The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[WrathOfHan]

39 minutes ago, Alli said:

Do you think it will make less than Tomorrowland? This seems more accessible to kids since it's more colorful

If it opens under that, it will.

[Curtis1986]

Its now only a 3% difference between Black Panther and A Wrinkle in Time on movietickets.com. not sure if a wrinkle in time will take the top spot before the end of the night but this is definitely very encouraging

Edited March 9, 2018 by Curtis1986

[WrathOfHan]

How tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Wrinkle in Time:

 

10:30: 16/124

11:30: 5/78

12:00 3D: 3/78

1:15: 6/124

2:45 3D: 9/78

4:10: 11/124

5:30 3D: 0/78

7:00: 63/124

8:15 3D: 8/78

9:45 3D: 0/60

 

Black Panther:

 

10:00 3D: 0/78

11:30: 11/113

1:15 3D: 0/78

2:45: 2/113

4:30 3D: 0/78

6:00: 0/113

7:00: 10/69

8:00 3D: 0/78

9:10: 0/113

10:00: 0/124

 

Red Sparrow: 

 

10:15: 10/78

1:20: 6/78

4:05: 2/78

7:05: 3/78

9:55: 0/78

 

Death Wish:

 

10:45: 5/78

1:30: 2/78

4:30: 4/78

7:20: 0/78

10:15: 0/78

 

Game Night:

 

11:45: 0/60

2:15: 0/60

4:40: 0/60

7:05: 10/60

10:05: 0/69

 

Peter Rabbit:

 

11:00: 0/69

2:10: 0/78

4:35: 0/78

7:05: 6/78

9:30: 0/78

Gringo:

 

10:10: 5/67

12:50: 0/67

3:30: 0/67

6:10: 0/67

9:00: 0/67

 

Hurricane Heist:

 

11:15: 0/63

1:45: 3/63

4:15: 0/63

6:50: 2/63

9:25: 0/63

 

Strangers:

 

10:05: 0/78

12:20: 0/78

2:35: 0/78

4:55: 0/78

7:15: 0/78

9:35: 4/78

 

Jumanji:

 

1:25: 2/69

4:10: 0/69

 

Wrinkle in Time: 121/946 (101 2D/20 3D)

Black Panther: 23/957 (all 2D)

Red Sparrow: 21/390

Death Wish: 11/390

Game Night: 10/309

Peter Rabbit: 6/381

Gringo: 5/335

Hurricane Heist: 5/315

Strangers: 4/468

Jumanji: 2/138

 

Wrinkle in Time comps:

 

20% of Black Panther (40.4M)

85% of Coco (42.9M)

120% of Wonder (33M)

 

These are more encouraging comps, but the fact that almost 60% of sales are coming from nighttime shows is a little eyebrow raising. There's evidence that suggests it could hit 40M and go sub-30M; this is too confusing 

 

Strangers:

 

10% of Happy Death Day (2.6M)

15% of Jigsaw (2.5M)

15% of Insidious (4.4M)

40% of Flatliners (2.6M)

40% of Winchester (3.7M)

45% of Annihilation (5M)

 

My suspicions from previews are basically being confirmed: this shit is going to be frontloaded as FUCK. 

 

Gringo:

 

10% of Daddy's Home 2 (3M)

20% of American Made (3.4M)

30% of Downsizing (1.5M)

30% of Game Night (5.1M)

40% of Suburbicon (1.1M)

 

Yeah, tracking isn't bullshitting us on this one. I'd throw out that Game Night comp in this situation given how younger skewing it is at my theater.

 

Hurricane Heist:

 

10% of Hostiles (1.1M)

15% of The Commuter (2.1M)

40% of Geostorm (5.5M)

50% of Flatliners (3.3M)

80% of Friend Request (1.6M)

 

This MUST go under Friend Request  

[WrathOfHan]

Actually, here's a WIT comp I forgot: Peter Rabbit. It's running at 155% of that (38.8M). When comparing the shows before 6 PM (with a group sale removed), it's running at 140% (35M). 

[filmlover]

5 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Pretty fantastic expansion for SoW given all the new releases this weekend. Hope it hits 70m. 

It hits DVD next week so that's unlikely. Should reach close to $65M by the time it closes up shop, although it's already very profitable against its budget.

[WrathOfHan]

TCs for next week:

 

Love, Simon: 2,400 (down from the initial 2,700 last week)

7 Days in Entebbe: 800

[filmlover]

24 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

TCs for next week:

 

Love, Simon: 2,400 (down from the initial 2,700 last week)

7 Days in Entebbe: 800

Seems like Fox is going the WOM building route. They're having sneak previews nationwide on Saturday.

 

7 Days in Entebee is gonna flop hard. Poor Rosamund Pike.

[WrathOfHan]

59 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Seems like Fox is going the WOM building route. They're having sneak previews nationwide on Saturday.

At best, it'll get 100 extra theaters the following week; there's too many wide releases on the 23rd.

Edited March 9, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Cap]

5 hours ago, Morieris said:

 

Yeah, one of our WiT showings is at 9:50 tonight.

Who on earth is going to do that?

 

We just got out of ours

[CJohn]

4 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

TCs for next week:

 

Love, Simon: 2,400 (down from the initial 2,700 last week)

7 Days in Entebbe: 800

An entire plot point on Riverdale this week revolves around going to see Love, Simon  

[XO21]

6 minutes ago, CJohn said:

An entire plot point on Riverdale this week revolves around going to see Love, Simon  

BCU (Berlanti cinematic universe) 

[RRA]

48 minutes ago, CJohn said:

An entire plot point on Riverdale this week revolves around going to see Love, Simon  

What a shameless plug. Berlanti should be working for Disney with those skills.

[Alli]

33% audience score for WIT

[Rumpot]

Well, here's another $100,000 for WIT box office.  Seeing various fundraises on Twitter to get kids to it.   https://blavity.com/amp/oprah-matches-teens-50k-fundraiser-for-girls-to-see-a-wrinkle-in-time-blesses-her-with-the-best-advice?__twitter_impression=true

[Curtis1986]

33 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

Well, here's another $100,000 for WIT box office.  Seeing various fundraises on Twitter to get kids to it.   https://blavity.com/amp/oprah-matches-teens-50k-fundraiser-for-girls-to-see-a-wrinkle-in-time-blesses-her-with-the-best-advice?__twitter_impression=true

 Fantastic. Love how Disney has did this with  Black Panther and this film. That's What I Call community support.

Edited March 9, 2018 by Curtis1986

[Morieris]

6 hours ago, captainwondyful said:

We just got out of ours

 

Yeah, I saw your post in the Crowd Reports Thread and thought "Well, SOMEONE did!" lol

[el sid]

Finally Wrinkle has taken the lead:

#1 A Wrinkle in Time 27.9%
#2 BP 27.6%
#3 The Strangers 2 6.1%
#4 Peter Rabbit 5.1%
#5 Red Sparrow 4.8% (by the way the new #1 in Germany this weekend )
 

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, Alli said:

33% audience score for WIT

lmao jesus. Even with the possibility of trolls, that audience score would still be rotten. The Cinemascore is going to be baaaaaad

[WrathOfHan]

WIT's Google score is 63%. Google tends to be a bit more positive than RT audience scores, so that's still pretty bad

[Curtis1986]

34 minutes ago, el sid said:

Finally Wrinkle has taken the lead:

#1 A Wrinkle in Time 27.9%
#2 BP 27.6%
#3 The Strangers 2 6.1%
#4 Peter Rabbit 5.1%
#5 Red Sparrow 4.8% (by the way the new #1 in Germany this weekend )
 

Nice. Should be another hit for disney. this has been in the top 5 all week and the top two since wednesday. hope kids love it.

Edited March 9, 2018 by Curtis1986