Daily Numbers | Tuesday 16th Jan | Paddington 2 745k

[John Marston]

hope Jumanji can outgross Spider-Man Homecoming for Sony's top 2017 release

[Captain Craig]

Bravo to The Greatest Showman!!

Congrats Hugh!

[MikeQ]

3 hours ago, John Marston said:

hope Jumanji can outgross Spider-Man Homecoming for Sony's top 2017 release

I think it's basically a certainty at this point. It will pass Homecoming and enter the top 5 grossing films of 2017. Pretty incredible.

 

Peace,

Mike

[Krissykins]

Greatest Showman should’ve covered its production budget by now. That’s a surprise after the dismal opening. 

 

It'll have to wait for home video to start gaining back on the marketing costs though. 

[Elessar]

10 hours ago, Barnack said:

The studio actually lost 28m on that one, it was budgeted to do 760m WW, it was expected to break even at 625m but it didn't achieve to get has good has an retention rate the studio expected and kind of flopped on home video.

 

MIB 3 and Angels&Demons loosing the studio moneys (while movies like The Other Guys made studio moneys) are 2 big example: We never know, people from the exterior, except from the most obvious case if a movie was profitable and for who.

I would take these numbers with a big grain of salt. Nobody outside the companies really knows the exact expenses and revenues. 

[weresweresweres]

The Weekend Forecast:

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, January 21	% Change from Last Wknd
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony / Columbia	$18,000,000	$312,700,000	-36%
The Post	Fox	$12,500,000	$45,200,000	-37%
12 Strong	Warner Bros.	$12,000,000	$12,000,000	NEW
The Greatest Showman	Fox	$9,200,000	$112,800,000	-26%
Paddington 2	Warner Bros.	$7,600,000	$23,900,000	-31%
The Commuter	Lionsgate	$6,500,000	$25,000,000	-52%
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	Disney / Lucasfilm	$6,000,000	$603,600,000	-49%
Den of Thieves	STX	$5,900,000	$5,900,000	NEW
Insidious: The Last Key	Universal	$5,500,000	$58,200,000	-56%
Proud Mary	Sony / Screen Gems	$4,400,000	$18,200,000	-56%

Edited January 18, 2018 by weresweresweres

[weresweresweres]

NATM fell down 30%, Sing 36.8%

[a2k]

NATM had 22.7 Fri-Tue (21.85 FSSM + 0.83 Tue) and added 59.5 more (2.62 * FSSMT) to it's run.

JUMANJI had a 37.6 Fri-Tue (35.2 FSSM + 2.4 Tue) and needs 96.5 (2.57 * FSSMT) more to beat GOTG2.

[weresweresweres]

28 minutes ago, a2knet said:

NATM had 22.7 Fri-Tue (21.85 FSSM + 0.83 Tue) and added 59.5 more (2.62 * FSSMT) to it's run.

JUMANJI had a 37.6 Fri-Tue (35.2 FSSM + 2.4 Tue) and needs 96.5 (2.57 * FSSMT) more to beat GOTG2.

TFA did 75 mln after 33 FSSM, and 2.38 Tue.

[baumer]

13 hours ago, John Marston said:

hope Jumanji can outgross Spider-Man Homecoming for Sony's top 2017 release

 

You know it's going to crush Homecoming, right?  I mean, it will get past that one in the next two weeks.

[a2k]

7 minutes ago, weresweresweres said:

TFA did 75 mln after 33 FSSM, and 2.38 Tue.

NATM's legs are much closer to JUM than TFA. Even over the MLK weekend TFA's drop was 38% compared to 28% for NATM and 24.5% JUM.

[the beast]

Just now, a2knet said:

NATM's legs are much closer to JUM than TFA. Even over the MLK weekend TFA's drop was 38% compared to 28% for NATM and 24.5% JUM.

any possibility at $400m?

[The Gotham Bank]

Still saddened the best movie of 2017 has only grossed $92M (dom.).

[CJohn]

Paddington 2 opened lower than Monster Trucks?

 

If so that is legendary epic lmao.

[a2k]

1 minute ago, the beast said:

any possibility at $400m?

If it behaves like NATM (calculating what it added off the Fri-Tue 5-day) then JUM2 gets ~392. But it has trended better than NATM so 400 is very much alive. JUM2 needs to keep that up as NATM continued showing strong legs. It's next 5 weekend drops were 30%, 24%, 33%, 10%, 35%. I think thanks to Disc Tuesdays the Mon-Thu trending for JUM2 must be better as it is so matching or being close to NATM's weekend drops will keep 400+ alive.

[thelich343]

I should have just made my club TLJ under Avengers.

[the beast]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If it behaves like NATM (calculating what it added off the Fri-Tue 5-day) then JUM2 gets ~392. But it has trended better than NATM so 400 is very much alive. JUM2 needs to keep that up as NATM continued showing strong legs. It's next 5 weekend drops were 30%, 24%, 33%, 10%, 35%. I think thanks to Disc Tuesdays the Mon-Thu trending for JUM2 must be better as it is so matching or being close to NATM's weekend drops will keep 400+ alive.

What do you see for worldwide total through Sunday? $750m+ possible?

[James]

17 minutes ago, the beast said:

What do you see for worldwide total through Sunday? $750m+ possible?

Lol what? At this point 900m looks very likely.

 

Sctratch that. I didn't read that carefully. 

Edited January 18, 2018 by James

[a2k]

20 minutes ago, the beast said:

What do you see for worldwide total through Sunday? $750m+ possible?

I haven't been keeping track of OS gross, at least not as closely as to guess what it could do by Sunday.

[the beast]

9 minutes ago, a2knet said:

I haven't been keeping track of OS gross, at least not as closely as to guess what it could do by Sunday.

oh well its apparently up to $700m through tuesday