Alexiswills12 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 (edited) 5 hours ago, Alexiswills12 said: Only 15 million between conservative and strong projections? I say 20 Tuesday, 19 Wednesday, 18 Thursday, 35 Friday, 50 Saturday, 35 Sunday. Deadline writes: Black Panther‘s Tuesday was down 48%, giving it a running five-day take of $263.2M, Black Panther should hit $300M by Friday (eight days), if not before. If not before! Which means it would need to earn 37 million on Wednesday and Thursday. 19+18=37 Stripe! I stand by my 120 million prediction for the weekend too. Edited February 21, 2018 by Alexiswills12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wadey Wilsoney Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Deadline: " Black Panther is estimated to ease 55%-57% in Weekend 2 for $104M-$109M." Is the the famous Deadline math I've been hearing so much about? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, Alexiswills12 said: Deadline writes: Black Panther‘s Tuesday was down 48%, giving it a running five-day take of $263.2M, Black Panther should hit $300M by Friday (eight days), if not before. If not before! Which means it would need to earn 37 million on Wednesday and Thursday. 19+18=37 Stripe! I stand by my 120 million prediction for the weekend too. 10% drop after Discount Tuesday is extremely difficult. Beauty and the Beast for instance dropped 35% on its first Wednesday. Thor Ragnarok dropped 43% on its first Wednesday. I’m going with $16m Wednesday (-24%) and $15m Thursday (-6%). Very good chance to go over $100m for 2nd weekend after a $15m Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 242.2 + 21.1 + 14 + 13 = 290+ 7-day 80-90 weekend, 370-380 10-day 30 Mon-Thu, 400-410 14-day 40-45 3rd weekend, 440-455 17-day 95-110 more, 535-565 dom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Not sure if anyone cares but they are still tuesday's gross Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days - (-) Lady Bird A24 $75,609 -51% 407 $186 $46,498,756 110 - (-) The Florida Project A24 $2,502 -64% 23 $109 $5,837,669 138 - (-) The Disaster Artist A24 $1,207 -57% 23 $52 $21,099,001 82 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 (edited) 17 minutes ago, Wadey Wilsoney said: Deadline: " Black Panther is estimated to ease 55%-57% in Weekend 2 for $104M-$109M." Is the the famous Deadline math I've been hearing so much about? Yeah why are they using 4 day OW to calculate the 2nd week drop? Is there another holiday Monday in U.S? Edited February 21, 2018 by EarlyDeadlinePredictions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 40 minutes ago, Lothar said: Talking about Avatar. Atleast Avatar didn't had 10 years of making, 22 movies, Comic book heroes etc before Avatar there wasn't any Avatar and Avatar happened. Now we have avatar and Soon we will have A2, A3, A4, A5. I really doubt Avatar 2 will make less than 3 Billions. You can compare SW which have 40 years of Fanbase. I will be happy to see A2 making 2 x SW7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, a2knet said: 242.2 + 21.1 + 14 + 13 = 290+ 7-day 80-90 weekend, 370-380 10-day 30 Mon-Thu, 400-410 14-day 40-45 3rd weekend, 440-455 17-day 95-110 more, 535-565 dom I don't see how it can go under $90m for the weekend after a $13m Thursday. Just some perspective on non-summer releases: Avengers made $12.4m Thursday and $103m weekend. BATB made $10.9m Thursday and $90m weekend. Ultron made $8.6m Thursday and $78m weekend. Civil War made $8.2m Thursday and $73m weekend. Deadpool made $8m Thursday and $56.5m weekend. Of the bunch, Deadpool's release date is the only one that matches up with Black Panther. A 7 multiplier from $13m Thursday would be $91m for the weekend. I also think it could end up more along the lines of $14-15m Thursday, which then pushes the weekend to $100m using Deadpool's multiplier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 17 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: 10% drop after Discount Tuesday is extremely difficult. Beauty and the Beast for instance dropped 35% on its first Wednesday. Thor Ragnarok dropped 43% on its first Wednesday. I’m going with $16m Wednesday (-24%) and $15m Thursday (-6%). Very good chance to go over $100m for 2nd weekend after a $15m Thursday. Yeah Wednesday drops can be brutal. That's why I was hoping for a bigger Tuesday. Now I'm thinking 16m for Wednesday is generous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 (edited) 4 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said: Yeah why are they using 4 day to calculate the 2nd week drop? Is there another holiday Monday in U.S? Maybe for the same reason they often use Thursday number to talk about 2nd week drop, just a way to have bigger more fun numbers for the OW title/article ? Edited February 21, 2018 by Barnack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 For all you Samson lovers: 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Lothar said: Talking about Avatar. Atleast Avatar didn't had 10 years of making, 22 movies, Comic book heroes etc before Avatar there wasn't any Avatar and Avatar happened. Now we have avatar and Soon we will have A2, A3, A4, A5. I really doubt Avatar 2 will make less than 3 Billions. You can compare SW which have 40 years of Fanbase. I will be happy to see A2 making 2 x SW7 Well said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 54 minutes ago, a2knet said: 242.2 + 21.1 + 14 + 13 = 290+ 7-day 80-90 weekend, 370-380 10-day 30 Mon-Thu, 400-410 14-day 40-45 3rd weekend, 440-455 17-day 95-110 more, 535-565 dom It seems reasonable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 10 hours ago, damnitgeorge08 said: From best monday to 9th best tuesday, CRUMBLING!!!! /s Thanks @NCsoft for making this my first comment with all of 6 reactions. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 $21.5? Can one of you numberologists explain that. How good is that number in relation to everything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, Jandrew said: $21.5? Can one of you numberologists explain that. How good is that number in relation to everything? The movie is over $263 million in 5 days. Everything it makes is great at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Jandrew said: $21.5? Can one of you numberologists explain that. How good is that number in relation to everything? I was told that it's the best non holiday non summer Tuesday in history. Only BatB and Avengers come close and are still behind. I was also told its an amazing number for February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 @Jandrew Look for it to be in the neighborhood of $400m after Sunday. Overall very similar path to Jurassic World after 10 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porthos Posted February 21, 2018 Author Share Posted February 21, 2018 Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Black Panther Walt Disney $21,000,000 -48% 4,020 $5,224 $263,155,680 5 - (3) Fifty Shades Freed Universal $1,605,005 -25% 3,768 $426 $80,235,580 12 - (14) Darkest Hour Focus Features $121,665 -46% 602 $202 $53,516,517 91 - (-) Hostiles Entertainment Studi… $119,506 -28% 767 $156 $28,600,466 61 - (-) Phantom Thread Focus Features $90,395 -48% 355 $255 $17,978,584 58 - (-) Lady Bird A24 $75,609 -51% 407 $186 $46,498,756 110 - (-) Pitch Perfect 3 Universal $13,125 -49% 157 $84 $104,669,615 61 - (-) Insidious: The Last Key Universal $12,825 -42% 169 $76 $67,232,050 47 - (-) The Florida Project A24 $2,502 -64% 23 $109 $5,837,669 138 - (-) The Disaster Artist A24 $1,207 -57% 23 $52 $21,099,001 82 #crumbling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
