What a WONDERful Weekend | WW down only 16% on Sunday. 103M weekend. pg 226

[CJohn]

Alien has not even reached 170M WW yet and King Arthur is stuck at 129M WW. Absolutely amazing. 

[MikeQ]

Given what looks like a strong internal multiplier for the weekend, a relatively small proportion of its weekend gross coming from previews, and the gender split being more equal/leaning female (which I've already shown earlier is unusual for a comic book film), I could see a strong 50-55% drop next weekend to about $45-50 million.

 

Best Opening Weekends for Comic Book Films & Share from Previews

 

Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Share of Opening Weekend from Previews/Midnights

1. Marvel’s The Avengers — 207.4 million (9.0%)
2. Avengers: Age of Ultron — 191.3 million (14.4%)
3. Captain America: Civil War — 179.1 million (14.0%)
4. Iron Man 3 — 174.1 million (9.0%)
5. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 166.0 million (16.7%)
6. The Dark Knight Rises — 160.9 million (19.0%)
7. The Dark Knight — 158.4 million (11.7%)
8. Spider-Man 3 — 151.1 million (6.6%)
9. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 — 146.4 million (11.6%)
10. Suicide Squad — 133.7 million (15.3%)
11. Deadpool — 132.4 million (9.6%)
12. Iron Man 2 — 128.1 million (5.9%)
13. Man of Steel — 116.6 million (7.7%)
14. Spider-Man — 114.8 million (6.1%)
15. X-Men: The Last Stand — 102.8 million (5.7%)
16. Wonder Woman — 100.5 million (10.9%)
17. Iron Man — 98.6 million (5.1%)
18. Captain America: The Winter Soldier — 95.0 million (10.7%)
19. Guardians of the Galaxy — 94.3 million (11.9%)
20. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 — 91.6 million (9.5%)
21. X-Men: Days of Future Past — 90.8 million (8.9%)

 

Approximate Saturday Increases/Decreases from True Fridays (Sans Previews) for Comic Book Films that Opened May-August (Not an Exhaustive List)

 

Spider-Man: +34% (May)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: +31% (May)

Wonder Woman: +29% (June)

The Amazing Spider-Man 2: +25% (May)

Captain America: Civil War: +21% (May)

Ant-Man: +20% (July)

Iron Man 3: +17% (May)

Guardians of the Galaxy: +16% (August)

X-Men: Apocalypse: +13% (May - Memorial Day Weekend)

Marvel's The Avengers: +12% (May)

X-Men: Days of Future Past: +7% (May - Memorial Day Weekend)

Iron Man 2: +5% (May)

Thor: +5% (May)

Man of Steel: +4% (June)

Spider-Man 3: +3% (May)

Captain America: The First Avenger: +1% (July)

The Dark Knight Rises: -0.5% (July)

Avengers: Age of Ultron: -0.5% (May)

The Dark Knight: -2% (July)

Suicide Squad: -13% (August)

 

Peace,

Mike

[Blaze Heatnix]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

The Mummy is tanking hard next weekend.

 

 

I think this movie might play better overseas, like most of Cruise's movies. He has a huge following in China and Japan.

 

That being said, WW is gonna be the Queen of the next weekend. 

[YM!]

The Alien franchise might be dead for a while.

[Jonwo]

11 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Both were ruined by a tv show and DTV films which made those films less unique to the GA.

 

Ninjago screwed then! 

Edited June 4, 2017 by Jonwo

[SteveJaros]

Surprises to me:

 

(1) POTC5 over a half-billion dollars in 10 days despite tanking in the USA.

 

(2) WW only at $100m DOM? I expected it to be in truly elite territory, $130m+ like Guardians. Heck it couldn't even match Suicide Squad?

 

Hopefully, WW's box office legs are as hot as Gal's, and it ends up beating SS and BvS at the DOM box office. I think it will. 

 

Edited June 4, 2017 by SteveJaros

[ThomasNicole]

47 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Shrek 3 hurt Shrek 4.

I guarantee that Cars 2 and Planes movies hurt Cars 3, and Minions hurt DM3.

I said if Cars 3 was good , it will grow... if it's not, it will decline a little.

 

Shrek 4 was bad like 3, and the numbers for the 3rd was much bigger to surpass, so the fall is big.

 

DM3 will decline not only because Minions, but because this is the fouth movie from the Franchise in 7 years.

[YM!]

Just now, Jonwo said:

 

That's Ninjago screwed then! 

The Lego franchise will allow it to squeak over $100M due to a dry family movie period. The Lego Movie Sequel is doomed isn't it.

[a2k]

If POTC has another APOC like drop (APOC fell 56%)...it will go in single digits. Imagine a Pirates movie going sub 10M in 3rd weekend.

 

But there is some hope as APOC had little competition in 2nd weekend and big competition in 3rd weekend, while POTC had to face WONDR, so this weekend's drop could correct itself next weekend.

[Premium George]

1 minute ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

 

I think this movie might play better overseas, like most of Cruise's movies. He has a huge following in China and Japan.

 

That being said, WW is gonna be the Queen of the next weekend. 

Forget china for mummy. It's most probably doing real bad there based on presales.

[ThomasNicole]

50 minutes ago, damnitgeorge08 said:

Yeah that's right. But still think there would be some effect and it will not reach MAXIMUM!

I agree it will hurt, if the movie was also bad or meh.

If it's good, i think it will cross $ 200m, because it's an animation, Planes are irrelevant, and Pixar is still a big thing... a good movie can "erase" the 2nd.

[YM!]

6 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

Ninjago screwed then! 

I'm going to try to be optimistic since it's one of Lego's bestsellers. Yes there's been a long running tv show, but unlike Lego Batman it doesn't have like 10 DTV movies and 3 video games, I think it can still get past $100M but it won't do the $150M I want.

Edited June 4, 2017 by YourMother

[Dementeleus]

I don't think NINJAGO does much of anything. 

[John Marston]

36 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

Yeah, bring Gore back for one last ride!

 

...Yes, I know.

 

 

I agree. They should do that. Even this one will still be profitable in the end. I don't think it is risky endeavor to make one more that has a true reunion

[GiantCALBears]

No way those official estimates for WW are right, Saturday too big and Sunday too small. They could be but I don't buy with actual the Saturday number is $35m+ and then is going to drop 27% today. 

[John Marston]

the last trailer for The Mummy was awful. The one before it with the Paint it Black music was pretty good but then they release this really lame one and some really lame clips

[ThomasNicole]

6 minutes ago, PRESIDENT BKB said:

Congratulations for WB/DCU on the OW success of WONDER WOMAN.. 100M is a damn good start.. Let's hope this has legs better than BvsS had..

DC is on fire [in BO]...

 

All the 4 movies debut with $ + 100m.

 

JL is guaranteed, let's see if they can do this with Aquaman too.

[GiantCALBears]

38 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

This is going to be the complete opposite of fudge. They are giving it a really big drop on Sunday and that is not going to happen. I will not be surprised if the actual comes in at around 103.

Or the Saturday number is being inflated... 

[Ethan Hunt]

Ninjago isn't crossing 100M. It probably isn't doing half of Lego Batman

[MrPink]

1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said:

Or the Saturday number is being inflated... 

 

I mean, RTH said 35.7 and Deadline had 35.6 at one point, so usually if they're consistent, there's not an inflation.

Edited June 4, 2017 by MrPink