Weekend Thread | 3-day estimates (per BOM): J 27M, TP 18.6M, TC 13.45M, I:TLK 12.14M, TGS 11.8M, TLJ 11.28M, P2 10.62M, PM 10M

[dxmatrixdt]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

up 0.795.

 

4.266 Sunday perhaps, at least much over 50% from Fridays number.  makes sense.  Insidious 4 was up over 10%, PP3 over a third from Friday.

[MaxAggressor]

If the 15.28 number holds, 623 million will be back on the menu assuming TLJ manages to keep pace with R1 for the rest of it's run.

 

3 day Weekend drop is 49.26% and 4 day 5th weekend drop from 4th weekend is 35.76%. That's a lot better than where the initial estimates had it pegged at.

[MaxAggressor]

 

The Post goes from 22.2 million to 23.4 million for the 4 day MLK Weekend increasing 5.40%.

Edited January 15, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[dxmatrixdt]

Just now, Matrix4You said:

up 0.795.

 

4.266 Sunday perhaps, at least much over 50% from Fridays number.  makes sense.  Insidious 4 was up over 10%, PP3 over a third from Friday.

Going by attendance from Friday, Monday should be over 10% Friday at least for The Last Jedi.  over 3 million Monday, 598.00 total after Thursday going into weekend #6, upon to loose 600 more locations for 2,490 spots.  $3,906 average this weekend. 

Looking at 6-7.5 next weekend.  605 total.

[MaxAggressor]

 

[dxmatrixdt]

If

 

The Post Sun/Fri ratio = Insidious Sun/Fri ratio,

 

then The Post would have done 19.35 million (factoring out previews and then re-adding them).

 

The Post is reported at 19.30 million.  This is very good for anything new, even when comparing to PG-13 horror which has been backloaded lately.

 

We do not have dailies yet, but The Post seems well up 10% from it's actual Friday.  Monday could be -27.5%.  Next weekend, it should make 13. 

[dxmatrixdt]

for Sunday, Greatest Showman might be up 40% on Friday.  Ridiculous.  if the Monday is the same as the Friday, then minus 29.5% and 98.3 total.  100 by Wednesday.

Edited January 15, 2018 by Matrix4You

[MaxAggressor]

 

3 Billboards is up 14% from initial estimates. (3.2m>>2.8m)

[dxmatrixdt]

15 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

for Sunday, Greatest Showman might be up 40% on Friday.  Ridiculous.  if the Monday is the same as the Friday, then minus 29.5% and 98.3 total.  100 by Wednesday.

will Greatest Showman hold beyond 8.8 million next weekend?  in other words, will good attendance continue?  if you view year to year about the weekend after MLK, it can go from 150 million to 100 million.  Is there any reason next weekend should dip below 120 million from a potential 160 this weekend?   http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/?yr=2016&p=.htm

Edited January 15, 2018 by Matrix4You

[MaxAggressor]

Paddington 2 is up 3.44% from early estimates

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

3 Billoards averaged 97 people per location on Sunday. **Will update in correct daily once shown

 

Last week Three Billboards played at 310 locations. It averaged 67, 113, 75 over Fri, Sat, Sun before going on to win best picture at the golden globes.

Then the average attendance dropped just 4.3% to 71 people/theater on that Monday.   there was an 84 avg on Tuesday which is more like 100 w discount Tuesday.  then 79 for Wednesday and 60 for Thursday.

Bring on the expansion to 1,022 (+712). 

Friday equaled 70 people/ location at 1,022.  theater count tripled, averaged weekday and weekend attendance from previous 7 days stayed the same.

Triple the count, triple the grosses. 

the grosses are coming in proportional to the expansion.  

Friday was 70, Saturday at 111m, and Sunday is looking at over a third from Friday

So Three Billboards is averaging

 

Edited January 15, 2018 by Matrix4You

[hw64]

Something people aren't taking into account is the fact that Rogue One had a small re-expansion late in its run that added around $2m onto its final total:

 

 

So really, it would have grossed around $28m from Monday rather than $30m. Using $28.2m instead of $30.2m, The Last Jedi with Rogue One's holds from the fifth (4-day) weekend would make an additional $25.6m, which makes a $621.1m final gross with a $595.5m total through Monday.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, hw64 said:

Something people aren't taking into account is the fact that Rogue One had a small re-expansion late in its run that added around $2m onto its final total:

 

 

So really, it would have grossed around $28m from Monday rather than $30m. Using $28.2m instead of $30.2m, The Last Jedi with Rogue One's holds from the fifth (4-day) weekend would make an additional $25.6m, which makes a $621.1m final gross with a $595.5m total through Monday.

Those were just dollar theaters.

[That One Girl]

This is totally not fudged at all after a $68 gross last weekend

 

39

81

Let there be Light

ADC

$1,271

+1,769.1%

2

-

$636

$7,212,145

-

12

Edited January 15, 2018 by That One Guy

[Valonqar]

32 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

Going by attendance from Friday, Monday should be over 10% Friday at least for The Last Jedi.  over 3 million Monday, 598.00 total after Thursday going into weekend #6, upon to loose 600 more locations for 2,490 spots.  $3,906 average this weekend. 

Looking at 6-7.5 next weekend.  605 total.

Yeah, this is beating TA unadjusted unless there's some shocking theater count drop. 

Edited January 15, 2018 by Valonqar

[titanic2187]

14 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

3 Billoards averaged 97 people per location on Sunday. **Will update in correct daily once shown

 

Last week Three Billboards played at 310 locations. It averaged 67, 113, 75 over Fri, Sat, Sun before going on to win best picture at the golden globes.

Then the average attendance dropped just 4.3% to 71 people/theater on that Monday.   there was an 84 avg on Tuesday which is more like 100 w discount Tuesday.  then 79 for Wednesday and 60 for Thursday.

Bring on the expansion to 1,022 (+712). 

Friday equaled 70 people/ location at 1,022.  theater count tripled, averaged weekday and weekend attendance from previous 7 days stayed the same.

Triple the count, triple the grosses. 

the grosses are coming in proportional to the expansion.  

Friday was 70, Saturday at 111m, and Sunday is looking at over a third from Friday

So Three Billboards is averaging

 

in fact, the PTA actually goes up for 3B, truly amazing, i thought this movie would have hard time to pass $35m even with oscar nomination coming, but all changed within a week. With marketing/trailer + reception by GA seems good, fox searchlight should try to 2k theater for this one, they never had 2k release for oscar BP since the decedents in 2011 

[WrathOfHan]

To put into perspective how The Post and The Commuter are skewing:

 

The Post total tickets: 2.082M

The Commuter total tickets: 1.506M

The Post under 25 tickets: 167k

The Commuter under 25 tickets: 316k

The Commuter under 18 tickets: 120k

 

The Commuter's under 18 sales are 72% of what The Post is doing for under 25  

[MaxAggressor]

 

 

Edited January 15, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

To put into perspective how The Post and The Commuter are skewing:

 

The Post total tickets: 2.082M

The Commuter total tickets: 1.506M

The Post under 25 tickets: 167k

The Commuter under 25 tickets: 316k

The Commuter under 18 tickets: 120k

 

The Commuter's under 18 sales are 72% of what The Post is doing for under 25  

So you mean to tell me The Post is skewing old as hell? I'm shocked, shocked I tell you.

[That One Girl]

I'm gonna say this again that you guys should definitely check out The Commuter.  It's a nonstop thrill ride and proves that Jaume Collet-Serra is one of the most consistently solid directors working today.  Highly recommend it.