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sfran43

Wednesday's Numbers RPO: 4M

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Wow, I didn't think RPO's Wed would be 1m over GIJ2 and that it would match GIJ2's Wed drop after a much better Tue hold.

 

Mon-Tue-Wed holds:

-53% -11.7% -25.5% GIJ2

-53% +2.9% -25.8% RPO

Edited by a2knet
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I know the first weekday numbers are not a true barometer of where the film is heading, but I really believe WOM ix kicking in and it is going to have a leggy run.  I'm hoping for a soft drop this weekend of around 40-43%.  And then watch the legs kick in later on.  I've seen RPO twice now and I picked up so much more the second time around.  

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GIJ2 was +0.6% on Thu. Even giving an average hold of -7.5% to RPO on Thu, it does 3.7 for 72.0 cume. Then GIJ2's FSS holds give 25.75 2nd weekend (-38%) but that seems too optimistic cause sub-40% drops are not common even considering that Thu release took away ow front-loading. 23 2nd weekend (-45% compared to GIJ2's -48%) for 95.0 cume seems safe though (Then adding 2.5x the 2nd weekend more to it's cume gives 152.5 dom).

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The Gnomes continue to put up numbers that are ahead of last week’s numbers. I wonder how long that will continue.

 

TR seems to have stabilized somewhat. However, it will probably lose at least 25% of its theaters this weekend so its plummet will resume shortly.

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(5392511 * (-25.8 / 100)) +5392511 = 4,001,243.162

(4001243.162 * (0.6 / 100)) +4001243.162 = 4,025,250.621

(4025250.621 * (112.6 / 100)) + 4025250.621 = 8,557,682.8202

(8557682.8202 * (39.7 / 100)) + 8557682.8202 = 11,955,082.8998

(11955082.8998 * (-37.8 / 100)) + 11955082.8998 = 7,436,061.5637

 

 

If it follows GIJ2. I know it's unlikely, but it deserves this much and more. 

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