CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide

[MaxAggressor]

 

[cdsacken]

700 OS happens even with 45% sustained weekly drops so there's that.

[charlie Jatinder]

Dom 430 will happen but its overseas where its not at all possible to do 718

[Sam]

I think over Aquaman is asking for too much.

 

This great hold OS is partly Endgame anticipation effect but mostly Easter effect. OS is not like domestic where double features and spillover is as strong, plus screen count loss will be far greater compare to US too. I think ~705M OS will be where it’ll land. Don’t see how domestic can get to 440M+.

 

It’s very well on its way to over TF3 WW though, which is great.

[john2000]

4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Dom 430 will happen but its overseas where its not at all possible to do 718

so os we are looking at 700-705 depending from the next week 

[cdsacken]

4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Dom 430 will happen but its overseas where its not at all possible to do 718

Agreed incredibly unlikely but that would it put it so damn close probably 1135-1140

[XO21]

Yeah OS End Game will give the final blow to CM.

 

My theatre had one CM show today, next week zero.

Edited April 21, 2019 by XO21

[Joyous Legion]

14 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Aquaman is like 1% with great holds and assumes Disney fudging with double shows. Needs 430 Dom and 718 WW. Both super hard. However prior to this week chance was .00001%.

I think right below Aquaman is and 700 OS are guaranteed locks.

I can’t see more than 710 OS, but the DOM situation is very volatile. Seems like CM might be getting more juiced than BP did, but Easter is a big confounding variable. Want to see Tues at least before getting carried away, but for now I’d give at least a 5% chance of 440.    

 

Spoiler

Detailed Run (again, this is not a forecast. Detailing a super optimistic scenario):  

Apr 14 cume 386.5

15-18 Weekdays 4.4 (390.9)  

19-21 weekend 9.3 (400.2)  

weekdays 1.6+1.4+1.1+.9 (405.2)  

weekend flat with 9.3 (414.5)

next 7 days 10.5M (425)  

rest of run 15 (440)   

 

Next weekdays are based on BatB+BP Easter and BP week before IW. Weekend hold similar to BP. drop for 7 days after is based on BP with an Easter correction. Rest of run multi again about the same as BP. It’s honestly not too outlandish.

 

 

[cdsacken]

440 good God lol. 

[john2000]

with the actuals for captain marvel OS   , the movie is NOW AT 690 OS , it made almost 6.8 mill this which is a 21% drop incredible

Edited April 22, 2019 by john2000

[Joyous Legion]

Week is 12M, down from 14M. Praise Easter.

[john2000]

Just now, Thanos Legion said:

Week is 12M, down from 14M. Praise Easter.

still next weekend it will probably be around 695 at least, so i think 700 os is happening

[terrestrial]

6 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

 

That is what makes me smile a lot!

(dom)

 

last weekend

Apr 12, 2019

6

$8,611,527

-31%

2,975

$2,895

$386,525,108

6

 

this weekend:

 

4

(6)

Captain Marvel

Walt Disney

$9,105,610

+6%

2,653

$3,432

$400,031,743

 

Just now, terrestrial said:

Ahh, and CM's OS weekend got again underestimated:

 

esitmated:

$689,500,000

 

actual:

+ Foreign: $690,079,633

 

[terrestrial]

manually adjusted as BOM isnt up with the dom actuals yet.

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$400,031,743	36.7%
+ Foreign:	$690,079,633	63.3%
= Worldwide:	$1,090,111,376

[tawasal]

2 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Week is 12M, down from 14M. Praise Easter.

Weekend is 8.6m last and 6.8m this weekend. 

Edited April 22, 2019 by tawasal

[Joyous Legion]

1 minute ago, tawasal said:

Weekend is 8m last and 6.8m this weekend. 

Yeah, so non-weekend portion was 6M last, 5.2 this, down just 13%. Lots of schoolbreaks round the world.

[tawasal]

9 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Yeah, so non-weekend portion was 6M last, 5.2 this, down just 13%. Lots of schoolbreaks round the world.

Yeah, even in the North here in Scandinavia. In Denmark the schools are out today <monday> too. 

[tawasal]

CM weekends internationally. 

 

Mar. 8–10: $303,285,175

Mar. 15–17: $121,491,286 -59.9%

Mar. 22–24: $52,434,316 -56.8%

Mar. 29–31: $27,008,260 -48.5%

Apr. 5–7: $14,309,827 -47.0%

Apr. 12–14: $8,597,617 -39.9%

Apr. 19–21: $6,791,349 -21.0%

 

[ZeeSoh]

On 4/14/2019 at 9:59 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Overall

Last week (01-01 April) - 25.536

This week (08-14 April) - 13.9

Drop - 45.567%

 

Without China

last week - 23.456

this week - 13.9

drop - 40.74%

 

China's run is over hence no China section for this week. A very good drop this week OS-ch. Next week should see a similarly low drop as well. Perhaps even lower as some people may go out to see it ahead of Endgame. How it holds during the week of Endgame's release is a question mark but if it doesnt completely collapse, or perhaps gets a boost, then 700 is within sight. 

Overall

Last week (08-14 April) - 13.9

This week (15-21 April) - 12.08

Drop - 13.09%

 

Wow thats an amazing drop. Partly thanks to Easter and partly thanks to people rushing out to see this one last time before Endgame. From what I could find Black Panther made slightly more amount going into the week of release of Infinity War than it did in the week of release before Infinity War. If CM follows the same trajectory, it will make around 12-15m more from here on out. That will take it 700-705m OS. More than this seems unlikely although CM has had incredible late legs and will reach 700 when a few weeks back some including I thought it would falter out at 680-690. 

 

So total perhaps might be 1.125b if it gets to 420 Dom. 

[Ledmonkey96]

12 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Overall

Last week (08-14 April) - 13.9

This week (15-21 April) - 12.08

Drop - 13.09%

 

Wow thats an amazing drop. Partly thanks to Easter and partly thanks to people rushing out to see this one last time before Endgame. From what I could find Black Panther made slightly more amount going into the week of release of Infinity War than it did in the week of release before Infinity War. If CM follows the same trajectory, it will make around 12-15m more from here on out. That will take it 700-705m OS. More than this seems unlikely although CM has had incredible late legs and will reach 700 when a few weeks back some including I thought it would falter out at 680-690. 

  

So total perhaps might be 1.125b if it gets to 420 Dom. 

420 dom seems pretty low at this point tbh. Not sure how high it can go but only 20mil after this past weekend doesn't seem right.