strange”
“Hacksaw Ridge”
“Jason Bourne”

Best Actor in an Action Movie
Benedict Cumberbatch (“Doctor Strange”)
Matt Damon (“Jason Bourne”)
Chris Evans (“Captain America: Civil War”)
Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”)

Best Actress in an Action Movie
Gal Gadot (“Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice”)
Scarlett Johansson (“Captain America: Civil War”)
Margot Robbie (“Suicide Squad”)
Tilda Swinton (“Doctor Strange”)

Best Comedy
“Central Intelligence”
“Deadpool”
“Don’t Think Twice”
“The Edge of Seventeen”
“Hail, Caesar!”
“The Nice Guys”

Best Actor in a Comedy
Ryan Gosling (“The Nice Guys”)
Hugh Grant (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Dwayne Johnson (“Central Intelligence”)
Viggo Mortensen (“Captain Fantastic”)
Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”)

Best Actress in a Comedy
Kate Beckinsale (“Love & Friendship”)
Sally Field (“Hello, My Name Iis Doris”)
Kate McKinnon (“Ghostbusters”)
Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”)
Meryl Streep (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)

Best Sci-Fi/Horror Movie
“Arrival”
“Doctor Strange”
“Don’t Breathe”
“Star Trek Beyond”
“10 Cloverfield Lane”
“The Witch”

Edited December 1, 2016 by Cmasterclay

[Cmasterclay]

Anyone have NBR predictions before they come in around noon? I think La La Land, Eastwood, Hanks. Adams in an upset, Bridges, and Davis.

[CoolioD1]

Apparently as well as WB the nbr have A24 connections (hence a most violent year winning a couple years back) so I'll make a call for Moonlight there too. that's definitely gonna be the spotlight/boyhood every group crowds around this year i feel. Manchester will score a few too though.

[CoolioD1]

Also silence was screened for nbr a few days ago so if they choose to award it anywhere that's pretty much our first reaction to the film.

[Cmasterclay]

2 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

Also silence was screened for nbr a few days ago so if they choose to award it anywhere that's pretty much our first reaction to the film.

Very true, I'm excited to hear. They've also seen Live By Night, but I've heard that shit is Gangster Squad 2.0. They've seen Hidden Figures, too, so that might pick up something. Those are the last three unreviewed award movies, unless you want to try and convince someone Collateral Beauty (a W.O.A.T. contender) and Passengers (getting FYC ads for Production Design on THR, not a good sign they think it can win anything big) are players. 

[filmlover]

50 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Very true, I'm excited to hear. They've also seen Live By Night, but I've heard that shit is Gangster Squad 2.0. They've seen Hidden Figures, too, so that might pick up something. Those are the last three unreviewed award movies, unless you want to try and convince someone Collateral Beauty (a W.O.A.T. contender) and Passengers (getting FYC ads for Production Design on THR, not a good sign they think it can win anything big) are players. 

Yeah, tweets have been surfacing today that are being coy about the embargo and indicating it'll be lucky to get even tech nominations. Now we know why it took so long to get a qualifying release.

[filmlover]

Also, I hope the BFCA nominations are as ridiculous and shameless as usual. Them adding The Force Awakens after nominations were already announced just because it wasn't screened in time was the final proof we needed as to what a joke of an organization they are.

[filmlover]

NBR Winners (Top 10 coming up):

 

Best Film:  Manchester by the Sea

Best Director:  Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Best Actor:  Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Best Actress:Amy Adams, Arrival

Best Supporting Actor: Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water 

Best Supporting Actress:  Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Best Original Screenplay:  Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Best Adapted Screenplay:  Jay Cocks and Martin Scorsese, Silence

Best Animated Feature:  Kubo and the Two Strings
Breakthrough Performance (Male): Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea

Breakthrough Performance (Female):Royalty Hightower, The Fits

Best Directorial Debut:  Trey Edward Shults, Krisha

Best Foreign Language Film:  The Salesman

Best Documentary:  O.J.: Made in America

Best Ensemble:  Hidden Figures

Spotlight Award: Creative Collaboration of Peter Berg and Mark Wahlberg

NBR Freedom of Expression Award:  Cameraperson

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/national-board-review-2016-winners-951071

 

Top 10:
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hail, Caesar!
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Moonlight
Patriot’s Day
Silence
Sully

Edited November 29, 2016 by filmlover

[4815162342]

Big for Manchester and Moonlight.

 

Promising for Silence since it only just screened for them.

[4815162342]

Their #2-11:

 

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

Hail, Caesar!

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land

Moonlight

Patriot's Day

Silence

Sully

[filmlover]

Added the top 10.

 

The Jackie shutout is very surprising. Carol 2.0?

[CoolioD1]

cool for silence. screens for new york critics tomorrow so they'll get to see it before their awards on thursday too. like the hail caesar shout out too. maybe that can get a globe comedy nod or SAG ensemble or something.

[SchumacherFTW]

Hail, Cesar?! Really? Wtf. 

[filmlover]

Also, 4 Lionsgate released films are in their top 10. Somebody call @CJohn.

 

Also, no Live by Night anywhere despite the love affair NBR has with WB. It's going nowhere.

Edited November 29, 2016 by filmlover

[Cmasterclay]

Fences, Jackie, Loving, and Lion are top contenders shut out. I like their top ten. Pretty interesting list. Big gets for Hidden Figures, Hacksaw, and Patriots Day. 

[Plain Old Tele]

HIDDEN FIGURES has gotta be a surprise, right?

 

Delighted to see HAIL, CAESAR! unexpectedly show up as well.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Grand Moff Tele said:

HIDDEN FIGURES has gotta be a surprise, right?

I've been thinking it'll be a The Help-esque crowdpleaser for a while. Wouldn't surprise if it breaks through, or that Henson sneaks into the Actress race.

[WrathOfHan]

I think Hidden Figures could take Fences's spot in BP.

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I think Hidden Figures could take Fences's spot in BP.

It, Hacksaw Ridge, and Patriots' Day are clearly the movies that are coming for that "under the radar/unexpected" surprise nods this year. Patriots' Day is the one that I'm most conflicted on because I don't know what other categories it would show up in.

[WrathOfHan]

NBR and BP correlation:

 

2015: 5/8 (Missing The Revenant, The Big Short, and Brooklyn)

2014: 4/8 (Missing Selma, Theory, Whiplash, and Budapest)

2013: 5/9 (Missing Philomena, American Hustle, Dallas Buyers, and Phillips)

2012: 7/9 (Missing Life of Pi and Amour)

2011: 5/9 (Missing Moneyball, The Help, Extremely Loud, and Midnight in Paris)

2010: 7/10 (Missing 127 Hours, Black Swan, and Kids Are Alright)

2009: 6/10 (Missing Avatar, District 9, The Blind Side, and Precious: Based on the Novel "Push" by Sapphire)

 

Director: Only 2 directors have been nominated this decade; every winner for the last 4 years has missed. Could the curse continue for Jenkins? There's 4 directors competing for the last three spots, so it's possible.

Actor: Every winner (except for the Oscar Isaac tie) this decade has gone on to be nominated. Affleck is still the frontrunner.

Actress: They've gotten three nominees and two winners this decade (both being in the last two years). Given how Arrival is a likely BP nominee, it's hard to see Adams missing.

Supporting Actor: They've gotten 4 nominees and two winners this decade. Still hard to see Bridges missing.

Supporting Actress: Only two nominees this decade. The category is so barren though, so Harris is safe.

OS: NBR has a shit record here with no nominees this decade  Manchester will still be nominated though.

AS: They are veeeeeeeeeeery strong here. They've only missed 2 nominees total.