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Porthos

Tuesday Numbers (Feb 20): BP- 20.9 PR - 1.9 FSF - 1.6

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Best as I can tell, the current record for non-premiere, non-holiday season Wednesday is Avengers with 13.6 (15.4 adjusted). So I’d consider anything 15.5 and up a huge success.   

 

That would be ~a 28% drop, so should be quite doable.

Edited by Sliver Legion
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14 minutes ago, aabattery said:

 

tenor.gif?itemid=9857761

AND TO MAKE IT WORSE, YOU WENT AHEAD AND EDITED THE QUOTE I HAD AS WELL!!!! 

 

BOOOOOOO!!!! HISSSS!!!! MOD-ABUSE!!  MOD-ABUSE!! :rant:

 

ATTI-CA!!!  ATTI-CA!!! ATTI-CA!!!  

 

Spoiler

Not saying I wouldn't do the same thing on my home forum, mind.  :ph34r:

 

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4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

AND TO MAKE IT WORSE, YOU WENT AHEAD AND EDITED THE QUOTE I HAD AS WELL!!!! 

 

BOOOOOOO!!!! HISSSS!!!! MOD-ABUSE!!  MOD-ABUSE!! :rant:

 

ATTI-CA!!!  ATTI-CA!!! ATTI-CA!!!  

 

  Hide contents

Not saying I wouldn't do the same thing on my home forum, mind.  :ph34r:

 

 

tenor.gif?itemid=11001439

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1 hour ago, Sliver Legion said:

Best as I can tell, the current record for non-premiere, non-holiday season Wednesday is Avengers with 13.6 (15.4 adjusted). So I’d consider anything 15.5 and up a huge success.   

 

That would be ~a 28% drop, so should be quite doable.

Top 25 Non Openers for Wed, not adjusted:

 

(spoilered for length)

Spoiler
Rank Title (click to view) Studio Single Day Gross Theaters Average Date / Days in Release Gross to Date* Final Gross*
1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $38,022,183 4,134 $9,197 12/23/15 6 $363.5 $936.7
2 Transformers P/DW $29,073,898 4,011 $7,249 7/04/07 2 $65.7 $319.2
3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $28,085,057 4,134 $6,794 12/30/15 13 $629.0 $936.7
4 The Amazing Spider-Man Sony $23,335,925 4,318 $5,404 7/04/12 2 $59.2 $262.0
5 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $21,846,132 4,232 $5,162 12/27/17 13 $445.2 $618.2
6 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire LGF $20,808,110 4,163 $4,998 11/27/13 6 $207.2 $424.7
7 Jurassic World Uni. $19,895,470 4,274 $4,655 6/17/15 6 $278.4 $652.3
8 Avatar Fox $18,466,123 3,456 $5,343 12/30/09 13 $268.9 $749.8
9 The Dark Knight WB $18,377,288 4,366 $4,209 7/23/08 6 $222.2 $533.3
10 Finding Dory BV $18,085,347 4,305 $4,201 6/22/16 6 $195.9 $486.3
11 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $18,021,482 4,157 $4,335 12/28/16 13 $358.7 $532.2
12 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $16,889,863 4,232 $3,991 12/20/17 6 $278.7 $618.2
13 Avatar Fox $16,445,291 3,452 $4,764 12/23/09 6 $125.9 $749.8
14 Sing Uni. $15,501,840 4,022 $3,854 12/28/16 8 $108.6 $270.4
15 Frozen BV $15,161,249 3,742 $4,052 11/27/13 6 $15.5 $400.7
16 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $15,122,619 3,765 $4,017 12/27/17 8 $104.1 $379.7
17 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $14,965,790 4,157 $3,600 12/21/16 6 $205.2 $532.2
18 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 LGF $14,620,517 4,151 $3,522 11/26/14 6 $157.6 $337.1
19 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 WB $14,425,863 4,125 $3,497 11/24/10 6 $158.5 $296.0
20 The Twilight Saga: New Moon Sum. $14,198,803 4,042 $3,513 11/25/09 6 $178.9 $296.6
21 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest BV $14,154,725 4,133 $3,425 7/12/06 6 $183.7 $423.3
22 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire WB $14,130,383 3,858 $3,663 11/23/05 6 $133.9 $290.0
23 The Dark Knight Rises WB $13,770,092 4,404 $3,127 7/25/12 6 $211.8 $448.1
24 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 LGF $13,663,451 4,175 $3,273 11/25/15 6 $136.2 $281.7
25 Marvel's The Avengers BV $13,612,910 4,349 $3,130 5/09/12 6 $257.6 $623.4

 

Lots of day before Thanksgiving Wed films appear, for good reason.  Interestingly enough, not counting the Fourth of July summer entries near the top of the list that were on their second day of release (TF1, TASM), there are only five summer movies on that Top 25 list (JW, TDK, Dory, DMC, and TDKR).  Otherwise the list is utterly dominated by Thanksgiving/December releases until The Avengers pops in at #25.

 

FWIW, the adjusted list tells a similar tale.

Edited by Porthos
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Conservative projections for the rest of the week.

W - 14M (-35%)

Th - 12.5M (-10%)

F - 25M (100%)

S - 39M (52%)

Sn - 26M (-35%) --- 90M 2nd weekend

 

10 day DOM - 380M

 

If it holds strong due to WOM.

W - 15M (-30%)

Th - 14M (-3%)

F - 29M (105%)

S - 45M (55%)

Sn - 29M (-35%) --- 103M 2nd weekend

 

10 day DOM - 395M

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2 minutes ago, stripe said:

Conservative projections for the rest of the week.

W - 14M (-35%)

Th - 12.5M (-10%)

F - 25M (100%)

S - 39M (52%)

Sn - 26M (-35%) --- 90M 2nd weekend

 

10 day DOM - 380M

 

If it holds strong due to WOM.

W - 15M (-30%)

Th - 14M (-3%)

F - 29M (105%)

S - 45M (55%)

Sn - 29M (-35%) --- 103M 2nd weekend

 

10 day DOM - 395M

Only 15 million between conservative and strong projections?

 

I say 20 Tuesday, 19 Wednesday, 18 Thursday, 35 Friday, 50 Saturday, 35 Sunday.

 

6GbZa_s-200x150.gif

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DP Tue was -72.7% from Sat. BP Tue is -67.4% from Sat.

DP Wed and Thu were -25.5% and -6.9%.

 

----

 

Going a little conservative and using -32% for Wed and -9% for Thu,

242.2 + 21.5 + 14.6 + 13.1 = 291.4

60% drop gives 80.8 weekend for 372.2 cume, nearly 10 more than DP final dom.

 

DP added 2.23x the 2nd weekend to it's 10-day. Using 2.0x for BP  takes it to 533.8, just below TDK (including re-release).

Edited by a2knet
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3 hours ago, Porthos said:

AND TO MAKE IT WORSE, YOU WENT AHEAD AND EDITED THE QUOTE I HAD AS WELL!!!! 

 

BOOOOOOO!!!! HISSSS!!!! MOD-ABUSE!!  MOD-ABUSE!! :rant:

 

ATTI-CA!!!  ATTI-CA!!! ATTI-CA!!!  

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Where is that cmaster coup we were promised!!!

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5 hours ago, grey ghost said:

#NotAnEvent

only in America

 

Posting this while I'm asleep @EmpireCity...


"I'm sorry guys but I won't be able to give you the latest numbers this Christmas, I'm off on a trip far far away"

- EmpireCity December 2020

Edited by IronJimbo
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22 minutes ago, Treeing Me Apart said:

Tuesday over last jedi is impressive. Are schools out the week before Christmas, after SW opening? (they're not here)

People in the Last Jedi threads made the point to crucify anyone saying it's drop was massive, they said that not all schools were out.

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