The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[dxmatrixdt]

First 3 days of Star Wars Clone Wars (2008) looked like...

 

6.2 + 5.0 + 3.4 = 14.6

 

it was released August 15th, and since this did not completely implode after opening day, perhaps Teen Titans will not be too frontloaded either after its first two great preview showings.

[The Dark Rock]

51 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Final sales tonight:

 

Mission Impossible:

7:00: 88/124

8:30: 26/67

Total 114/191

 

Teen Titans:

4:00: 13/78

6:30: 24/78

9:00: 13/78

Total: 50/234

 

MI comps:

 

42% of Ant-Man and the Wasp (31.8M)

115% of The Equalizer 2 (41.4M) (167%/60.1M with the 4 PM show removed)

135% of Rampage (48.3M)

135% of Dunkirk (68.2M)

140% of Blade Runner 2049 (45.9M)

140% of Kingsman 2 (54.6M)

285% of American Made (47.9M)

440% of The Commuter (60.3M)

455% of Death Wish (59.2M)

 

Now is the time to temper your expectations if you think this is opening to 65-70M. Considering this week's tracking is 50-57M, 60M definitely isn't a lock by any stretch of the imagination.

 

Teen Titans is running at 45% of Hotel Transylvania 3 (19.8M) and 16% of Incredibles 2 (29.2M). These are really fucking good numbers, especially when the late show is doing a bit of heavy lifting.

 

How does MI6 compares to Rogue Nation?

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, The Dark Rock said:

 

How does MI6 compares to Rogue Nation?

That's too far back; my theater wasn't reserved then.

[Morieris]

I just got a Deadline email that Fallout is outpacing RN in previews...

 

https://deadline.com/2018/07/tom-cruise-mission-impossible-fallout-opening-weekend-1202434739/

[TLK]

2 hours ago, Alli said:

i hope this doesn't pull an Edge of Tomorrow (great movie, but flop at the BO)

 

Edge of Tomorrow wasn't an easy movie to sell.

[dxmatrixdt]

2 hours ago, dmatrixfilm1715 said:

only caught 9 of these 12 theaters for the second showing 6-7pm from 4pm.

 

4pm             

9 venues - 372 reserved seats ~ still 41 avg.

 

6-7pm              

9 venues - 393 reserved seats ~ 44 avg.

 

Using a matinee pricing that is the average of the $8.00 I did above in the quoted, and the $9.16 regular, 

= $8.58 

(2,500)(44)($8.58) = $943,800. in round #2, +15% which the bump in prices and attendance.

 

they all have a next showing and some of them have twilights too

Teen Titans update,

 

Got 8 showings so far in the third round.

324 seats in 8 theaters, down from ~ 41 avg 9pm 

393 seats in 9 theaters, round two ~ 44 avg 630pm

488 seats in 12 theaters, round one ~ 41 avg 4pm 

 

 

This would give, 

4pm shows, $8 avg, 41 avg = $820,000

630pm shows, $8.58, 44 avg = $943,800

900pm shows, $9.16, 41 avg = $939,900

when you add these 3 up, you get 2.7 million which would be up 0.1 over Hotel T3.  

Lego Batman Movie got 2.2 millio

still some more to come, but I think in a world of all things fair and balanced,

my final verdict for the total Thursday preview number on Teen Titans would have to be

$819,999 or less.

  I do not see any other way around that one.  

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

nothing on the twilight showings of Teen Titans, around 0-10 purchases, maybe 2 or 3 sets of people

that makes,

4pm shows ~ 41 avg

630pm shows ~ 44 avg

9pm shows ~ 41 avg

10:30+ shows ~ 10 avg (unofficial)

 

so about 40 avg cumulative for the day.  

Edited July 27, 2018 by dmatrixfilm1715

[el sid]

Friday MT update:

#1 M: I 31.4%
#2 MM2 16.1%
#3 HT3 9.8%
#4 Teen Titans 8.3%
#5 Ant-Man 6%

M: I: 2x5 minutes Pulse showed 262 and 266 sold tickets at the moment (Equalizer 2 same daytime: 138 tickets).

Edited July 27, 2018 by el sid

[WrathOfHan]

Theater update (I'm only updating MI and TTG because I'm a bit short on time):

 

Spoiler

 

Mission Impossible:

 

10:00: 48/124 +18

11:00 3D: 15/78 +5

12:00: 9/78 +1

1:00: 22/78 +9

2:15 3D: 4/78 +2

3:15: 27/78

3:45: 0/124

5:30 3D: 0/78

6:30: 10/78 +2

7:15: 29/113 +8

8:45 3D: 2/78

9:30: 2/124

10:30: 0/113

 

Mamma Mia:

 

10:55: 19/113

1:45: 27/113

4:30: 0/113

6:35: 0/78

9:20: 4/78

 

Teen Titans:

 

10:30: 25/78 +11

1:15: 28/124 +9

4:15: 0/78

7:00: 7/124

9:45: 0/78

 

Hotel Transylvania 3:

 

11:10: 5/69

1:00: 2/67

4:35: 0/69

6:25: 6/67

10:05: 0/69

 

The Equalizer 2:

 

10:05: 8/78

12:50: 2/78

3:30: 0/78

6:10: 0/78

9:00: 2/78

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp:

 

10:10: 4/63

1:05: 0/63

3:50: 0/63

6:40: 5/63

9:35: 0/63

 

Incredibles 2:

 

10:00: 4/67

1:35: 0/69

3:25: 1/67

7:05: 0/69

9:00: 3/67

 

Jurassic World:

 

10:05: 7/60

1:10: 1/60

4:10: 0/60

7:10: 0/60

10:10: 0/60

 

The First Purge:

 

4:00: 0/78

6:30: 2/78

 

Unfriended:

 

9:05: 1/78

 

Mission Impossible: 168/1,098 (Up 45) (147 2D/21 3D)

Teen Titans: 60/482 (Up 20)

Mamma Mia: 50/495

Hotel Transylvania 3: 13/341

The Equalizer 2: 12/390

Ant-Man and the Wasp: 9/315

Incredibles 2: 8/339

Jurassic World: 8/300

The First Purge: 2/156

Unfriended: 1/78

 

[TalismanRing]

On 7/26/2018 at 5:03 AM, TalismanRing said:

 

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (WED OD)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117
Equalizer 2	1,418	2,297	6,073
Unfriended		71	240
MI6		*3328	13,575
Teen Titans		*462	2,125
*4pm-12am

MI 5: Rogue Nation - 4m previews/ 2800 theaters from 8pm/ 13.9x/ $55.5m

Equalizer 2 - 3.10m previews / 2934  theaters From 4pm / 11.6x /   $36m

JP:FK: $15.3m previews/ 9.7x / $148m    

 

Massive jump for MI6 on Wed.  I'm not sure what to compare it too.  Not the CBM movies or Solo because it didn't have big pre-sales before hand. 

 

We also can't compare which sales for what day since that ap wasn't updating on Monday and ha;f or Tues either

JW:FK or Equalizer 2?    JW:FK most likely though had a larger family walk up crowd while EQ2 though rated R probably skews closer to MI6's fan base in age

 

Comparing just Wed numbers would give MI6

$8.9m previews compared to JW:HK 

$6.92m compared to EQ2 - though that was skewed higher with 4pm previews-  so maybe closer to $6m for MI6?

 

 

Should have kept my w/e prediction in the $70m+ range.  I need to stop listening to Deadline's whisper numbers.

[dxmatrixdt]

Teen Titans almost at 1.5 HT3 on movietickets.com online pre-seller top 5

1 - M:I6 - 39.8%

2 - Mamma - 13.3%

3 - Teen - 9.1%

4 - HT3 - 6.5%

5 - EQ2 - 5.8%

 

HT3 and EQ2 should be looking at 12-15 for the weekend.  

This small visual data sample (that could be corrupted) indicates that Teen Titans might be crawling up a little more than the low teens it is forecasted to make from Friday matinees.  O/U 15 right now would be my guess.

[TalismanRing]

7 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Should have kept my w/e prediction in the $70m+ range.  I need to stop listening to Deadline's whisper numbers.

Looks like I was right on the preview number but would have been wrong on the multi...

[dxmatrixdt]

Teen Titans, Hotel Tran 3, and Equalizer 2 all are neck and neck on movietickets.com sales this morning

Teen Titans almost had 1.5x HT3 last afternoon.

Assuming they are selling the same today,

Teen Titans is in 80% of the venues that Hotel 3 is at and might get then 0.8 of HT3's Saturday #.  HT3 should increase 40% today.

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

Pete's Dragon was the last Disney film to be released in > 3,701 locations

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App

 

Sunday #s for next w/e openers

 

Christopher Robin: 644

The Spy Who Dumped Me: 65

[dxmatrixdt]

theater counts next weekend should see at least a net gain of +2,000.

Death of a Nation going over 1,000 and Eighth Grade going over 600

predix

- New - 3,300 - Darkest Minds

- New - 3,700 - Christopher Robin

- New - 3,500 - Spy Who Dumped Me

- New - 1,200 - Death of a Nation

+500 - 658 - Eighth Grade

-100 - 432 - Blindspotting

-100 - 333 - Three Identical Strangers

-25 - 241 - Don't Worry, He Won't Get Far on Foot

-50 - 239 - Leave No Trace

-200 - 264 - Won't You Be My Neighbor

-400 - 402 - Sorry to Bother You

-1200 - 347 - Unfriended: Dark Web

-50 - 77 - Hereditary

-50 - 115 - Solo: Star Wars

-67 - 200 - Deadpool

-108 - 200 - Tag

-50 - 242 - Avengers

-300 - 232 - Uncle Drew

-300 - 274 - Sicario

-800 - 600 - Purge 4

-1200 - 1,573 - Skyscraper

-900 - 1,785 - Jurassic World

-700 - 1,916 - Incredibles

-800 - 2,213 - Ant-Man

-800 - 3,205 - Hotel Tran 3

-400 - 2,988 - Equalizer

-400 - 3,114 - Mamma Mia

        - 3,188 - Teen Titans

        - 4,386 - Mission: Impossible

[WrathOfHan]

6 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango App

 

Sunday #s for next w/e openers

 

Christopher Robin: 644

The Spy Who Dumped Me: 65

That seems great for Christopher Robin

[KeepItU25071906]

14 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango App

 

Sunday #s for next w/e openers

 

Christopher Robin: 644

 

solid for Pooh. Any comparison?

 

 

p.s. feeling not less than Scyscraper opening for "The Meg"

Edited July 30, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[TalismanRing]

Just now, KeepItU25071906 said:

solid for Pooh. Any comparison?

 

 

p.s. feeling not less than Scyscraper opening for "The Meg"

I think Transylvania is the best on the list - it's live action with some drama but still more of a family film.

 

I don't have Sunday comps for that but as of the last update it was near 750 -  should finish around 1200-1500 for Monday

[MrGlass2]

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-07-30 21:01:21 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-07-30 20:00:00	1131	Mission Impossible - Fallout
2018-07-30 20:00:00	404	Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
2018-07-30 20:00:00	277	The Equalizer 2
2018-07-30 20:00:00	231	Ant-Man and the Wasp
2018-07-30 20:00:00	188	Hotel Transylvania 3 Summer Vacation

...

2018-07-30 20:00:00	110	Christopher Robin
2018-07-30 20:00:00	31	The Spy Who Dumped Me
2018-07-30 20:00:00	12	The Meg
2018-07-30 20:00:00	10	Crazy Rich Asians
2018-07-30 20:00:00	9	The Darkest Minds
2018-07-30 20:00:00	7	Death of a Nation