Thursday 10/11 numbers l ASIB $4.5M, Venuuum $4.2M - An Upset for the Ages

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

1 minute ago, Alli said:

I haven't followed its BO. Is that a bad drop for Venom or is ASIB doing extremely good?

I think it's pretty average for movie like Venom, it's simply not gonna hold well because it's behaving like your average CMB. WOM isn't toxic or anything though. ASIB is getting simply amazing WOM, I would be surprised at this point with a sub 4x multi.

[KeepItU25071906]

12 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

On the other hand Ocean's 8 jumped 80% and Mamma Mia Here We Go Again only 20%....

in Summer

[MrGlass2]

3 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

I think it's pretty average for movie like Venom, it's simply not gonna hold well because it's behaving like your average CMB. WOM isn't toxic or anything though. ASIB is getting simply amazing WOM, I would be surprised at this point with a sub 4x multi.

Exactly, it doesn't mean Venom is doing badly.

 

For ASiB such legs would be even more amazing because it started strong with a lot of fan interest (Gaga, Cooper, the previous movies...) translating into a $42M OW.

[KeepItU25071906]

14 minutes ago, Alli said:

I haven't followed its BO. Is that a bad drop for Venom or is ASIB doing extremely good?

Everything is ok with Venom. 36-37 are still possible.

Edited October 12, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[a2k]

Hoping Venom crosses 30 for the weekend

 

4.2

8.4 (+100%)

13.4 (+60%)

8.7 (-35%)

= 30.5 (-62%)

[Krissykins]

I think Venom will do about $32m this weekend. But we’ll see. 

 

October friday increases are understandably bigger than Summer increases. 

 

The only weird one recently is Blade Runner, which only increased 94%.

 

However, Happy Death Day and Flatliners had Friday increases of 170-209% last year. So anything could happen tomorrow really. 

[a2k]

Gravity did 4.91x (274.1 dom / 55.785 ow).

If ASIB follows suit it will do 212 dom including Wed-Thu gross (1.35 + 42.91*4.91).

 

Gravity got a good theater bump towards the end of the run which ASIB may not get. I think CRA and AQP are good targets for ASIB.

 

1st 10 weekends of Gravity:

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Oct 4–6	1	$55,785,112	-	3,575	-	$15,604	$55,785,112	1
Oct 11–13	1	$43,188,256	-22.6%	3,660	+85	$11,800	$122,323,175	2
Oct 18–20	1	$30,027,161	-30.5%	3,820	+160	$7,861	$169,563,291	3
Oct 25–27	2	$20,135,387	-32.9%	3,707	-113	$5,432	$199,649,748	4
Nov 1–3	5	$12,825,346	-36.3%	3,024	-683	$4,241	$218,891,359	5
Nov 8–10	6	$8,535,339	-33.4%	2,720	-304	$3,138	$231,249,831	6
Nov 15–17	6	$6,104,096	-28.5%	2,560	-160	$2,384	$240,379,710	7
Nov 22–24	8	$3,210,155	-47.4%	1,845	-715	$1,740	$245,407,759	8
Nov 29–Dec 1	11	$2,556,188	-20.4%	1,016	-829	$2,516	$249,699,049	9
Dec 6–8	12	$1,211,279	-52.6%	900	-116	$1,346	$251,486,533	10

[La Binoche]

58 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

That would mean 50% drop on weekend tho? that's not happening not sure what you have smoked

I'm just using Book Club as a comp https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bookclub.htm

[Krissykins]

5 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

I'm just using Book Club as a comp https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bookclub.htm

Maybe you should stop then. 

 

Book Club also came out in May. 

[bladels]

4 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

I'm just using Book Club as a comp https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bookclub.htm

Book Club was a really special case tho. Its audience is extremely old hence it's very weekdays centric. 

Its first Thurs/Fri = 0.375 compared to ASIB's 0.288

[DAJK]

Fantastic hold for ASIB. But that shouldn't be the standard we hold Venom to. Venom's playing like almost any other movie of its kind would on Thursday. Still expecting around 30M this weekend (for both). 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[MikeQ]

24 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

I'm just using Book Club as a comp https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=bookclub.htm

Why are you using Book Club as a comp? It’s a comedy that opened in May and that skewed heavily female and older (80% female with nearly 50% women-over-50).

 

Peace,

Mike

[Krissykins]

$575,000 for El Royale, $8m weekend? 

 

Shame, one of the best trailers of the whole year. 

[Valonqar]

I wish that mega bomb in making First Man didn't take screens from Venom. what a waste. FM's gonna flop. Venom's gonna drop. What a disaster weekend. 

 

 

Edited October 12, 2018 by Valonqar

[DAJK]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

I wish that mega bomb in making First Man didn't take screens from Venom. what a waste. FM's gonna flop. Venom's gonna drop. What a disaster weekend. 

 

 

Mega... bomb...

 

alrighty

[sfran43]

One of these figures is incorrect 

 

Edited October 12, 2018 by sfran43

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

I wish that mega bomb in making First Man didn't take screens from Venom. what a waste. FM's gonna flop. Venom's gonna drop. What a disaster weekend. 

 

 

Think it's way too early to call FM a mega-bomb but you're always like this, so whatever. Venom was gonna drop hard anyways.

[a2k]

Thu increase for Smallfoot for 0.850m, 48.31 cume. Can it have a stellar hold?

 

3.0 (+250%) // +271% last Friday

5.2 (+75%) // +80%

3.4 (-35%) // -25%

= 11.6 (-19.4%)