Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

[kayumanggi]

The Greatest Showman grossed an estimated $2.68M this weekend. 75-Day total stands at $164.62M.#GreatestShowman #BoxOffice @20thcenturyfox @GreatestShowman

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) March 4, 2018

[La Binoche]

they wanted that nice round # but we all know it'll come in lower 

 

 

[sfran43]

14 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

As we always through, Black Panther will arrive at $500M by the end of today. Early morning estimates show the Disney/Marvel movie with a $30.4M Saturday, +84% over Friday’s $16.5M for a weekend that’s around $66.7M, down an awesome 40% and a running cume at $502.1M. 

 

From Deadline

[sfran43]

 

[75Live]

6 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Well obviously it wasn't the storm that affected this movie.  Guess it  just had no attraction to most viewers

Edited March 4, 2018 by 75Live

[Taruseth]

On 3.3.2018 at 1:40 PM, Taruseth said:

The drop is worse than TFA (-39.5%), TLJ (-26.6%, after a 67.5% drop from Opening Weekend), TDKR (-42.5% but that dropped 61.4% from OW to 2nd Weekend), TDK (43.2% after a 52.5%), Rogue one (22.5% after 58.7%), THG (43.4% after 61.6%), PotC 2 (43.5% after a 54%), Finding Dory (42.7% after 46%), Spider-Man (36.9% after 37.8%), Transformers 2 (42.8% after 61.2% after a Wednesday start), SloP (41.8% after 51.3%), Jungle book (29% after 40.4%), Wonder Woman (29.5% after 43.3%)

 

So following films had a lower first to third Weekend drop for films opening above $100M (50 films opened above):

TJB (57.7%)

WW (60%)

SM (60.8%)

TFA (63.6%)

Shrek 2 (64.9%)

RO (68%)

Finding Dory (69%)

 

BP (69.2%)

 

6 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

As we always through, Black Panther will arrive at $500M by the end of today. Early morning estimates show the Disney/Marvel movie with a $30.4M Saturday, +84% over Friday’s $16.5M for a weekend that’s around $66.7M, down an awesome 40% and a running cume at $502.1M. 

 

From Deadline

That would change BP Opening-Weekend-to-third-weekend-Drop to 67%, that would be a better drop than Finding Dory and Rogue One.

[kayumanggi]

MAZE RUNNER: THE DEATH CURE
$450k Weekend (Est.)
543 Screens / $829 PSA
Week 6 / -53%
$57M Total (North America)... https://t.co/aOjEtGN1h2

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) March 4, 2018

[sfran43]

 

[kayumanggi]

THE POST
$915k Weekend (Est.)
671 Screens / $1,364 PSA
Week 11 / -26% Change
$80.36M Total (North America)
#ThePost #boxoffice

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) March 4, 2018

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

they wanted that nice round # but we all know it'll come in lower 

 

 

Yea it's gonna come in closer to $16M than $17M if I were to bet on it. 

[a2k]

It's possible that we get 4 500+ dom grossers in alternating months.

 

Dec TLJ

Jan

Feb BP

March

April AIW

May

Jun JW

 

When TDK had crossed 500 it had become the 2nd biggest film after Titanic. Inflation, premium screens, some lucky scheduling, merit of these films/franchises - along with other factors are playing a role in giving us this unique pattern.

[sfran43]

 

[kayumanggi]

THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
$2.67M Weekend (Est.)
1,407 Screens / $1,901 PSA
Week 11 / -22%
$164.61M Total (North... https://t.co/Rh2WrgdjQW

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) March 4, 2018

[Taruseth]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

It's possible that we get 4 500+ dom grossers in alternating months.

 

Dec TLJ

Jan

Feb BP

March

April AIW

May

Jun JW

 

When TDK had crossed 500 it had become the 2nd biggest film after Titanic. Inflation, premium screens, some lucky scheduling, merit of these films/franchises - along with other factors are playing a role in giving us this unique pattern.

That is crazy.

And Avatar was the third film 1.5 years later. Avengers the fourth 2.5 years later.

And then JW was the fifth 3 years later, and after that it started. TFA half a year later.

RO a year later. B&tB just three months later, TLJ a 3/4 year later and now BP just two month later.

 

Edited March 4, 2018 by Taruseth

[sfran43]

 

[kayumanggi]

THE SHAPE OF WATER
$1.4M Weekend (Est.)
832 Screens / 1,683 PSA
Week 14 / +19%
$57.39M Total (North America)
#TheShapeofWater #boxoffice

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) March 4, 2018

[kayumanggi]

Annihilation grossed an estimated $5.65M this weekend. 10-Day total stands at $20.64M.#Annihilation #BoxOffice @ParamountPics @AnnihilationMov

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) March 4, 2018

[La Binoche]

A couple weeks later and BP was kinda meh.  I guess I was drinking the kool-aid and letting the hype affect me. 

[WrathOfHan]

Today is looking VERY weak for Death Wish at my theater; most shows over the past two days were near-sellouts, yet the first show in 20 minutes isn't even halfway full. I wonder how much MGM is lowballing the Sunday drop.

[the beast]

Just now, sfran43 said:

 

60m is a done deal and could make a run for 70m with a good expansion and if it alson wins best picture