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Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

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Edited by kayumanggi
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2 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Best Picture nominees usually sink like rocks following the ceremony, the winner gets a good following weekend but then drops sharply too. I don't see Shape of Water reaching 65m nor Billboards coming close to 60 no matter what happens tonight. Lady Bird will fall just short of 50m too.

All of these movies are available or about to become available at home anyway so whatever they make from here is just icing on the cake.

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1 minute ago, a2knet said:

It's possible that we get 4 500+ dom grossers in alternating months.

 

Dec TLJ

Jan

Feb BP

March

April AIW

May

Jun JW

 

When TDK had crossed 500 it had become the 2nd biggest film after Titanic. Inflation, premium screens, some lucky scheduling, merit of these films/franchises - along with other factors are playing a role in giving us this unique pattern.

Well, it's been obvious for some time that 500m is the new 400m and so on... amazing when you consider what it was when we individually started following box office (only 1 film over 500m for me)

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2 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Best Picture nominees usually sink like rocks following the ceremony, the winner gets a good following weekend but then drops sharply too. I don't see Shape of Water reaching 65m nor Billboards coming close to 60 no matter what happens tonight. Lady Bird will fall just short of 50m too.

and this year, oscar BP nominees has longer boosting period due to earlier revelation date of nomination but latter ceremony date

 

last year was from 24/1- 26/2 , vs this year 23/1-4/3

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3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Best Picture nominees usually sink like rocks following the ceremony, the winner gets a good following weekend but then drops sharply too. I don't see Shape of Water reaching 65m nor Billboards coming close to 60 no matter what happens tonight. Lady Bird will fall just short of 50m too.

It certainly doesn’t help that, aside from The Post and Phantom Thread, (neither of which has a shot of winning) all of the BP noms will be on DVD by March 13th.

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17 minutes ago, a2knet said:

It's possible that we get 4 500+ dom grossers in alternating months.

 

Dec TLJ

Jan

Feb BP

March

April AIW

May

Jun JW

 

When TDK had crossed 500 it had become the 2nd biggest film after Titanic. Inflation, premium screens, some lucky scheduling, merit of these films/franchises - along with other factors are playing a role in giving us this unique pattern.

JW 2 making over 500M would a fabulous retention from JW

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