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WrathOfHan

Weekend Estimates (Page 16 if you care): Jumanji 10.9M | Maze Runner 10.5M | Winchester 9.3M | Showman 7.7M | The Post 5.3M | Hostiles 5.2M

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4 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I just don't get TGS holds... like yea it was good... but it wasn't amazing or anything. There have been many more crowdpleasers that have fizzled out recently

 

It's a crowdpleasing musical that ALSO makes white people feel good about "helping those who are different." It's a crock of shit, perfect for supporters of you know who. 

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5 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I just don't get TGS holds... like yea it was good... but it wasn't amazing or anything. There have been many more crowdpleasers that have fizzled out recently

Musical market is under-rated imo. NINE bombed but that was not GA friendly imo. TGS reminds me of some holds Journey to the Center 3D had. Music = new dimension. Wait for James Cameron to make a kick ass musical that does 1b dom and then all movies get forcefully converted to musicals after production.

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1 minute ago, filmlover said:

I'm not even The Greatest Showman's biggest fan either but...dude, why you so angry these days? lol.

 

Not angry, and I didn't mean to offend. I respond like this to any meme. It's lazy, including when I use them. 

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6 minutes ago, tonytr87 said:

I just think it's amusing that middle America is gobbling up a movie about a con artist that pretends to be woke. The movie's a mess but I enjoyed parts of it. 

Who's to say it's just Middle America? Add that to your list of gems the past few days like "people are only praising CMBYN because it's about love between two men" (which is the lamest and most lazy shot you could make at a movie about a minority group -whether it's LBGT people, black people, etc. - depicted on screen tbh) and "Detroit flopped because Twitter liberals wanted to take down one of their own down" or whatever. Like calm the hell down man.

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31 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Yeah that sounds good. Sometimes one good/bad weekend in the late run can change things.

Plus we have to consider the effect of theater count decline. This weekend TLJ's theater loss count was better than R1 (15.93% of TLJ vs 21.28% of R1). TLJ might not have that going for it in the upcoming weekends. So potential legs (our projection atm) will be cut off.

 

Quote

Eg: will there be double shows for TLJ with BP? If it gets some boost then could target TA too but doesn't look likely.

 

Interesting that you brought this up. Double features could help TLJ's final total. But I have it doing 619.3 million right now so I can't see Disney fudging the numbers in the final stretch because TLJ might not be in that close proximity to TA at that point.

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26 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Who's to say it's just Middle America? Add that to your list of gems the past few days like "people are only praising CMBYN because it's about love between two men" (which is the lamest and most lazy shot you could make at a movie about a minority group -whether it's LBGT people, black people, etc. - depicted on screen tbh) and "Detroit flopped because Twitter liberals wanted to take down one of their own down" or whatever. Like calm the hell down man.

 

I'm plenty calm. Also, both previous statements aren't exactly as you describe, particularly the Detroit bit. It would have flopped regardless of how it was received on Twitter. My point was about the myopia of the far left on the internet. 

 

I believe my point about CMBYN had to do with people refusing to even want to talk about the somewhat problematic nature of the subject matter, and THAT I chalked up to the gay-positive story (has nothing to do with "two men"). It's almost guaranteed that if the story were of an adult man like Hammer falling in love with a 17 year-old girl going on 14 there'd be critical think pieces galore. That's a double standard. 

 

I'm sure it's more than middle America too. Don't take everything so literally. It's just a box office forum. 

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1 minute ago, tonytr87 said:

I believe my point about CMBYN had to do with people refusing to even want to talk about the somewhat problematic nature of the subject matter, and THAT I chalked up to the gay-positive story (has nothing to do with "two men"). It's almost guaranteed that if the story were of an adult man like Hammer falling in love with a 17 year-old girl going on 14 there'd be critical think pieces galore. That's a double standard. 

Maybe, but then it would be a completely different movie altogether than the one it actually is. So no.

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Rank* Title Friday
2/2

(Estimates)
Saturday
2/3
Sunday
2/4
Monday
2/5
1 WINCHESTER
Lionsgate

2,480
$3,605,000

-- / $1,454
$3,605,000 / 1

N/A

N/A

N/A
2 MAZE RUNNER: THE DEATH CURE
Fox

3,793
$3,010,000

+190.8% / $794
$32,570,199 / 8

N/A

N/A

N/A
3 JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE
Sony / Columbia

3,352
$2,875,000

+239.4% / $858
$344,517,752 / 45

N/A

N/A

N/A
4 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
Fox

2,588
$2,260,000

+206.7% / $873
$131,935,172 / 45

N/A

N/A

N/A
5 HOSTILES
Entertainment Studios

2,934
$1,665,000

+109.9% / $567
$17,379,413 / 43

N/A

N/A

N/A
6 THE POST
Fox

2,462
$1,565,000

+117.2% / $636
$63,549,510 / 43

N/A

N/A

N/A
7 12 STRONG
Warner Bros.

2,918
$1,465,000

+135.4% / $502
$34,058,553 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
8 DEN OF THIEVES
STX Entertainment

2,112
$1,430,000

+130.6% / $677
$33,030,932 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
9 THE SHAPE OF WATER
Fox Searchlight

2,341
$1,290,000

+141.1% / $551
$41,570,050 / 64

N/A

N/A

N/A
10 THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Fox Searchlight

1,726
$875,000

+150.9% / $507
$39,639,051 / 85

N/A

N/A

N/A
11 I, TONYA
Neon

1,450
$769,000

+164.8% / $530
$20,852,885 / 57

N/A

N/A

N/A
12 FOREVER MY GIRL
Roadside Attractions

1,427
$730,000

+185.1% / $512
$10,991,654 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
- DARKEST HOUR
Focus Features

1,486
$706,000

+138.1% / $475
$47,129,157 / 73

N/A

N/A

N/A
- PADDINGTON 2
Warner Bros.

2,388
$655,000

+204.2% / $274
$33,858,679 / 22

N/A

N/A

N/A
- PHANTOM THREAD
Focus Features

1,186
$634,000

+99.9% / $535
$12,668,109 / 40

N/A

N/A

N/A
- STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI
Buena Vista

1,467
$613,000

+100% / $418
$612,729,780 / 50

N/A

N/A

N/A
- THE COMMUTER
Lionsgate

1,494
$529,000

+104.8% / $354
$33,128,747 / 22

N/A

N/A

N/A
- INSIDIOUS: THE LAST KEY
Universal

1,253
$447,000

+156.4% / $357
$64,737,960 / 29

N/A

N/A

N/A
- COCO
Buena Vista

1,636
$319,000

+331.9% / $195
$203,378,729 / 73

N/A

N/A

N/A
- FERDINAND
Fox

575
$130,000

+187.2% / $226
$80,894,633 / 50

N/A

N/A

N/A
- WONDER
Lionsgate

256
$84,000

+107.9% / $328
$130,803,515 / 78

N/A

N/A

N/A
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16 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
Rank* Title Friday
2/2

(Estimates)
Saturday
2/3
Sunday
2/4
Monday
2/5
1 WINCHESTER
Lionsgate

2,480
$3,605,000

-- / $1,454
$3,605,000 / 1

N/A

N/A

N/A
2 MAZE RUNNER: THE DEATH CURE
Fox

3,793
$3,010,000

+190.8% / $794
$32,570,199 / 8

N/A

N/A

N/A
3 JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE
Sony / Columbia

3,352
$2,875,000

+239.4% / $858
$344,517,752 / 45

N/A

N/A

N/A
4 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
Fox

2,588
$2,260,000

+206.7% / $873
$131,935,172 / 45

N/A

N/A

N/A
5 HOSTILES
Entertainment Studios

2,934
$1,665,000

+109.9% / $567
$17,379,413 / 43

N/A

N/A

N/A
6 THE POST
Fox

2,462
$1,565,000

+117.2% / $636
$63,549,510 / 43

N/A

N/A

N/A
7 12 STRONG
Warner Bros.

2,918
$1,465,000

+135.4% / $502
$34,058,553 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
8 DEN OF THIEVES
STX Entertainment

2,112
$1,430,000

+130.6% / $677
$33,030,932 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
9 THE SHAPE OF WATER
Fox Searchlight

2,341
$1,290,000

+141.1% / $551
$41,570,050 / 64

N/A

N/A

N/A
10 THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Fox Searchlight

1,726
$875,000

+150.9% / $507
$39,639,051 / 85

N/A

N/A

N/A
11 I, TONYA
Neon

1,450
$769,000

+164.8% / $530
$20,852,885 / 57

N/A

N/A

N/A
12 FOREVER MY GIRL
Roadside Attractions

1,427
$730,000

+185.1% / $512
$10,991,654 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
- DARKEST HOUR
Focus Features

1,486
$706,000

+138.1% / $475
$47,129,157 / 73

N/A

N/A

N/A
- PADDINGTON 2
Warner Bros.

2,388
$655,000

+204.2% / $274
$33,858,679 / 22

N/A

N/A

N/A
- PHANTOM THREAD
Focus Features

1,186
$634,000

+99.9% / $535
$12,668,109 / 40

N/A

N/A

N/A
- STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI
Buena Vista

1,467
$613,000

+100% / $418
$612,729,780 / 50

N/A

N/A

N/A
- THE COMMUTER
Lionsgate

1,494
$529,000

+104.8% / $354
$33,128,747 / 22

N/A

N/A

N/A
- INSIDIOUS: THE LAST KEY
Universal

1,253
$447,000

+156.4% / $357
$64,737,960 / 29

N/A

N/A

N/A
- COCO
Buena Vista

1,636
$319,000

+331.9% / $195
$203,378,729 / 73

N/A

N/A

N/A
- FERDINAND
Fox

575
$130,000

+187.2% / $226
$80,894,633 / 50

N/A

N/A

N/A
- WONDER
Lionsgate

256
$84,000

+107.9% / $328
$130,803,515 / 78

N/A

N/A

N/A

Deadline also has Lady Bird at $389K and CMBYN at $251K for yesterday. Funny how the PTAs for all the Best Picture nominees (plus I, Tonya) currently still in theaters are gonna be very close to each other with vastly different theater counts.

Edited by filmlover
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5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Maybe, but then it would be a completely different movie altogether than the one it actually is. So no.

 

And hey, maybe it's just me. I just can't get over the fact that Chalamet looks like he's 14 or 15 in the movie. The dude is tiny. 

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