Weekend Thread: 50SF - 38.8m, PR - 25m, 15:17 - 12.6m

[Jake Gittes]

40 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Jumanji has the sixth best 8th weekend of all-time. 

 

1	Titanic	Par.	$23,027,838	3.8%	2,956	$7,790	$600,788,188	12/19/97
2	Avatar	Fox	$22,850,881	3.0%	3,000	$7,617	$749,766,139	12/18/09
3	Home Alone	Fox	$12,626,851	4.4%	2,173	$5,810	$285,761,243	11/16/90
4	Frozen	BV	$11,771,854	2.9%	2,979	$3,952	$400,738,009	11/27/13
5	E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial	Uni.	$10,425,071	2.9%	1,555	$6,704	$359,197,037	6/11/82
6	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$10,023,344	2.7%	3,136	$3,196	$365,855,215	12/20/17
7	Forrest Gump	Par.	$9,897,242	3.0%	2,237	$4,424	$329,694,499	7/6/94
8	My Big Fat Greek Wedding	IFC	$9,748,969	4.0%	1,853	$5,261	$241,438,208	8/2/02
9	There's Something About Mary	Fox	$8,810,209	5.0%	2,545	$3,461	$176,484,651	7/15/98
10	The Sixth Sense	BV	$8,435,193	2.9%	2,791	$3,022	$293,506,292	8/6/99

Should reach the top 8 of ninth weekends too.

 

1	Titanic	Par.	$28,167,947	4.7%	3,002	$9,383	$600,788,188	12/19/97
2	Avatar	Fox	$23,611,625	3.1%	2,685	$8,794	$749,766,139	12/18/09
3	Home Alone	Fox	$9,813,012	3.4%	2,157	$4,549	$285,761,243	11/16/90
4	E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial	Uni.	$9,525,306	2.7%	1,568	$6,074	$359,197,037	6/11/82
5	My Big Fat Greek Wedding	IFC	$9,434,602	3.9%	1,841	$5,124	$241,438,208	8/2/02
6	Frozen	BV	$9,118,806	2.3%	2,757	$3,308	$400,738,009	11/27/13
7	Mrs. Doubtfire	Fox	$8,798,118	4.0%	2,290	$3,841	$219,195,243	11/24/93
8	Slumdog Millionaire	FoxS	$8,384,680	5.9%	2,244	$3,736	$141,319,928	12/26/08

[Dementeleus]

Incredible run by JUMANJI. It's always fun to checked the adjusted weekends, though. (JUMANJI would barely crack the top 50.)

[Barnack]

16 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Should reach the top 8 of ninth weekends too.

 

1	Titanic	Par.	$28,167,947	4.7%	3,002	$9,383	$600,788,188	12/19/97
2	Avatar	Fox	$23,611,625	3.1%	2,685	$8,794	$749,766,139	12/18/09
3	Home Alone	Fox	$9,813,012	3.4%	2,157	$4,549	$285,761,243	11/16/90
4	E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial	Uni.	$9,525,306	2.7%	1,568	$6,074	$359,197,037	6/11/82
5	My Big Fat Greek Wedding	IFC	$9,434,602	3.9%	1,841	$5,124	$241,438,208	8/2/02
6	Frozen	BV	$9,118,806	2.3%	2,757	$3,308	$400,738,009	11/27/13
7	Mrs. Doubtfire	Fox	$8,798,118	4.0%	2,290	$3,841	$219,195,243	11/24/93
8	Slumdog Millionaire	FoxS	$8,384,680	5.9%	2,244	$3,736	$141,319,928	12/26/08

 

Looking in 2018 dollars, show how ridiculous Titanic run was

 

Titanic: 43.25

Avatar: 27.13

E.T: 24.35

Home Alone: 18.5

 

43.25 million for the 9th weekend.......

 

Jumanji 8th weekend being close to title like Jerry Maguire , 1989 Batman and Indiana Jones last Crusade, above Shrek/Independance day/Terminator 2/Harry Potter 1, Saving Private Ryan adjusted is really impressive.

 

 

[a2k]

Didn't think year end we would get a run more impressive than GO, IT, WONDR for 2017

 

2017/12/22	2	$36,169,328		3,765	$9,607	$52,775,295	1
2017/12/29	2	$50,051,364	+38%	3,765	$13,294	$169,002,557	2
2018/01/05	1	$37,233,653	-26%	3,801	$9,796	$245,606,319	3
2018/01/12	1	$28,101,972	-25%	3,849	$7,301	$284,237,881	4
2018/01/19	1	$19,505,170	-31%	3,704	$5,266	$316,450,318	5
2018/01/26	2	$16,144,874	-17%	3,553	$4,544	$337,802,077	6
2018/02/02	1	$10,930,222	-32%	3,352	$3,261	$352,572,974	7
2018/02/09	4	$10,023,344	-8%	3,136	$3,196	$365,855,215	8

[Avatree]

The Greatest Showman is the most impressive run. Jumanji is an awesome run but TGS is even more impressive.

[Barnack]

4 minutes ago, Treeing Me Apart said:

The Greatest Showman is the most impressive run. Jumanji is an awesome run but TGS is even more impressive.

Hum.... :

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons/Jumanji-Welcome-to-the-Jungle/Greatest-Showman-The

 

Both crazy stuff, but that 230m and counting made after day 10 by jumanji versus 107.7m for Showman is quite a lot.

 

The Avengers made 248m after it's 10 days for a comparison of how big Jumanji legs has been.

 

[Avatree]

Jumanji has had an extraordinary run. No doubt about it, it's amazed me and I am very happy that the film has done well. And yes obviously it's grossed twice the amount of TGS. But when you look at it relatively, TGS is going to have a 20x multiplier, which is better than Titanic, which has been the only wide release movie to do that in the past 20 years of box office. Granted, TGS opened mid week but still it's incredible.

 

Predictions were that it would flop, and those predictions were proven right. It was a complete flop. It made 10% of its budget on OW which is awful. But then it has turned into a really strong hit and will get close to 200M. 

It was 8 weeks before it had a weekend that was lower than OW. I am happy to be wrong but I am going to guess that there's not a single wide-release film tracked on Box Office Mojo (past 28 years) that can say the same. 

[KP1025]

3 minutes ago, Treeing Me Apart said:

But when you look at it relatively, TGS is going to have a 20x multiplier, which is better than Titanic, which has been the only wide release movie to do that in the past 20 years of box office. Granted, TGS opened mid week but still it's incredible.

 

3

I thought Titanic had ~21x multiplier. TGS needs close to $185 million to reach the same multiplier off the 3-day weekend.

 

$600,788,188/$28,638,131= 20.98

[a2k]

Even though TGS is leggier (this weekend was only 27% down from the ow), considering the prod budgets of Jumanji and TGS are close at 90 vs 84 (the participation costs, etc might alter that somewhat but still comparable), Jumanji is definitely more impressive. It's gonna do 10-11x it's prod budget globally.

[WrathOfHan]

Tickets sold today at my theater (* detonates reduced showtimes):

 

Fifty Shades: 161

15:17 to Paris: 144

Peter Rabbit: 51

Hostiles: 50

Den of Thieves: 32

Showman: 30

Three Billboards: 29*

Jumanji: 24 (15 2D/9 3D)

12 Strong: 20 (the late afternoon show sold nothing)

Shape of Water: 16*

The Post: 16

Maze Runner: 12

Winchester: 6 (the last two shows of the day sold nothing  )

 

The parking lot before and after my 2:30 movie was an accurate reflection of these sales  Oddly enough, Peter Rabbit sold 75% of its tickets during the day when kids were in school; there didn't seem to be any group buyouts, either.It's definitely a good thing that it's swapped for another Fifty Shades showing at 8:45.

[Avatree]

59 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

I thought Titanic had ~21x multiplier. TGS needs close to $185 million to reach the same multiplier off the 3-day weekend.

 

$600,788,188/$28,638,131= 20.98

Yeah I think it will get to 185 and beat titanic.

[a2k]

4 hours ago, Noctis said:

I'm thrilled for Jumanji's success. I need it to hit $400m. 

34 away after a 10 weekend. Blow from coming weekend's big competition partly cushioned by a 4-day weekend with VD and PD. So 400 a lock imo. I think it will add 4.5x+ this weekend more to it's run for 410+ dom.

[KP1025]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

34 away after a 10 weekend. Blow from coming weekend's big competition partly cushioned by a 4-day weekend with VD and PD. So 400 a lock imo. I think it will add 4.5x+ this weekend more to it's run for 410+ dom.

I just want Jumanji to beat Spider-Man to become Sony's biggest hit domestically. And start a new trilogy. 

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

I just want Jumanji to beat Spider-Man to become Sony's biggest hit domestically. And start a new trilogy. 

Not a good year for SM1 on unadjusted charts . Beat by two unlikely candidates this year in Wondr and Jumnaji.

[MovieMan89]

45 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Even though TGS is leggier (this weekend was only 27% down from the ow), considering the prod budgets of Jumanji and TGS are close at 90 vs 84 (the participation costs, etc might alter that somewhat but still comparable), Jumanji is definitely more impressive. It's gonna do 10-11x it's prod budget globally.

That only makes Jumanji more profitable, not necessarily the more impressive run. I still give the edge to TGS in that respect. It has done things with holds that were supposed to have been impossible for at least two decades. The 5 day opening for it hardly makes a difference either since it grossed so little in its first two days and it's unlikely it would have opened to much more than it did as a Friday release. So even as a Friday release, we'd probably have ended up with like a 17x multi. While Jumanji has had crazy holds while grossing a lot more than TGS, its run hasn't been unprecedented even by the standards of the last ten years. For example, it won't have a much higher multi than Avatar, despite opening on a Wednesday and to only half as much as that. Jumanji likely would have made significantly more opening on a Friday and its multi would probably be comparable to something like The Blind Side and Night at the Museum. Crazy impressive of course, but not nearly as unprecedented in modern box office history as TGS' legs. 

[mahnamahna]

Jumanji

$8.4 million/$10.3 million ($380.9 million)

$6.7 million ($389.3 million) 

$5.1 million ($396.4 million)

$3.2 million ($400.9 million)

$1.8 million ($403.5 million)

$0.8 million ($404.7 million)

$406 million DOM

 

Greatest Showman

$5.5 million/$6.7 million ($157.0 million)

$4.7 million ($162.8 million)

$3.5 million ($167.9 million)

$2.3 million ($171.5 million)

$1.4 million ($173.7 million)

$0.9 million ($175.1 million)

$0.5 million ($175.9 million)

$177.5 million DOM 

 

Crazy for both and they're honestly limited by the early HV releases. I'd say $185-192 million DOM for TGS and $410-413 million DOM for Jumanji if they weren't going to drop significantly from 3/2 and 3/16 on, respectively. 

[MikeQ]

Truly a terrific run from Jumanji. This may have been noted already, but Jumanji has hopped over 'Spider-Man: Homecoming' to enter the top 5 grossing films worldwide for 2017. I definitely didn't see that coming before it opened.

 

Peace,

Mike

 

 

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

likely weekday scenario:

                                 Monday   Tues   Weds    Thurs    - TOTAL

Fifty Shades - (-68%) - 2.40   -  3.40  -  5.20  -  2.00    -  13.00  -  51.56

Peter Rabbit - (-86%) - 1.10  -  1.70  -  1.70 -  1.00   -   5.50  -  30.51

15:17 to Paris (-70%) - 1.00  -  1.40  -  1.40  -  0.85  -  4.65  -  17.20

Jumanji     -     (-80%) - 0.60  -  0.80  -  1.20  -  0.55  -  3.15  -  369.01

Showman   -   (-74%)  -  0.47  -  0.67  - 0.90  -  0.46  -  2.50  -  149.08

Maze Runner - (-80%)  -  0.38  -  0.54  -  0.65  -  0.30  -  1.87  -  51.11

Winchester  -  (-74%)  -  0.38  -  0.54  -  0.65  -  0.30  -  1.87   -  19.21

The Post  -       (-72%)  -  0.30  -  0.45  -  0.45  -  0.27  -  1.47  -  74.44

Shape of Water (-71%)  - 0.28  -  0.40  -  0.42  -  0.25  -  1.35  -  51.29

Den of Thieves  (-72%)  -  0.26  -  0.34  -  0.35  -  0.20  -  1.15  -  42.22

Hostiles             (-70%)  -  0.26  -  0.34   -  0.35  -  0.20  -  1.15  -  27.17

12 Strong  -     (-72%)  -  0.23  -  0.31   -  0.31  -  0.19  -  1.04  - 43.05

3 Billboards  -    (-70%)  -  0.21  -  0.28  -  0.28  -  0.19  -  0.96  -  46.41

I, Tonya     -     (-71%)  -  0.15  -  0.20  -  0.21  -  0.14  -  0.72  -  26.05

Darkest Hour - (-69%)  -  0.15  -  0.20  -  0.20  -  0.14  -  0.69  -  52.18

Star Wars    -    (-73%)  -  0.12  -  0.15  -  0.17  -  0.11  -  0.55  -   617.38

Phantom Thread (-71%) - 0.11  -  0.15  -  0.16  -  0.11  -  0.53  -  16.93

Forever     -        (-71%)  -  0.09  -  0.13  -  0.14  -  0.08  -  0.44  -  15.02

Lady Bird  -       (-72%)  - 0.08  -   0.11  -  0.12  -  0.08  -  0.39  -  45.60

Paddington   -   (-87%)  -  0.065  -  0.08  -  0.08  -  0.065  -  0.29  -  38.82

 

[Krissykins]

Jumanji and The Greaest Showman are both having exceptional runs obviously. 

 

I think TGS legs are more of a story, considering the only reason I went to see it was because of its box office run (and I loved it). True WOM sensation. 

 

The 4 biggest stories of last year: Wonder Woman, IT, The Greatest Showman and Jumanji and I loved them all!! That never happens to me 

[KP1025]

4 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Jumanji and The Greaest Showman are both having exceptional runs obviously. 

 

I think TGS legs are more of a story, considering the only reason I went to see it was because of its box office run (and I loved it). True WOM sensation. 

 

The 4 biggest stories of last year: Wonder Woman, IT, The Greatest Showman and Jumanji and I loved them all!! That never happens to me 

2017 had so many amazing surprises. I hope 2018 has some exciting and unforeseen break-outs on the same scale.