Tuesday Numbers (Deadline) Moana 3.19 | Beasts 3.0 | Allied 1.44

[terrestrial]

Finally!

 

As ususal, BOM only allows the use of up to 19 titles for the use in a forum

 

Tuesday, November 29, 2016
 

TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Moana BV $3,181,287 +36% - 3,875 $821 $87,593,183 7 2 2 Fantastic Beasts and ..... WB $2,953,186 +37% -68% 4,144 $713 $161,127,757 12 3 3 Allied Par. $1,422,156 +52% - 3,160 $450 $20,086,868 7 4 4 Arrival Par. $997,891 +36% -42% 2,442 $409 $64,292,367 19 5 5 Doctor Strange BV $965,951 +36% -64% 3,008 $321 $207,454,015 26 6 6 Bad Santa 2 BG $618,610 +35% - 2,920 $212 $10,176,660 7 7 8 Hacksaw Ridge LGF $545,322 +46% -45% 2,332 $234 $53,153,901 26 8 7 Trolls Fox $430,274 +12% -84% 3,322 $130 $136,216,243 26 9 9 Almost Christmas Uni. $320,090 +30% -62% 1,769 $181 $35,260,520 19 10 10 The Edge of Seventeen STX $278,785 +48% -63% 1,945 $143 $10,739,275 12 11 11 Rules Don't Apply Fox $200,006 +50% - 2,382 $84 $2,509,679 7 12 12 Loving Focus $153,985 +30% +59% 421 $366 $4,344,273 26 - - Moonlight (2016) A24 $113,271 +20% -37% 618 $183 $8,751,595 40 - - Bleed for This ORF $103,263 +35% -63% 1,549 $67 $4,404,017 12 - - The Accountant WB $90,627 +29% -61% 556 $163 $83,370,001 47 - - Nocturnal Animals Focus $84,001 +18% +80% 126 $667 $1,844,949 12 - - Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Par. $38,377 +41% -70% 345 $111 $57,483,956 40 - - Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk TriS $31,790 +31% -71% 1,176 $27 $1,643,091 19 - - Sully WB $24,037 +25% +4% 253 $95 $124,468,265 82

[Ocho]

Great Increases!

 

With Discount Tuesday's expanding across the USA....

 

Tuesday is becoming the new Sunday!

[Dingdong123]

1 hour ago, Maxmoser3 said:

Moana will do $30-$33 million this weekend. Beasts will do $18 million. The rest will be fine. 

 

That's too great of a hold for Moana to achieve. Although if that happens, 300 million is in play.

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, Dingdong123 said:

 

That's too great of a hold for Moana to achieve. Although if that happens, 300 million is in play.

I mean with these weekday numbers it certainly should have a chance at that range for the weekend, considering Frozen did 31m and Moana has a 700k bigger first Tuesday. It will drop a lot Wed, but I highly doubt enough to be below Frozen's 1.8m. 

Edited December 1, 2016 by MovieMan89

[Chaz]

4 hours ago, water said:

i still hope moana hits 300 and beyond

same sis

[terrestrial]

http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-incarnate/

 

Rank	Title	Distributor	Weekend	% decline	Dom. Total .. Sunday, Dec. 4
1	Moana	Disney	$25,000,000	-55.9%	$117,250,000
2	Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them	Warner Bros.	$18,500,000	-59.0%	$183,020,000
3	Allied	Paramount	$7,620,000	-40.0%	$29,240,000
4	Arrival	Paramount	$7,450,000	-35.0%	$73,050,000
5	Doctor Strange	Disney	$6,180,000	-55.0%	$214,910,000
6	Trolls	Fox	$5,320,000	-50.0%	$142,320,000
7	Hacksaw Ridge	Lionsgate	$3,590,000	-35.0%	$57,380,000
8	Almost Christmas	Universal	$2,850,000	-50.0%	$38,560,000
9	Bad Santa 2	Broad Green Pictures	$2,780,000	-55.0%	$13,780,000
10	Incarnate	High Top Releasing	$2,500,000	N/A	$2,500,000

[Arlborn]

44 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

http://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-incarnate/

 

Rank	Title	Distributor	Weekend	% decline	Dom. Total .. Sunday, Dec. 4
1	Moana	Disney	$25,000,000	-55.9%	$117,250,000
2	Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them	Warner Bros.	$18,500,000	-59.0%	$183,020,000
3	Allied	Paramount	$7,620,000	-40.0%	$29,240,000
4	Arrival	Paramount	$7,450,000	-35.0%	$73,050,000
5	Doctor Strange	Disney	$6,180,000	-55.0%	$214,910,000
6	Trolls	Fox	$5,320,000	-50.0%	$142,320,000
7	Hacksaw Ridge	Lionsgate	$3,590,000	-35.0%	$57,380,000
8	Almost Christmas	Universal	$2,850,000	-50.0%	$38,560,000
9	Bad Santa 2	Broad Green Pictures	$2,780,000	-55.0%	$13,780,000
10	Incarnate	High Top Releasing	$2,500,000	N/A	$2,500,000

Optimistic numbers! I'd take anything under 60% for Moana and FB.

[a2k]

Moana should fall below 60% this weekend looking at Tangled (-56%), TS2 (-52%) and Frozen (-53%)

At this point in it's run Frozen had not started showing insane legs so guess it's fair to use it for comparison. Closer to Christmas it changed gears.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?view=weekend&id=thanksgivanim.htm

 

Even the first HP showed a 60% drop post Thanksgiving weekend (it'3rd weekend). HP2 dropped 69% post Thanksgiving (4th weekend) and HP7 dropped 65% (3rd weekend).

59-61% drop would be great for FB. It has a very good shot at beating HP7's 3rd weekend of 17M. Needs to drop not much more than 62%.

Edited December 1, 2016 by a2knet

[water]

moana so far is having bigger daily fluctuations (worse drops but better increases) than past animated films so i'm hoping the weekend drop is less than 50%

Edited December 1, 2016 by water

[narniadis]

23 minutes ago, water said:

moana so far is having bigger daily fluctuations (worse drops but better increases) than past animated films so i'm hoping the weekend drop is less than 50%

 

Historical Comps would be very much against you - except for 1 thing: look at this

 

# of films the weekend after Thanksgiving with Drops under 50% (NOT including theater increases)

2015 - 1

2014 - 2

2013 - 2

2012 - 3

2011 - 6*

2011 is the same calendar configuration as this year so it may be a weird calendar thing. 3 of the 6 were barely (-49.8, etc)

 

As a whole Christmas movies and comedies seem to have the best holds, not accounting for prestige flicks that are expanding. Films with the worst holds tend to be Animated Films, Demographic heavy Films (HG, Twilight, Potter, etc) and Action films, exception being Immortals in 2011 which dropped -49%.

 

Only animated film (unless I missed one) that dropped less than 50% was Arthur's Christmas (2011).

 

Needless to say we wont know anything until Sunday.

 

[FantasticBeasts]

Anything from Wednesday soon?

[terrestrial]

Deadline Hollywood ‏@Deadline 

Don't miss our FREE screening of Belgium's Oscar Entry: 'The Ardennes' Dec. 8 at 7:30pm RSVP: https://alss-theardennes.splashthat.com/?preview

 

26 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Anything from Wednesday soon?

 

Only the typical Open Road number

 

Bleed for This

Open Road

$81,414

-21%

1,549

$53

$4,485,431

13

[Fancyarcher]

20 hours ago, cannastop said:

It's about guns, which were surprisingly absent from this campaign season.

 

Most people don't want to address or admit the problem.

[AniNate]

Miss Sloane didn't have the reviews to generate much buzz off a platform release. In most cases an RT average rating below mid-7s for an indie film is pretty much a death sentence

[Captain Craig]

21 hours ago, La Binoche said:

Damn, Miss Sloane is a straight up bomb. 

That's cause it's a liberal preaching movie that lays it on thick and pushes a narrative many see as not being really helpful or addressing the true issues surrounding guns.

Once it opens wide it may do decent on the coasts, we'll see. It's counter programming to the tentpoles and released now to be eligible for awards season.