5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[cannastop]

This is actually a good weekend for numbers drama, imo.

[a2k]

20 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Wonder Woman had a $26m week internationally. So with legs and Japan, $400m internationally is doable. 

 

I think it'll finish around $780m worldwide. Which is insane.

 

Think what the sequel will do 

It's on 362 OS-Japan after a 26m weekend.

Should at at least 45m in current markets for at least 406 OS-Japan.

12-13m from Japan give it 418-419 OS.

 

381-382 Dom will give it 800 WW.

 

Can't miss 800 WW imo. My numbers above have been a little conservative. Can add 10 more OS-Japan, 3m more in Japan and 7m more Dom for 20m more WW. 800-825 is a legit range.

Edited July 2, 2017 by a2knet

[John Marston]

BoxOffice @BoxOffice

PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MEN TELL NO TALES: $543.2M Overseas Total / 
$708.7M Global Total #PiratesOfTheCaribbean#DeadMenTellNoTales

[Cmasterclay]

Egads, that number for DM3 sucks. Idk if we still have a contingent that says "It's still a huge number, that's what really matters" every blockbuster (AOU's run was the worst for this), but honestly I don't care - that number blows relative to reasonable expectation. That's what matters to me. 

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

it's 99,9999999999999999999999% improvable.

 

If it gets 10-15M there, WB can be happy. Biggest superhero movie there i think it was The Avenger with 45M. Then it's AoU and CW with some 25M ... Not to say that DC movies there are TDK 15M, TDKR 25M, MOS 9M, BvS 16M, SS 15M ... make your own guesses. 

 

Who might get to 100M there is Pirates 5, which seems to have opened over 10M there. 

 

And those two outliers occurred during a year with hugely more favorable exchange rate.

 

2012:  US $1 = 79.55 Yen

2016:  US $1 = 111.28 Yen

 

 

 

[grey ghost]

How is Bumblebee going to keep the budget low?

 

TF movies are expensive af.

[cannastop]

Baby Driver $30,029,105

 

 

It made that threshold!

[cannastop]

Just now, grey ghost said:

How is Bumblebee going to keep the budget low?

 

TF movies are expensive af.

I legitimately don't know how they could keep it cheap without haviing the CGI look like crap.

[meriodejaneiro]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

It's on 362 OS-Japan after a 26m weekend.

Should at at least 45m in current markets for at least 406 OS-Japan.

12-13m from Japan give it 418-419 OS.

 

381-382 Dom will give it 800 WW.

 

Can't miss 800 WW imo. My numbers above have been a little conservative. Can add 5-10 more OS-Japan, 3-5m more in Japan and 5-7m more Dom for 15-20 more WW.

After a 26M intl. week, how do you want it to make 45M more? If next week can make 15M, following 7M, then 4, then 2 ... and think WW is not holding internationally as it's doing dom, and DM3, SM:HC, Cars3 are getting international expansions ... so maximum 20-25M internationally + 10-15M Japan, it's 40M maximum internationally imo to a very very sharp 400M intl. (i say it ends below 400M intl)

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Baby Driver $30,029,105

 

 

It made that threshold!

BABY DRIVER IS MAKING ALL THE MONEY!!!

 

I TOLD YA'LL!! HOP ON THE HYPE TRAIN OR SUFFER!!! 

[drdungbeetle]

2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

How is Bumblebee going to keep the budget low?

 

TF movies are expensive af.

Just have Crow T. Robot play the role of Bumblebee, it's not like they can't damage the mythos any further than they already have

[Fancyarcher]

3 hours ago, grey ghost said:

 

Dark Tower is gonna pull an upset, bruh.

 

135 m OW

If reviews are great, I'm predicting an opening weekend of 160m+, count on it. 

[miketheavenger]

Yeah, that's a very disappointing opening for DM3. A movie can be a big success and still be disappointing. This is one of those cases.

[filmlover]

Overall thoughts on the weekend:

 

Despicable Me 3 clearly got hit by the lackluster reception to Minions and this movie not looking like anything special (this summer sure has been tough on franchises with more than one follow-up to them), but the low-ish (for an animated movie) budget guarantees it'll make a profit. I imagine Universal and Illumination will be happy as long as it surpasses the $251M total of the first movie.

 

Baby Driver did awesome. I think it'll play like This is the End and leg it out to barely crossing $100M in the end. Congrats to Edgar Wright finally landing a mainstream hit! 

 

Transformers: maniacal laugh...maniacal laugh.

 

Wonder Woman continues to do awesome. Hopefully Spider-Man's arrival next weekend doesn't hurt too much.

 

Cars 3 will miss $150M at this point.

 

The House bombed hard. It was clear the moment WB decided to not screen it for critics that they knew they had a dud on their hands, but scoring the worst opening of Will Ferrell's career as leading man (beating even the SNL-skit-turned-movie A Night at the Roxbury from nearly 20 years ago) is quite the embarrassing feat.

 

47 Meters Down had a great hold again. It's looking to finish between $40-45M, which is amazing for a movie that once seemed destined to go straight to VOD.

 

The Beguiled had a solid expansion, all things considered. Probably not enough to expand it much from here but it should at least finish not far behind Marie Antoinette as Sofia Coppola's third highest-grossing movie.

 

The Big Sick is doing amazing so far. Thinking this is gonna be one of the more exciting runs to watch this summer.

[drdungbeetle]

Just now, Nova said:

BABY DRIVER IS MAKING ALL THE MONEY!!!

 

I TOLD YA'LL!! HOP ON THE HYPE TRAIN OR SUFFER!!! 

...you're gonna be likes this when Atomic Blonde opens, aren't you?

[CJohn]

5 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Baby Driver $30,029,105

 

 

It made that threshold!

TOMATO LAW

[meriodejaneiro]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

And those two outliers occurred during a year with hugely more favorable exchange rate.

 

2012:  US $1 = 79.55 Yen

2016:  US $1 = 111.28 Yen

 

 

 

Pirates 1 (2003) 4,5M / 60M

Pirates 2 (2006) 16,6M / 84,5M

Pirates 3 (2007) 12M / 91M

Pirates 4 (2011) 14,8M / 108,8M

 

I wonder how big it opened this weekend Pirates 5 in Japan. For the numbers (24M week) i'd say it's gone some 12M opening weekend in Japan. That could easily be 80M total.

[MrGamer]

That drop for Transformers is insane. I was hoping Wonder Woman would beat it this weekend, but I guess it'll have to wait until next weekend (providing Spider-Man doesn't do too much damage). 

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

After a 26M intl. week, how do you want it to make 45M more? If next week can make 15M, following 7M, then 4, then 2 ... and think WW is not holding internationally as it's doing dom, and DM3, SM:HC, Cars3 are getting international expansions ... so maximum 20-25M internationally + 10-15M Japan, it's 40M maximum internationally imo to a very very sharp 400M intl. (i say it ends below 400M intl)

 

I read 26m weekend. But if it did 26m over the week, then it will add say 35m in current markets and 12-14 in Japan I guess for 47-49 more OS.

That will give it (362 + 48) 410 OS.

Dom should be 385-390. So 795-800 WW. 

Edited July 2, 2017 by a2knet

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

TOMATO LAW

That's a new one.