filmlover Posted January 23, 2018 Author Share Posted January 23, 2018 Just now, WrathOfHan said: Maybe that gives PTA or Villeneuve more reason for a nomination than the Berg or Guadagnino? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 (edited) Both this and Actress have a "consensus 5" that seems pretty set in stone, but something doesn't feel right here. I can't think of any statistics that are going against Actress; maybe this is the first time every nominee is from a BP nominee? Even then, Robbie fills the newcomer slot, and SAG won't be going 5/5 because of Streep. Like I said earlier, Director has the "all first-time nominees" thing that's somewhat of a red flag; it's happened before but only 3 times/3% of ceremonies. DGA going 5/5 isn't as rare as SAG categories, but 4/5 is typically the way it goes. Lady Bird and Get Out are still top 4 contenders, so it'd make perfect sense for both Peele and Gerwig to get in. Something just isn't right. Edited January 23, 2018 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 11 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Maybe that gives PTA or Villeneuve more reason for a nomination than the Berg or Guadagnino? Villenueve deserves it more than everyone except for GDT which is one of the reasons why this award season has been so damn frustrating I'll be praying for this 2% chance to happen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 23, 2018 Author Share Posted January 23, 2018 (edited) 5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Something just isn't right. You can apply this to multiple categories this year. It's been a strange season. Every movie appears "weak" except for Three Billboards, and even that doesn't feel as set in stone as La La Land appeared to be at this same exact point last year. Edited January 23, 2018 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Mind you Moonlight looked weaker and still won Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwick Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 (edited) 5 hours ago, BardCrank said: Villenueve deserves it more than everyone except for GDT which is one of the reasons why this award season has been so damn frustrating I'll be praying for this 2% chance to happen Villenueve is so overrated. Priosoners was okay, Arrival was ok at best, sicario was quite good and blade runner was quite good. None of his films are good enough for rewards To say he deserves it more than Nolan only shows your lack of film knowledge Edited January 23, 2018 by Mrwick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Mrwick said: Villenueve is so overrated. Priosoners was okay, Arrival was ok at best, sicario was quite good and blade runner was quite good. None of his films are good enough for rewards To say he deserves it more than Nolan only shows your lack of film knowledge Defending Nolan AND calling other directors overrated in one post Well done my friend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwick Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 hour ago, BardCrank said: Defending Nolan AND calling other directors overrated in one post Well done my friend Oh look, a hipster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 With Three Billboards missing, it would seem Shape of Water has a great chance to win both Picture and Director. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 I'd be fine with del Toro winning. Shape of Water is clearly very personal to him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 having not even seen shape yet i'd prefer del toro to win over nolan because i'm actually more confident in the latter coming back for more shots in the future. i think gdt hits higher highs for me but he's also a lot more inconsistent so you never know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 I really like all the BD choices (that being said I haven't seen 2 of the movies yet but I like those two people so I'm putting my faith in them) so I'm cool with any of them winning. It's a strong lineup. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 I was mostly right with my prediction. PTA was the surprise nom that I didn't see coming but a pleasant surprise regardless. Guadagnino not being nominated isn't shocking. Glad to see Peele got a nom. The other three I was fairly confident with and am glad to see them all nominated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 14 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: having not even seen shape yet i'd prefer del toro to win over nolan because i'm actually more confident in the latter coming back for more shots in the future. i think gdt hits higher highs for me but he's also a lot more inconsistent so you never know. Nolan has the game down. He just needs to keep losing and losing until they give him lifetime achievement award. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 The average number of noms of BD winners in the past 8 years is 11 only 2 movies won BD with less than 10 noms ( 9 for Birdman and Hurt locker but they were both the most nominated and were undeniable BP winners of their years ) Bad news for Nolan fans Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwick Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Dunkirk is the only film nominated that is a true directors showcase. It may not deserve the best picture statue but imo it definitely deserves Best Director Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwick Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, BardCrank said: The average number of noms of BD winners in the past 8 years is 11 only 2 movies won BD with less than 10 noms ( 9 for Birdman and Hurt locker but they were both the most nominated and were undeniable BP winners of their years ) Bad news for Nolan fans The hurt locker was not an undeniable best picture winner at all. There were multiple nominees more deserving. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 18 minutes ago, Mrwick said: The hurt locker was not an undeniable best picture winner at all. There were multiple nominees more deserving. It won PGA , DGA , WGA and BAFTA along with a few million other awards The race was over long before the oscars were given Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwick Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 1 minute ago, BardCrank said: It won PGA , DGA , WGA and BAFTA along with a few million other awards The race was over long before the oscars were given It was your typical hollywood propaganda movie where Americans are simply the best whilst British SAS soldiers are made to look like mindless idiots in a desert. Inglorious bastards was better. District 9 was better and hell james cameron deserved a best picture statue seeing as he spent the best part of 4 years working 15 hours a day to make the thing. ZDT > THL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 21 minutes ago, Mrwick said: It was your typical hollywood propaganda movie where Americans are simply the best whilst British SAS soldiers are made to look like mindless idiots in a desert. Inglorious bastards was better. District 9 was better and hell james cameron deserved a best picture statue seeing as he spent the best part of 4 years working 15 hours a day to make the thing. ZDT > THL I never said it was the most deserving , my personal favorite that year was Up in the Air but it was a winner long before the ceremony 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
