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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
22 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Is this the bump you were expecting/wanted to see from DP, Porthos?

It's good.

 

I'm not trying to damn with faint praise here, either.  It's... good. :)  

 

Tracking fairly well with how JW2 did, at least.  Not at the same level, but I didn't expect it to.  Frankly if it does 75%-80% of JW2 the rest of the way, I'd call that a successful launch, even though it will be a decent amount behind JW2 because of the lower base.

 

So, let me change that to "doing what it needs to do locally". Not better than that, but not worse, either. :) 

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Mulder Global Phenomenon

Mulder

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

It's good.

 

I'm not trying to damn with faint praise here, either.  It's... good. :)  

 

Tracking fairly well with how JW2 did, at least.  Not at the same level, but I didn't expect it to.  Frankly if it does 75%-80% of JW2 the rest of the way, I'd call that a successful launch, even though it will be a decent amount behind JW2 because of the lower base.

  

 So, let me change that to "doing what it needs to do locally". Not better than that, but not worse, either. :) 

I'd agree, it doing 9 tickets at my theater today to me is a really good sign.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, Porthos said:

It's good.

 

I'm not trying to damn with faint praise here, either.  It's... good. :)  

 

Tracking fairly well with how JW2 did, at least.  Not at the same level, but I didn't expect it to.  Frankly if it does 75%-80% of JW2 the rest of the way, I'd call that a successful launch, even though it will be a decent amount behind JW2 because of the lower base.

 

So, let me change that to "doing what it needs to do locally". Not better than that, but not worse, either. :) 

Tomorrow, BTW, JW2 did 220 tickets worth of sales.

Monday it did 443.

Tuesday it did 551.

 

That's the sort of growth curve I'm talking about here.  I don't think Pika Pika needs to match those numbers, obviously.  It'd be nice for it if it had a similar growth pattern, though.

 

For instance, the real danger sign for Solo was:

Sunday 151

Monday 196

Tuesday 236

 

It also went up, but the slope of the curve was MUCH flatter. That more than anything else presaged its bombage.  If Pika Pika has a similarly flat curve, it won't be the greatest of signs for it.

 

Hope that helps explain what I'm looking for from local numbers. :)

Edited by Porthos
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Cappoedameron Box Office Gold

Cappoedameron

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

The last Sunday before release is when movies go bezerk with pre sales increases 

 

detective pikachu its go time time tomorrow 

 

quick attack to the the previews on Thursday 

Quick Attack? I think you mean...

 

tumblr_pnjpjtYu8h1qf5hjqo9_540.gif

 

VOLT TACKLE!

 

 

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Perfundle Cult Classic

Perfundle

Posted
Posted (edited)

I made a mistake in my spreadsheet for Detective Pikachu, as the Dolby screen for one of my theaters wasn't being added into the total. With the correction, 5/2's total has been increased by 58, and 5/3's total has been increased by 52. The last two updates have been corrected as well.

 

Detective Pikachu San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 5 days to opening night

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats sold

Seats Left

Total Seats

Percent Sold

TOTALS

0

65

2804

7847

10861

26.33%

 

241 seats sold

 

Date       4/10 4/11 4/12 4/13
Tickets Sold       534 198 110 58
Date 4/14 4/15 4/16 4/17 4/18 4/19 4/20
Tickets Sold 28 45 59 63 36 33 28
Date 4/21 4/22 4/23 4/24 4/25 4/26 4/27
Tickets Sold 35 72 57 44 92 64 79
Date 4/28 4/29 4/30 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4
Tickets Sold 91 126 85 139 255 232 241

 

Aladdin San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 6th day of presales, 19 days to opening night

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats sold

Seats Left

Total Seats

Percent Sold

TOTALS

0

62

1308

11044

12900

10.59%

 

56 seats sold

 

Date   4/30 4/31 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4
Tickets Sold   677 208 149 131 87 56

 

1.34x Detective Pikachu's first 6 days of presales [Detective Pikachu has 29 days of presales compared to Aladdin's 24]

 

 

Edited by Perfundle
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Minnale101 Box Office Gold

Minnale101

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, Perfundle said:

I made a mistake in my spreadsheet for Detective Pikachu, as the Dolby screen for one of my theaters wasn't being added into the total. With the correction, 5/2's total has been increased by 58, and 5/3's total has been increased by 52. The last two posts have been corrected as well.

 

Detective Pikachu San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 5 days to opening night

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats sold

Seats Left

Total Seats

Percent Sold

TOTALS

0

65

2804

7847

10861

26.33%

 

241 seats sold

 

Date       4/10 4/11 4/12 4/13
Tickets Sold       534 198 110 58
Date 4/14 4/15 4/16 4/17 4/18 4/19 4/20
Tickets Sold 28 45 59 63 36 33 28
Date 4/21 4/22 4/23 4/24 4/25 4/26 4/27
Tickets Sold 35 72 57 44 92 64 79
Date 4/28 4/29 4/30 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4
Tickets Sold 91 126 85 139 255 232 241

 

Aladdin San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 6th day of presales, 19 days to opening night

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats sold

Seats Left

Total Seats

Percent Sold

TOTALS

0

62

1308

11044

12900

10.59%

 

56 seats sold

 

Date   4/30 4/31 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4
Tickets Sold   677 208 149 131 87 56

 

1.34x Detective Pikachu's first 6 days of presales [Detective Pikachu has 29 days of presales compared to Aladdin's 24]

 

 

Thanks even better 

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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted (edited)

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu

5/9/19 (4 before previews, 5 before release)

North Shore Cinema

Mequon, WI

 

4:00 - 2/146

6:45 - 25/146 

9:30 - 1/146

 

Running:

566% ahead of A Wrinkle In Time - $154M OW (PLF only)

75% ahead of Wonder - $48.2M OW

27% ahead of Coco - $64.6M OW

12% ahead of Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - $49.3M OW

49% behind Venom - $40.8M OW (PLF only)

73% behind Ant Man and The Wasp - $20.5M OW (PLF only)

 

These are decent numbers if we exclude the two obvious ones. The sales more or less suggest an OW around $50M-$60M, although with a few of these comparisons, sub $50M OW does give me some pause.

Edited by YourMother the Edgelord
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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu

5/9/19 (4 before previews, 5 before release)

 

Menominee Falls Cinema

Menominee Falls, WI

 

4:00 - 2/151 - SuperScreen

6:50 - 11/151 - SuperScreen

9:30 - 0/151 - SuperScreen 

 

Running:

83% ahead of A Wrinkle In Time, at the same point in time and in PLFs only but at North Shore - $60.5M OW

 

We should take into account that family films in PLFs = weak presales but it’s still not a good jump given the amount of time but this is also (according to the number Lord and savior @RtheEnd) the second biggest in Wisconsin. Seems okay for me still thinking $50M-$60M OW.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)

In a completely unforeseeable event, Pulse is broken again. 

 

Getting to the point where I'm going to mention Pulse is still up on weekends as opposed to letting folks here know it's broken again. 

Edited by Porthos
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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, stealthyfrog said:

What the heck does PLF mean

Premium Large Formats.

 

We are lazy here and lik 2 use shorcut 4 big word.

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