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POTUS 2020

Weekend BO- Actuals Mo 18.53, OCP 16.89, FB 10.43, Arr 5.58, NA 3.16, MbtS 3.13

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4 hours ago, terrestrial said:

 

 

Or other reasons I might not know, living in another continent, I do not know the Christmas preparation traditions, the dom weather reports, sports events, whatever.

The silence before the storm (SW 7), is that a saying in English too?

Looking at the weekend before SW 7 got released last year:

#1 and #2 both reached just / something over $11m

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2015&wknd=50&p=.htm

 

 

See DAJK's posts about the bad weather impacting the admissions at the cinema he works for and his thoughts about the weather might impact this weekend posts earlier in the week. I was expecting less based on that, without expecting a certain result anyway = not meant as didn't people read (beside people being snowed in or ill, I guess no one will have read everything here, and probably not even them).

 

 

Calm before the storm, but close enough.

 

I believe this is generally a slower weekend at the box office anyway; but yes, next weekend is going to EXPLODE!! Lol

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7 minutes ago, eXtacy said:

 

Yeah its not getting to 235m after this drop...

Oh yes it is. It'll be at almost 200m by the end of the weekend. 35m after a 10m weekend won't be hard. Especially with the holidays around the corner. Also how is this a bad drop? DH1 and GOF both dropped 50% on their 4th weekends. This is headed for a sub 45% drop. FB can drop harder than both those films for the remainder of its run and still hit 235m. 

Edited by Lumos
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Quote
Office X-Mas Party $6,600,000   3,210 $2,056   $6,600,000
Moana $4,147,000 197% 3,875 $1,070   $130,313,593
Fantastic Beasts... $2,900,000 148% 3,626 $800   $191,425,903
Doctor Strange $1,210,000 142% 2,763 $438   $218,941,446
Almost Christmas $377,000 199% 1,258 $300   $39,213,485
La La Land $300,000   5 $60,000   $300,000
Lion $43,620 265% 15 $2,908   $365,810
Bleed for This $20,629 -12% 210 $98   $5,003,748
Pete’s Dragon $3,000 29% 52 $58   $76,217,344
The Queen of Katwe $2,000 45% 19 $105   $8,774,889

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2016/12/09

Edited by terrestrial
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9 minutes ago, Olive said:

Moana    Walt Disney    $4,147,000    +197%    

TS2's same Saturday was $4,136,819. The pattern is getting a little too obvious now :P hope it goes over $18M. same multi from last weekend gives it about $17.9M

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5 minutes ago, Lumos said:

Oh yes it is. It'll be at almost 200m by the end of the weekend. 35m after a 10m weekend won't be hard. Especially with the holidays around the corner. Also how is this a bad drop? DH1 and GOF both dropped 50% on their 4th weekends. This is headed for a sub 45% drop. FB can drop harder than both those films for the remainder of its run and still hit 235m. 

 

38m after a 10m weekend with Rogue One coming out. This thing is having 42% drop against no competition the last two weeks. It will drop over 50% next weekend.

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5 minutes ago, eXtacy said:

 

38m after a 10m weekend with Rogue One coming out. This thing is having 42% drop against no competition the last two weeks. It will drop over 50% next weekend.

Right. And it should stabilize nicely afterwards. Potter films were extremely leggy over the Xmas season. And seeing as FB is getting better WOM and has been having better drops over the last month it seems silly to just assume this will drop into obscurity once Rogue One is released. 

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2 minutes ago, Lumos said:

Right. And it should stabilize nicely afterwards. Potter films were extremely leggy over the Xmas season. And seeing as FB is getting better WOM and has been having better drops over the last month it seems silly to just assume this will drop into obscurity once Rogue One is released. 

 

I am seeing more of a 228-232m finish.

 

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2 minutes ago, Lumos said:

Right. And it should stabilize nicely afterwards. Potter films were extremely leggy over the Xmas season. And seeing as FB is getting better WOM and has been having better drops over the last month it seems silly to just assume this will drop into obscurity once Rogue One is released. 

As far as I am aware there was never a comparable franchise vs franchise, where the audience seems to have a similar overlap.

I do not know what is needed to call 'silly' if someone (my impression the majority here) assumes, nor have I seen formulations that could mean 'drop into obscurity'

The idea seems to be it will break the higher/better than average drop series.

= that is not meant as in it is question to break totally (= not), but the general opinion seems to be that there might be an measurable (considerable / recognisable / to see in a graph chart...? term?) impact. What has an over 50% drop to do with 'drop into obscurity'?

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17 minutes ago, bladels said:

Beasts and Strange's DOM will be really close. Maybe Moana too

All 3 look to finish with $235-240M

I do not think DS will reach $235m dom, as I think it will loose a lot of screens to SW R1 (both Disney, Disney will look out for getting as much screens as possible for the starting 2 weeks), but I am not into predictions, so who knows

 

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Friday, December 9, 2016
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr
     
>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 - Office Christmas Party Par. $6,600,000 - - 3,210 $2,056 $6,600,000 1
2 1 Moana BV $4,147,000 +197% -37% 3,875 $1,070 $130,313,593 17
3 2 Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them WB $2,850,000 +143% -43% 3,626 $786 $191,375,903 22
4 3 Arrival Par. $1,600,000 +154% -23% 3,115 $514 $77,451,708 29
5 5 Doctor Strange BV $1,210,000 +142% -32% 2,763 $438 $218,941,446 36
6 4 Allied Par. $1,205,000 +114% -44% 3,018 $399 $32,838,452 17
7 - Nocturnal Animals Focus $1,131,552 +1,466% +474% 1,262 $897 $4,157,680 22
8 9 Manchester by the Sea RAtt. $912,250 +368% +37% 367 $2,486 $6,082,451 22
9 6 Hacksaw Ridge LGF $672,000 +140% -31% 2,277 $295 $59,234,448 36
10 - Miss Sloane EC $660,000 +26,342% +5,676% 1,648 $400 $798,365 15
11 8 Trolls Fox $620,000 +208% -38% 2,786 $223 $143,000,004 36
12 10 Almost Christmas Uni. $377,000 +199% -45% 1,258 $300 $39,213,485 29
- 7 Bad Santa 2 BG $366,020 +63% -62% 2,034 $180 $15,930,789 17
- - La La Land LG/S $300,000 - - 5 $60,000 $300,000 1
- - Loving Focus $176,188 +115% -36% 572 $308 $6,118,450 36
- - Jackie FoxS $146,561 +672% +62% 26 $5,637 $511,386 8
- - The Accountant WB $130,000 +118% -40% 455 $286 $84,672,171 57
- - Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Par. $63,000 +219% -6% 290 $217 $57,928,517 50
- - Lion Wein. $43,620 +265% +53% 15 $2,908 $365,810 15
- - Deepwater Horizon LG/S $23,000 +126% -26% 144 $160 $61,349,021 71
- - Bleed for This ORF $20,629 -12% -76% 210 $98 $5,003,748 22
- - Boo! A Madea Halloween LGF $12,000 +130% -64% 126 $95 $73,034,759 50
- - Shut In EC $5,500 +204% -68% 53 $104 $6,819,320 29
- - Pete's Dragon (2016) BV $3,000 +30% -64% 52 $58 $76,217,344 120
-
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4 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

MJ2 added another 45m since the friday of its 4th weekend with TFA. Idon't see why FB will do less than 50m..

MJ2 was performing on a 10% higher scale tho. (3.3M Friday, 11.4M weekend) but at the same time R1 is not TFA, so... but then again, last year TFA just dominated but this year there will be other holiday options than R1 like Passengers, Sing, AC.. don't know which is better and which is worse.

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