WEEKEND Thread | 'Jigsaw' -16.2M; TYFYS- 3.7M; Suburbicon- 2.8M

[Frozen]

Deadline

 

Industry estimates as of Friday night for the weekend of Oct. 27-29:

 

1.) Jigsaw  (LG), 2,941 theaters / $7.5M Fri. (includes $1.6M previews) / 3-day cume: $17.4M / Wk 1

 2.) Boo 2! A Madea Halloween  (LG), 2,388 theaters (0) / $2.8M Fri. (-62%) / 3-day cume: $10.3M (-51%)/Total: $35.8M Wk 2

 3.) Geostorm  (WB/SKY), 3,246 theaters (0)/ $1.46M Fri. (-66%) / 3-day cume: $5.4M (-60%)/Total: $23.3M/ Wk 2

 4)Happy Death Day  (UNI/BLUM), 3,535 theaters (+237) / $1.6M Fri. (-45%) / 3-day cume: $5.2M  (-44%)/ Total: $48.5M/Wk 3

5.)Blade Runner 2049  (ALC/WB/SONY), 2,421 theaters (-782)/ $1.2M Fri. (-41%)/ 3-day cume: $4.3M (-42%) /Total: $81.7M/ Wk 4

6.) Only the Brave  (SONY), 2,577 theaters (0)/ $1.2M Fri. (-43%) / 3-day cume: $4.1M (-31%)/Total: $12.6M/ Wk 2

7.) Thank You for Your Service  (DW/UNI), 2,054 theaters / $1.45M Fri. (includes $280K in previews) / 3-day cume: $4M / Wk 1

 8.) The Foreigner  (STX), 2,505 theaters (-10) / $966K Fri. (-42%) / 3-day cume: $3.2M (-43%)/ Total: $29M/Wk 3

 9.) Suburbicon  (PAR), 2,046 theaters / $1.15M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.1M / Wk 1

10.) It  (NL/WB), 2,560 theaters (0) / $682k Fri. (-32%) /3-day cume: $2.37M (-31%) / Total: $323.6M / Wk 8

 

NOTABLES:

Let There Be Light  (ATLAS), 373 theaters  / $580K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.7M /Wk 1

Same Kind of Different As Me (PURE/PAR) 1,238 theaters (-124) $420K Fri (-69%)/3-day: $1.56M (-40%)/Total: $5.1M/Wk 2

The Snowman  (UNI), 1,815 theaters (+3) / $388K Fri. (-71%) / 3-day cume: $1.26M (-63%)/ Total: $5.8M/Wk 2

All I See Is You  (OR), 283 theaters  / $50K Fri. / 3-day cume: $157k /Wk 1

[That One Girl]

They’re recounting that Suburbicon score because they can’t believe how awful it is

[aabattery]

Trash.

[filmlover]

Just now, Frozen said:

Deadline

 

Industry estimates as of Friday night for the weekend of Oct. 27-29:

 

1.) Jigsaw  (LG), 2,941 theaters / $7.5M Fri. (includes $1.6M previews) / 3-day cume: $17.4M / Wk 1

 2.) Boo 2! A Madea Halloween  (LG), 2,388 theaters (0) / $2.8M Fri. (-62%) / 3-day cume: $10.3M (-51%)/Total: $35.8M Wk 2

 3.) Geostorm  (WB/SKY), 3,246 theaters (0)/ $1.46M Fri. (-66%) / 3-day cume: $5.4M (-60%)/Total: $23.3M/ Wk 2

 4)Happy Death Day  (UNI/BLUM), 3,535 theaters (+237) / $1.6M Fri. (-45%) / 3-day cume: $5.2M  (-44%)/ Total: $48.5M/Wk 3

5.)Blade Runner 2049  (ALC/WB/SONY), 2,421 theaters (-782)/ $1.2M Fri. (-41%)/ 3-day cume: $4.3M (-42%) /Total: $81.7M/ Wk 4

6.) Only the Brave  (SONY), 2,577 theaters (0)/ $1.2M Fri. (-43%) / 3-day cume: $4.1M (-31%)/Total: $12.6M/ Wk 2

7.) Thank You for Your Service  (DW/UNI), 2,054 theaters / $1.45M Fri. (includes $280K in previews) / 3-day cume: $4M / Wk 1

 8.) The Foreigner  (STX), 2,505 theaters (-10) / $966K Fri. (-42%) / 3-day cume: $3.2M (-43%)/ Total: $29M/Wk 3

 9.) Suburbicon  (PAR), 2,046 theaters / $1.15M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.1M / Wk 1

10.) It  (NL/WB), 2,560 theaters (0) / $682k Fri. (-32%) /3-day cume: $2.37M (-31%) / Total: $323.6M / Wk 8

 

NOTABLES:

Let There Be Light  (ATLAS), 373 theaters  / $580K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.7M /Wk 1

Same Kind of Different As Me (PURE/PAR) 1,238 theaters (-124) $420K Fri (-69%)/3-day: $1.56M (-40%)/Total: $5.1M/Wk 2

The Snowman  (UNI), 1,815 theaters (+3) / $388K Fri. (-71%) / 3-day cume: $1.26M (-63%)/ Total: $5.8M/Wk 2

All I See Is You  (OR), 283 theaters  / $50K Fri. / 3-day cume: $157k /Wk 1

Damn, that is hellish for All I See is You. $550 PTA for the whole weekend. Can't say I'm surprised though, there was absolutely no marketing for it.

[That One Girl]

D- CINEMASCORE FOR SUBURBICON

 

 

SUBURBICON (2017)

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

D- CINEMASCORE FOR SUBURBICON

 

 

SUBURBICON (2017)

Yeah, this is worse than mother! getting an F. At least that film caused people to be literally repulsed by what they saw. This just means audiences thought the film plain old sucked.

 

Congrats to Paramount putting out the two lowest-rated films on CinemaScore in 2017!

Edited October 28, 2017 by filmlover

[Maxmoser3]

Minus Jigsaw, and Happy Death Day. As well as The Foreigner doing well with overseas and possibly doing 3 Days To Kill numbers. STX has a profitable flick. October is horrible. 

 

November is going to be the biggest November since 2012-2013. In my honest opinion, Thor 3 debuts like GOTG 2 or Homecoming. Bad Moms debuts like Office Christmas Party between $16-$20 million ow, and does $65-$70 million. Which isn’t bad. 

 

Daddy’s Home 2 does $22-$25 million ow, and does $70-$80 million(what I predicted the original to do). Murder On Orient Express debuts between $23-$26 million ow(if not higher), and enjoys thanksgiving legs, and early-December legs. It will make $100 million mark my words. If good. 

 

Justice League does $135-$145 million ow,and does bvs numbers. Wonder will debut in the high single digits and maybe $10 million. But should do sub-$30-$35 million if that’s the case. The Star, will more likely debut in the single digits minus the cast and do $25 million domestic if lucky.

 

Coco is the only real Thanksgiving release, it debuts like Moana or Tangled and does over $200 million domestic. Polaroid, well Harvey isn’t going to be enjoying a nice profit for that, before meeting with his lawyer. 

 

So November will have 3 films make over $150 million. 

A possible film sneak past $100 million. 

Two films do ok numbers. 

And will have 3 potential duds(The Star, Wonder, and Polaroid). 

 

As for 2017, things are tough. But with a $200 million debut in december, and two more $100+ million debuts. And some potential hits joining the holiday season with Thor, Star Wars, Justice League, Coco, and Pitch Perfect 3. As well as potential successes such as Jumanji, Ferdinand, and Orient Express. Bad Moms and the Daddy are tough to predict. But the biggies should help out 2017. 

[La Binoche]

Clooney sucks, like Damon and Affleck. But he's used his starpower to land himself in some cool directors' movies. 

[filmlover]

Also, Only the Brave is looking at the lowest drop in the top 10. Shame that it opened so low because it had all the makings of a leggy WOM hit.

[WrathOfHan]

WHY COULDN'T SUBURBICON GET AN F????? D- is still hilarious at least  

That's weaker than anticipated from earlier estimates for Jigsaw

Pretty much expected holds across the board. I knew OTB was gonna cross 4M!

[filmlover]

Predictions for next weekend:

 

Thor: Ragnarok: $115M

A Bad Moms Christmas: $30M (5-day)

[Maxmoser3]

Honestly Jigsaw doing higher teens isn’t horrible. Keep in mind torture porn isn’t appealing as it was a decade ago, and a total around $35-$40 million which is around 3.5-4x it’s budget. Rings couldn’t even do $30 million because of The Ring Two, and releasing trailers after its goofy release moving. So Lionsgate shouldn’t be crying, so don’t be crying if I see a Jigsaw: What went Wrong? Thread, it did better than Saw VI.

[MrPink]

9 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

WHY COULDN'T SUBURBICON GET AN F????? D- is still hilarious at least  

That's weaker than anticipated from earlier estimates for Jigsaw

Pretty much expected holds across the board. I knew OTB was gonna cross 4M!

 

Wanting mother! to have some company?

[filmlover]

Yeah, all things considered (being a long in the tooth franchise that "ended" not that long ago, "torture porn" falling completely out of fashion), Jigsaw's opening is fine. Probably not enough to revive a franchise, though.

Edited October 28, 2017 by filmlover

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, MrPink said:

 

Wanting mother! to have some company?

mother!'s F just proves that general audiences were too casual to get it.

[MrPink]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

mother!'s F just proves that general audiences were too casual to get it.

 

Oh Han, you lost the right to throw that label around.

[aabattery]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

mother!'s F just proves that general audiences were too casual to get it.

 

mamma mia

 

here we go agaaaaain

[Rman823]

Ugh I'm so ready for next week. 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

mother!'s F just proves that general audiences were too casual to get it.

[Rman823]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, all things considered (being a long in the tooth franchise that "ended" not that long ago, "torture porn" falling completely out of fashion), Jigsaw's opening is fine. Probably not enough to revive a franchise, though.

It's doing better than I expected.