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CJohn

WEEKEND THREAD | ANNABELLE 2 - $35m; DUNKIRK - $11.4m; NUT JOB 2 - $8.9m; BABY DRIVER Crosses $100m!!!

By CJohn, in Numbers and Data

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ZeeSoh Summer Tentpole

ZeeSoh

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

And it did. More than TASM/TASM2 weekend, and due to the fact that Spider-Man is the most popular western superhero, I find it pretty hard to not make to $30m-$40m total. I'm no specialist in Japan, but my experience with Spider-Man films tell me that it'll be leggier than most are predicting at the moment.

 

There's also the fact that OS total for Homecoming jumped from $377m to $395m, and I don't think that is including $7m from Japan, at least BOM isn't showing. Homecoming still has Japan to open, and I do think it can make more $30m from the domestic market. It's bound to become the highest grossing superhero film of the year worldwide so far topping Vol. 2, with actual good chances of going over SM3's $890m.

The 19 or so million it made OS this week does include Japan's gross. Last week SMH made 21m OS. For it to make 19m OS without Japan would mean just a 10% fall and thats impossible given its previous falls and falls in OS markets for which we have number. Whether the 19m OS numbers include just Japan's OD or its OW I am not sure. But it most definitely includes Japan's number. 

 

To overtake GotG2's 862 total it would need to do 110 in China which I think it can do. To overtake 890m of SM3 it would need to do 140m in China which I think is unrealistic (not impossible though)

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ZattMurdock Global Phenomenon

ZattMurdock

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

BOM updates the OS total with all markets on Sunday, regardless if the individual gross of new markets are shown. So that 395M does include Japan, but you will see the exact weekend number on the OS country chart not before Tuesday i think. 

 

Anyway, Spidey has a great run.

Even including Japan, that was a weird jump for Homecoming. It went from $377m to $395m, and $377m was updated days ago. It's probably some unaccounted money that got added, plus Japan then. 

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angeldelmito Blockbuster

angeldelmito

Posted
Posted

just saw miss annabelle w/ my gorls nd it was real good ! i give it at least a B !

 

EaFOx6g.gif

 

also there are like... a lot of good looking ass movies coming out that I ain't never heard of until today lmaoandfjdnfsf i needa get ready for Flatliners nd Happy Death Day... and A Bad Mom's Christmas doesn't look too bad

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ZattMurdock Global Phenomenon

ZattMurdock

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

The 19 or so million it made OS this week does include Japan's gross. Last week SMH made 21m OS. For it to make 19m OS without Japan would mean just a 10% fall and thats impossible given its previous falls and falls in OS markets for which we have number. Whether the 19m OS numbers include just Japan's OD or its OW I am not sure. But it most definitely includes Japan's number. 

 

To overtake GotG2's 862 total it would need to do 110 in China which I think it can do. To overtake 890m of SM3 it would need to do 140m in China which I think is unrealistic (not impossible though)

Let's say it makes to around $405m until the end of its run in foreign territories minus Japan and China.

 

$335m dom

$405m os

$30m Japan

$120m China

 

It's tough, but possible. Also, I'm actually thinking Homecoming will have a similar run to TASM due to better WOM in Japan, so I'm actually thinking $30-40m Japan, probably in the high end of that.

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Deja23 Box Office Gold

Deja23

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

Subzero is incorrect, you are right. It opened above both TASM films.

Actually TASM opened to 7.4m in Japan, so if those numbers are right, SMH is closer to TASM than to TASM2. Still a good number to me, but I'm a total newbie at this stuff. 

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ZattMurdock Global Phenomenon

ZattMurdock

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Deja23 said:

Actually TASM opened to 7.4m in Japan, so if those numbers are right, SMH is closer to TASM than to TASM2. Still a good number to me, but I'm a total newbie at this stuff. 

Yeah exactly. $7.1m estimate for SM:HC and $7.4m for TASM. I think Homecoming will also behave like TASM, because of better WOM than TASM2. So I'm thinking more or less what TASM did: $39m.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted (edited)

http://deadline.com/2017/08/ingrid-goes-west-good-time-specialty-box-office-1202147850/

 

Both Ingrid Goes West and Good Time are skewing younger, expand into top markets next week, and go wide on the 25th.

Wind River expands into 600-700 theaters next weekend.

Step expands into 200-250 theaters next weekend.

The Only Living Boy in New York is adding a few more theaters next weekend and 300-400 on the 25th.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

http://deadline.com/2017/08/ingrid-goes-west-good-time-specialty-box-office-1202147850/

 

Both Ingrid Goes West and Good Time are skewing younger, expand into top markets next week, and go wide on the 25th.

Wind River expands into 600-700 theaters next weekend.

Step expands into 200-250 theaters next weekend.

Not at all surprised by Ingrid skewing younger than usual for a specialty release. It likely won't have much difficulty expanding.

 

Meanwhile, The Only Living Boy in New York pretty much flopped for Amazon. Expected given the awful reviews.

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