BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[Brainbug]

4 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Let’s not count it out yet though  

 

Is Wrinkle in Time your new Valerian?

[WrathOfHan]

With the fact no A+ Cinemascore movie has made less than a 2.96x and WIT is only tracking at 35M right now, that helps my club greatly  

[That One Girl]

Just now, Brainbug said:

 

Is Wrinkle in Time your new Valerian?

 

no.  that’s Mortal Engines (which comes out in a very long time)

[WrathOfHan]

8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Predictions for next weekend:

 

Game Night: $16M

Annihilation: $11M

Every Day: ? A dud, needless to say

Game Night: 20M

Annihilation: 7M

Every Day: 2.5M

 

I got the trailer for Every Day at Jumanji; it seems like it could get somewhat of an audience.

[That One Girl]

Or Annihilation.  But that comes out next week and I’ve never come close to Valerian levels for that (plus I want to give Tele his time to shine)

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Annihilation: 7M

 

Definitely just wishful thinking from you

 

Opening Weekend:	$7,534,673

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Game Night: 20M

Annihilation: 7M

Every Day: 2.5M

 

I got the trailer for Every Day at Jumanji; it seems like it could get somewhat of an audience.

Game Night's ads have been pretty weaksauce tbh. We'll see which way reviews will push it.

[YM!]

Trailer shit: Uncle Drew and Rampage got good reception at my showing.

Edited February 17, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Definitely just wishful thinking from you

 

Opening Weekend:	$7,534,673

Annihilation got its TC slahed to Suburbicon levels breh. That's still a higher PTA than mother!

Just now, filmlover said:

Game Night's ads have been pretty weaksauce tbh. We'll see which way reviews will push it.

It's weird WB hasn't lifted the embargo yet after the screenings; reviews this early would've helped push it over 20M.

[filmlover]

Annihilation is likely gonna end up with similar numbers to Ex Machina. Hopefully it's at least a good movie.

[IronJimbo]

7 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Definitely just wishful thinking from you

 

Opening Weekend:	$7,534,673

Little bit of advice one dude. If you want that to banner a film with that told you so factor, go with Alita. People on here saying it's going to struggle to make $30m.. their doubt just fuels JC.

[a2k]

Looking at movies that released in 2000+ theaters, Pete's Dragon was the last one to fall below 150 dom (and 100).

 

1	1	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$617,422,777	4,232	$220,009,584	4,232	12/15	-
2	5	Coco	BV	$206,480,667	3,987	$50,802,605	3,987	11/22	-
3	4	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$314,398,124	4,080	$122,744,989	4,080	11/3	-
4	7	Cars 3	BV	$152,901,115	4,256	$53,688,680	4,256	6/16	11/2
5	6	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$172,558,876	4,276	$62,983,253	4,276	5/26	9/21
6	3	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$389,813,101	4,347	$146,510,104	4,347	5/5	9/21

8

2

Beauty and the Beast (2017)

BV

$504,014,165

4,210

$174,750,616

4,210

3/17

7/13

1	1	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	BV	$532,177,324	4,157	$155,081,681	4,157	12/16	5/4
2	6	Moana	BV	$248,757,044	3,875	$56,631,401	3,875	11/23	4/27
3	7	Doctor Strange	BV	$232,641,920	3,882	$85,058,311	3,882	11/4	3/16

[Sam]

So there was this guy in BP thread who compared the movie to Ant-Man and said their hype is around the same for a MCU solo (2-3 weeks before release mind you)

 

Black Panther about to do in 3 days what Ant-Man did total. Dude was right, it’s comparable, he probably just forget to concentrate that hype to OW. 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, Sam said:

So there was this guy in BP thread who compared the movie to Ant-Man and said their hype is around the same for a MCU solo (2-3 weeks before release mind you)

 

Black Panther about to do in 3 days what Ant-Man did total. Dude was right, it’s comparable, he probably just forget to concentrate that hype to OW. 

@Treeing Me Apart thoughts?

[KJsooner]

Trailers at my showing 

 

Antman and the wasp- no reaction 

Incredibles 2- little chatter

A wrinkle in time- no reaction 

Venom-Laughter(???)

Solo-No reaction 

 

[That One Girl]

$25.2M

$51.4M ($76.6M)

$63.1M

$51.1M

 

$190.8M OW

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, KJsooner said:

Venom-Laughter(???)

 

 

Appropriate reaction tbh

[the beast]

Projections:

 

Black Panther:

Feb 16: 202m (60m weekdays, 262m total)

Feb 23: 100m (25m weekdays, 387m total)

Mar 2: 53m (14m weekdays, 454m total)

Mar 9: 31m (8m weekdays, 493m total)

Mar 16: 20m (5m weekdays, 515m total)

Mar 23: 11m (3m weekdays, 529m total)

 

Total: $570m (2.82x 3 day) (2.43x 4 day)

OS opening Weekend: $140m (3.75) = $525m OS Total:

Worldwide OW: $342m (3.2) = $1,095 million

 

---------------------------------------------------------

 

Peter Rabbit: 

Feb 16: 18m (8m weekdays, 57m total)

Feb 23: 11.7m (2.8m weekdays, 71.5m total)

Mar 2: 7m (1.7m weekdays, 80.2m total)

Mar 9: 5m (1m weekdays, 86.2m total)

Mar 16: 3.3m (600k weekdays, 90.1m total)

Mar 23: 1.5m (300k weekdays, 91.9m total)

 

Total: $97.2m (3.9x)

 

 

 

 

[Premium George]

1	Dec. 18–20, 2015	51	$305,556,314	26,686	$11,450	5	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	$247,966,675	81.2%
2	Dec. 25–27, 2015	52	$281,194,490	29,869	$9,414	5	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	$149,202,860	53.1%
3	Dec. 15–17, 2017	50	$270,627,873	27,119	$9,979	2	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	$220,009,584	81.3%
4	Jun. 12–14, 2015	24	$267,838,931	29,495	$9,081	1	Jurassic World	$208,806,270	78.0%
5	Dec. 25–27, 2009	52	$259,901,856	29,807	$8,719	4	Avatar	$75,617,183	29.1%

 

Top 5 3-day OWs. 4 of 5 are from Dec. This feb w/e will enter this top 5. 

[Valonqar]

23 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

Trailers at my showing 

 

Antman and the wasp- no reaction 

Incredibles 2- little chatter

A wrinkle in time- no reaction 

Venom-Laughter(???)

Solo-No reaction 

 

Exactly like my theater on Thursday!