ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

To those saying Mummy will open that low: the trailer has the most views for a 2017 movie by a wide margin. The interest is there. Not even Wonder Woman and JL's Comic Con trailers reached 25M in two weeks.

50 Shades of Gray had more views than Age of Ultron, doesn't translate into box office. 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, VenomXXR said:

50 Shades of Gray had more views than Age of Ultron, doesn't translate into box office. 

It opened to 85M. The floor for Mummy's OW is 60M IMO

[Lordmandeep]

Think the sunday number will hold, solid business today all day. 

[a2k]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

How about 11 100M OWs?

 

Logan

BATB

F8

GOTG

WW

Mummy

DM3

Spider-Man

Thor

Justice League

Episode 8

 

Spoiler

 

Spoiler

Seriously, nothing is impossible and you may well be right. BO is humbling. But even on the high end IMO mid-60s ow.

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

On another note, I have a very bad feeling about Kong. The trailer only has 4.2M views after a month, and the movie is sandwiched between Logan and BATB. I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up like Star Trek Beyond with lower weekdays.

[babz06]

The trailer views for The Mummy mean essentially nothing, alot of people watched it out of curiosity because it was so terrible. 

[cannastop]

27 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Passengers won't do much either. I am thinking under 100M right now.

I think that under $80m is likely.

Edited December 18, 2016 by cannastop

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, a2knet said:

 

  Hide contents

 

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Seriously, nothing is impossible and you may well be right. BO is humbling. But even on the high end IMO mid-60s ow.

 

 

Oh, but that's just the beginning  

[Lordmandeep]

Just now, babz06 said:

The trailer views for The Mummy mean essentially nothing, alot of people watched it out of curiosity because it was so terrible. 

 

 

 

Movies with known entities get a ton of views always... 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, babz06 said:

The trailer views for The Mummy mean essentially nothing, alot of people watched it out of curiosity because it was so terrible. 

The like to dislike ratio is fairly good though.

[cannastop]

10 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I really don't get the lowballing of Lego Batman among this forum? I mean Batman is insanely popular among kids, and here's a Batman film even the 5 year old crazed fanboy of the family can see. Not even taking into account any of the teen/adult appeal it's bound to have. I'm still not ruling out 500 DOM. 

>Complaining people are lowballing a movie.

 

>Saying that $500m dom is a possibility.

 

K then.

[MovieMan89]

Just now, cannastop said:

>Complaining people are lowballing a movie.

 

>Saying that $500m dom is a possibility.

 

K then.

Possibility, yes. Likely, 400. But this board doesn't even seem to be thinking 200 which is asinine. 

[babz06]

Just now, cannastop said:

I think that under $80m is likely.

So you're predicting that it barely beats Joy and under Mag 7? Really guys? lol 

Passengers is doing atleast 100m.  

[Blankments]

Logan and the Mummy will both be lucky to do 120M total DOM, a 100M OW sounds insane to me.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Blankments said:

Logan and the Mummy will both be lucky to do 120M total DOM, a 100M OW sounds insane to me.

[robertman2]

Also, Rogue One was awesome.

[filmlover]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

You've got much to learn, young Jedi.

[Wrath]

10 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

You can't assume the adult fans will show up. I don't plan on seeing it in theaters and maybe not at all. Still haven't seen Lego Movie. No desire to see it. 

Lego Movie was genuinely great for adults as well as well. In fact, Id say more than half the jokes are aimed at grown-ups (consumer culture, management trying to use espri de corps to build enthusiasm in a tedious work environment, etc) as well as the most moving part of the movie (the loving, if work-focused, father's pain at realizing his son has made him the bad guy in the world he's created).

[MovieMan89]

4 minutes ago, Wrath said:

Lego Movie was genuinely great for adults as well as well. In fact, Id say more than half the jokes are aimed at grown-ups (consumer culture, management trying to use espri de corps to build enthusiasm in a tedious work environment, etc) as well as the most moving part of the movie (the loving, if work-focused, father's pain at realizing his son has made him the bad guy in the world he's created).

Furthermore, I'm fairly certain it has a huge teen following. The sheer kid+teen appeal of Lego Batman could take it to 350 all on its own. 

[James]

Lol, I'm dying at some of you with the trailer views numbers. Views come from multiple platforms. YT is only one of them. GotG2 was weak on YT but was a MONSTER  on FB. Wonder Woman was huge on both. Kong is a beast on FB. 

 

Also Lego Batman will be enormous. Anyone doubting that is insane. It will be the first big animation of the year and it will feature Batman. And won;t have competition for weeks. 300m is a lock for that one.